Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VWO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 27, 2010

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $38.7800 (5.78%) ($37.7300 - $38.7900) on Thu. May. 27, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.86% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $38.7800(5.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(95%)    FXI(81%)    EWY(80%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(75%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(12%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.93% (StdDev 1.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $28.71(-25.97%)
Resistance Level   $39.05
5 Day Moving Average   $37.3(3.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.84(2.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.05(-0.69%)
To recent high   -11.8%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 4.71% (three month std-dev: 1.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100627

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_27_2010	40.61	39.05	37.84	37.3			38.78(5.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-17	-10000	14	-110	18.13	51%	-0.1	-67.5	1.86%	0	-0.1	52	0
2	May_26_2010	40.65	39.22	37.97	36.83			36.66(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-41	-10000	-9	-138	20.8	45%	-0.15	-72.2	1.72%	0	-1.3	44	0
3	May_25_2010	40.71	39.49	38.37	37.13			36.66(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-10000	-12	-119	25.09	45%	-0.15	-72.4	1.73%	0	-1.5	38	0
4	May_24_2010	40.77	39.74	38.73	37.52			37(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-15	-105	24.28	45%	-0.1	-70.5	1.73%	0	-1.5	36	0
5	May_21_2010	40.81	40.05	39.12	38.02			37.41(2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-10000	-14	-94	35.62	43%	-0.1	-63.1	1.72%	0	-1.4	32	0

6	May_20_2010	40.85	40.33	39.25	38.47			36.42(-4.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-45	-10000	-24	-107	39.86	39%	-0.1	-57.4	1.7%	0	-2.1	29	0
7	May_19_2010	40.89	40.66	39.49	39.26			38.15(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-10000	-16	-104	19.3	44%	-0.07	-54.5	1.62%	0	-1.5	31	0
8	May_18_2010	40.92	40.89	39.67	39.78			38.63(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-10000	-10	-95	20.5	44%	-0.05	-51.6	1.61%	0	-1.4	36	0
9	May_17_2010	40.94	41.11	39.87	40.1			39.48(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10000	-9	-90	21.88	46%	-0.05	-50.6	1.59%	0	-1.1	41	0
10	May_14_2010	40.96	41.26	40.13	40.39			39.67(-1.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-13	-10000	8	-75	21.04	49%	-0.02	-49.9	1.61%	0	-1.1	36	0

11	May_13_2010	40.97	41.4	40.36	40.14			40.37(-0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10000	13	-95	11.3	51%	0	-57.1	1.61%	0	-0.7	38	0
12	May_12_2010	40.97	41.56	40.56	39.74			40.77(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-26	-10000	6	-121	12.11	51%	0	-62.2	1.61%	0	-0.5	41	0
13	May_11_2010	40.97	41.72	40.66	39.55			40.21(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-37	-10000	-2	-141	14.56	54%	0	-63.4	1.61%	0	-1	39	0
14	May_10_2010	40.97	41.87	40.8	39.62			40.93(6.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-45	-10000	-9	-151	25.02	56%	0.02	-64.9	1.62%	0	-0.6	41	0
15	May_7_2010	40.96	41.99	40.99	39.9			38.41(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-58	-10000	-25	-156	37.4	50%	-0.05	-60.7	1.45%	0	-2.3	29	0

16	May_6_2010	40.98	42.27	41.47	40.63			38.37(-3.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-50	-10000	-28	-116	48.93	50%	-0.05	-54.9	1.46%	0	-2.9	28	0
17	May_5_2010	41	42.54	41.95	41.48			39.83(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-31	-10000	-15	-77	20.41	55%	-0.05	-45.9	1.39%	0	-2.7	28	0
18	May_4_2010	41.02	42.73	42.25	41.91			40.58(-4.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-21	-10000	-7	-64	15.76	51%	0	-35.8	1.37%	0	-2.7	29	0
19	May_3_2010	41.02	42.89	42.49	42.11			42.32(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-10000	-5	-56	8.16	57%	0.02	-24.8	1.39%	0	-0.9	43	0
20	Apr_30_2010	41.01	42.95	42.5	42.26			42.06(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-7	-57	18.27	61%	0.02	-2	1.41%	0	-1.4	41	0

21	Apr_29_2010	41	43.01	42.55	42.47			42.6(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-10000	-2	-55	14.91	61%	0.05	23.6	1.41%	0	-0.7	41	0
22	Apr_28_2010	40.98	43	42.65	42.52			41.98(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-17	-10000	-5	-52	13.65	59%	0.05	32.7	1.41%	0	-1.6	39	0
23	Apr_27_2010	40.96	43.02	42.85	42.66			41.57(-3.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-16	-10000	-8	-41	24.06	59%	0	43.7	1.41%	0	-2.4	36	0
24	Apr_26_2010	40.96	43.05	43.03	42.91			43.1(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	5	-28	11.07	62%	0.05	64.4	1.33%	0	0.1	43	0
25	Apr_23_2010	40.94	42.97	43.05	42.76			43.08(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	-10000	4	-40	8.96	62%		47.2	1.35%	0	0.2	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.