Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 30, 2010

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $45.4600 (0.49%) ($45.1600 - $45.6900) on Thu. Sep. 30, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $45.4600(0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(95%)    FXI(81%)    EWY(80%)    EWG(75%)    SPY(75%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(12%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.09(0.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.65(1.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.89(3.58%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 2.28% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101030

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_30_2010	40.82	43.89	44.65	45.09			45.46(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	-10000	11	91	17.9	74%	0.1	102.2	1.16%	0	1.6	84	0
2	Sep_29_2010	40.78	43.72	44.47	44.81			45.24(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	26	-10000	7	84	20.67	63%	0.12	103.5	1.16%	0	1.5	85	0
3	Sep_28_2010	40.73	43.5	44.33	44.63			45.08(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	24	-10000	5	81	11.87	63%	0.12	88.9	1.27%	0	1.4	85	0
4	Sep_27_2010	40.68	43.29	44.21	44.48			44.78(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	3	90	14.03	63%	0.15	76.2	1.27%	0	1.2	86	0
5	Sep_24_2010	40.62	43.11	44.11	44.4			44.87(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	8	101	13.48	63%	0.17	72.1	1.28%	0	1.4	74	0

6	Sep_23_2010	40.55	42.89	43.92	44.16			44.1(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	-10000	3	94	10.79	60%	0.1	59.5	1.28%	0	1	74	0
7	Sep_22_2010	40.51	42.72	43.79	44.07			44.34(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	3	96	12.25	60%	0.1	51.5	1.28%	0	1.2	78	0
8	Sep_21_2010	40.47	42.55	43.61	43.98			44.33(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	3	109	10.76	60%	0.05	45.8	1.3%	0	1.4	84	0
9	Sep_20_2010	40.45	42.39	43.39	43.89			44.36(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	-10000	4	119	8.07	60%	0.05	44.8	1.32%	0	1.6	85	0
10	Sep_17_2010	40.43	42.25	43.21	43.78			43.66(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	-10000	5	131	7.87	57%	0.05	47.7	1.31%	0	1.2	73	0

11	Sep_16_2010	40.41	42.15	43.07	43.63			43.68(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	41	-10000	7	144	9.59	57%	0.02	48.9	1.31%	0	1.4	77	0
12	Sep_15_2010	40.4	42.05	42.92	43.44			43.88(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	-10000	10	152	9.33	62%	0.07	51.2	1.31%	0	1.7	75	0
13	Sep_14_2010	40.37	41.95	42.62	43.16			43.85(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	-10000	12	135	10.81	62%	0	47.4	1.35%	0	1.9	72	0
14	Sep_13_2010	40.37	41.83	42.29	42.81			43.83(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	-10000	8	109	10.52	62%	0.02	36.1	1.35%	0	2.3	67	0
15	Sep_10_2010	40.36	41.7	42.02	42.57			42.93(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	5	92	10.03	64%	0	25.4	1.33%	0	1.7	58	0

16	Sep_9_2010	40.36	41.6	41.77	42.42			42.71(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	4	69	13.62	64%	0	10.8	1.38%	0	1.6	56	0
17	Sep_8_2010	40.36	41.51	41.57	42.31			42.5(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	12	54	9.42	66%	0	-6.4	1.39%	0	1.5	52	0
18	Sep_7_2010	40.36	41.49	41.4	41.97			42.07(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	10	22	9.43	66%	-0.07	-24.7	1.41%	0	0.9	48	0
19	Sep_3_2010	40.39	41.52	41.32	41.68			42.65(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	8	-10000	10	2	16.2	59%	-0.02	-34.1	1.46%	0	1.6	57	0
20	Sep_2_2010	40.4	41.51	41.2	41.39			42.18(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	7	-10000	12	-10	9.45	64%	-0.02	-40.5	1.46%	0	0.9	57	0

21	Sep_1_2010	40.41	41.53	41.14	41.03			42.16(3.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	1	-10000	9	-24	14.08	64%	-0.05	-45.4	1.52%	0	0.8	59	0
22	Aug_31_2010	40.43	41.55	41.1	40.74			40.8(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-10000	-0	-37	13.28	60%	-0.05	-47.2	1.48%	0	-0.9	49	0
23	Aug_30_2010	40.45	41.65	41.23	40.75			40.6(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10000	-5	-40	7	60%	-0.07	-41.1	1.49%	0	-1.3	35	0
24	Aug_27_2010	40.48	41.77	41.33	40.89			41.21(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-13	-10000	-3	-43	7.26	66%	-0.07	-32.6	1.49%	0	-0.7	34	0
25	Aug_26_2010	40.51	41.8	41.35	40.98			40.39(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10000	-8	-48	12.75	64%		-28.8	1.64%	0	-1.8	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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