Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VWO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 7, 2010

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $39.7200 (1.95%) ($38.9200 - $39.7800) on Wed. Jul. 7, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.09% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $39.7200(1.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(95%)    FXI(81%)    EWY(80%)    EWG(75%)    SPY(75%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -1.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(12%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.045% (StdDev 2.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.64(2.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.1(1.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.28(1.12%)
To recent high   -9.7%
To recent low   9.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 2.27% (three month std-dev: 2.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100807

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_7_2010	40.35	39.28	39.1	38.64			39.72(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-8	-10000	7	-51	13.97	48%	0	15.4	2.09%	0	0.5	48	0
2	Jul_6_2010	40.35	39.19	39.11	38.36			38.96(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-20	-10000	-4	-69	13.54	48%	0.02	7	2.08%	0	-0.2	42	0
3	Jul_2_2010	40.34	39.1	39.28	38.53			38.3(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-9	-53	22.62	48%	-0.02	5.3	2.05%	0	-0.7	49	0
4	Jul_1_2010	40.35	39.06	39.46	38.88			38.22(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-10000	-7	-31	27.29	49%	0.02	8.9	2.07%	0	-0.8	48	0
5	Jun_30_2010	40.34	39.09	39.64	39.16			37.99(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-10000	-11	-13	26.32	49%	0	25	2.07%	0	-1	49	0

6	Jun_29_2010	40.34	39.14	39.85	39.6			38.31(-3.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-1	-10000	-9	22	21.82	51%	0.02	44.7	2.07%	0	-0.7	61	0
7	Jun_28_2010	40.33	39.12	40.04	39.95			39.84(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-5	56	8.24	54%	0.05	55.4	2.03%	0	0.6	70	0
8	Jun_25_2010	40.31	39.04	39.95	39.95			40.05(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	20	-10000	0	81	12.61	54%	0.07	64.4	2.03%	0	0.9	76	0
9	Jun_24_2010	40.28	38.97	39.84	40.14			39.61(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-10000	-1	93	16.98	54%	0	77	2.03%	0	0.6	68	0
10	Jun_23_2010	40.28	38.83	39.76	40.19			40.21(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	1	98	22.61	54%	0.02	67	2.03%	0	1.2	59	0

11	Jun_22_2010	40.27	38.65	39.5	40.19			40.03(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	0	88	15.84	54%	0.02	56.9	2.03%	0	1.1	57	0
12	Jun_21_2010	40.26	38.5	39.27	40.14			40.8(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	10	96	14.59	54%	0.05	48.3	2.02%	0	1.9	69	0
13	Jun_18_2010	40.24	38.32	38.89	39.74			40.06(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	6	70	12.35	54%	0.05	34.2	2.01%	0	1.6	60	0
14	Jun_17_2010	40.22	38.14	38.62	39.51			39.83(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	6	52	10.47	54%	0.02	12.7	2.01%	0	1.5	55	0
15	Jun_16_2010	40.21	38.05	38.49	39.26			39.97(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	-10000	13	59	13.3	54%	0.02	-4.4	2.01%	0	1.9	66	0

16	Jun_15_2010	40.2	37.96	38.36	38.75			40.02(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	22	-10000	12	53	11.31	54%	0	-27.4	2.02%	0	2.2	66	0
17	Jun_14_2010	40.2	37.92	38.09	38.29			38.84(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	10	37	15.21	52%	0	-50.6	1.98%	0	1	60	0
18	Jun_11_2010	40.2	37.94	38.02	37.9			38.87(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10000	8	25	13.38	52%	-0.05	-53.6	1.98%	0	1	57	0
19	Jun_10_2010	40.22	38	37.99	37.6			38.6(3.13%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	6	-10000	-1	26	20.72	52%	-0.07	-47.5	1.98%	0	0.6	61	0
20	Jun_9_2010	40.25	38.09	37.8	37.62			37.43(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-10000	-8	14	19.57	49%	-0.12	-38.4	1.94%	0	-0.5	47	0

21	Jun_8_2010	40.3	38.22	37.74	37.91			37.69(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-10000	1	17	27.23	49%	-0.05	-32	1.94%	0	-0.4	46	0
22	Jun_7_2010	40.32	38.38	37.68	37.87			36.89(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-7	-6	15.2	47%	-0.12	-34.8	1.91%	0	-1.1	39	0
23	Jun_4_2010	40.37	38.46	37.75	38.13			37.41(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-7	-11	25.9	50%	-0.12	-42.7	1.95%	0	-0.8	40	0
24	Jun_3_2010	40.42	38.52	37.66	38.41			38.69(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	11	-21	15.65	53%	-0.1	-52	1.9%	0	0.1	41	0
25	Jun_2_2010	40.46	38.57	37.59	38			38.85(3.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	12	-59	17.53	53%		-66.3	1.9%	0	0.2	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.