Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 10, 2010

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $38.6000 (3.13%) ($38.1700 - $38.6900) on Thu. Jun. 10, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.98% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $38.6000(3.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(95%)    FXI(81%)    EWY(80%)    EWG(75%)    SPY(75%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(12%)    LQD(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.99% (StdDev 1.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $32.81(-15%)
5 Day Moving Average   $37.6(2.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.99(1.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38(1.58%)
To recent high   -12.2%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 2.82% (three month std-dev: 1.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100710

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_10_2010	40.22	38	37.99	37.6			38.6(3.13%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	6	-10000	-1	26	20.72	52%	-0.07	-47.5	1.98%	0	0.6	61	0
2	Jun_9_2010	40.25	38.09	37.8	37.62			37.43(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-10000	-8	14	19.57	49%	-0.12	-38.4	1.94%	0	-0.5	47	0
3	Jun_8_2010	40.3	38.22	37.74	37.91			37.69(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-10000	1	17	27.23	49%	-0.05	-32	1.94%	0	-0.4	46	0
4	Jun_7_2010	40.32	38.38	37.68	37.87			36.89(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-7	-6	15.2	47%	-0.12	-34.8	1.91%	0	-1.1	39	0
5	Jun_4_2010	40.37	38.46	37.75	38.13			37.41(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-7	-11	25.9	50%	-0.12	-42.7	1.95%	0	-0.8	40	0

6	Jun_3_2010	40.42	38.52	37.66	38.41			38.69(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	11	-21	15.65	53%	-0.1	-52	1.9%	0	0.1	41	0
7	Jun_2_2010	40.46	38.57	37.59	38			38.85(3.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	12	-59	17.53	53%	-0.07	-66.3	1.9%	0	0.2	40	0
8	Jun_1_2010	40.49	38.64	37.54	37.56			37.52(-1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-22	-10000	3	-98	20.25	51%	-0.2	-75.1	1.86%	0	-0.8	37	0
9	May_28_2010	40.57	38.87	37.72	37.46			38.2(-1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-25	-10000	5	-113	15.39	51%	-0.1	-67.5	1.86%	0	-0.4	36	0
10	May_27_2010	40.61	39.05	37.84	37.3			38.78(5.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-17	-10000	14	-110	18.13	51%	-0.1	-67.5	1.86%	0	-0.1	52	0

11	May_26_2010	40.65	39.22	37.97	36.83			36.66(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-41	-10000	-9	-138	20.8	45%	-0.15	-72.2	1.72%	0	-1.3	44	0
12	May_25_2010	40.71	39.49	38.37	37.13			36.66(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-10000	-12	-119	25.09	45%	-0.15	-72.4	1.73%	0	-1.5	38	0
13	May_24_2010	40.77	39.74	38.73	37.52			37(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-15	-105	24.28	45%	-0.1	-70.5	1.73%	0	-1.5	36	0
14	May_21_2010	40.81	40.05	39.12	38.02			37.41(2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-10000	-14	-94	35.62	43%	-0.1	-63.1	1.72%	0	-1.4	32	0
15	May_20_2010	40.85	40.33	39.25	38.47			36.42(-4.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-45	-10000	-24	-107	39.86	39%	-0.1	-57.4	1.7%	0	-2.1	29	0

16	May_19_2010	40.89	40.66	39.49	39.26			38.15(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-10000	-16	-104	19.3	44%	-0.07	-54.5	1.62%	0	-1.5	31	0
17	May_18_2010	40.92	40.89	39.67	39.78			38.63(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-10000	-10	-95	20.5	44%	-0.05	-51.6	1.61%	0	-1.4	36	0
18	May_17_2010	40.94	41.11	39.87	40.1			39.48(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10000	-9	-90	21.88	46%	-0.05	-50.6	1.59%	0	-1.1	41	0
19	May_14_2010	40.96	41.26	40.13	40.39			39.67(-1.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-13	-10000	8	-75	21.04	49%	-0.02	-49.9	1.61%	0	-1.1	36	0
20	May_13_2010	40.97	41.4	40.36	40.14			40.37(-0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10000	13	-95	11.3	51%	0	-57.1	1.61%	0	-0.7	38	0

21	May_12_2010	40.97	41.56	40.56	39.74			40.77(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-26	-10000	6	-121	12.11	51%	0	-62.2	1.61%	0	-0.5	41	0
22	May_11_2010	40.97	41.72	40.66	39.55			40.21(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-37	-10000	-2	-141	14.56	54%	0	-63.4	1.61%	0	-1	39	0
23	May_10_2010	40.97	41.87	40.8	39.62			40.93(6.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-45	-10000	-9	-151	25.02	56%	0.02	-64.9	1.62%	0	-0.6	41	0
24	May_7_2010	40.96	41.99	40.99	39.9			38.41(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-58	-10000	-25	-156	37.4	50%	-0.05	-60.7	1.45%	0	-2.3	29	0
25	May_6_2010	40.98	42.27	41.47	40.63			38.37(-3.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-50	-10000	-28	-116	48.93	50%		-54.9	1.46%	0	-2.9	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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