Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VWO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 30, 2009

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $40.8800 (0.25%) ($40.7200 - $40.9200) on Wed. Dec. 30, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $40.8800(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(95%)    FXI(82%)    EWY(81%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(75%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(13%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.76(0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.57(0.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.8(0.2%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   8.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.03% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_30_2009	39	40.8		40.76			40.88(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	3	-7	6.37	58%	0.13	-3.9	1.69%	0	0.2	51	0
2	Dec_29_2009	38.95	40.82	40.57	40.66			40.78(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	4	-8	9.39	58%	0.15	-9.5	1.69%	0	-0.1	54	0
3	Dec_28_2009	38.89	40.8	40.62	40.52			40.82(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-0	-10000	4	-13	7.57	58%	0.21	-20	1.69%	0	0	45	0
4	Dec_24_2009	38.81	40.76	40.63	40.39			40.64(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	4	-23	2.46	56%	0.1	-31.7	1.69%	0	-0.2	39	0
5	Dec_23_2009	38.77	40.8	40.65	40.27			40.7(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-10	-10000	-2	-34	8.83	56%	0.13	-36	1.71%	0	-0.2	44	0

6	Dec_22_2009	38.72	40.82	40.66	40.35			40.36(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-10000	-4	-36	16.66	57%	0.1	-36	1.72%	0	-0.9	37	0
7	Dec_21_2009	38.68	40.86	40.68	40.49			40.1(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-10000	-6	-38	16.59	57%	0.1	-34.4	1.73%	0	-1.5	37	0
8	Dec_18_2009	38.64	40.89	40.78	40.72			40.17(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9	-10000	-5	-21	11.91	57%	0.16	-24.8	1.73%	0	-1.5	51	0
9	Dec_17_2009	38.58	40.92	40.91	40.9			40(-2.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-4	-10000	-5	-1	8.83	57%	0.13	-10.7	1.73%	0	-2	54	0
10	Dec_16_2009	38.53	40.99	41.04	41.08			41.14(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	2	8	10.94	62%	0.18	3	1.7%	0	0.4	47	0

11	Dec_15_2009	38.46	41.01	41.07	41			41.03(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	3	8	16.32	62%	0.16	8.6	1.73%	0	0	50	0
12	Dec_14_2009	38.4	41.04	41.1	40.9			41.28(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	2	-10000	1	3	12.83	62%	0.16	8.9	1.73%	0	0.5	50	0
13	Dec_11_2009	38.34	41.01	41.01	40.87			41.07(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-2	-10000	-2	-1	18.81	62%	0.16	18.8	1.73%	0	0.1	55	0
14	Dec_10_2009	38.28	41.01	40.9	40.94			40.86(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2	-10000	-2	-3	11.78	62%	0.18	24.6	1.73%	0	-0.2	53	0
15	Dec_9_2009	38.21	41.01	40.95	41.01			40.77(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-10000	-4	1	10.92	62%	0.18	46.7	1.74%	0	-0.4	47	0

16	Dec_8_2009	38.14	40.97	40.99	41.15			40.51(-1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-2	-10000	-4	4	9.3	63%	0.16	79.8	1.74%	0	-0.9	42	0
17	Dec_7_2009	38.08	41	41.06	41.31			41.12(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	6	-10000	4	11	6.7	63%	0.21	115.6	1.74%	0	0.2	44	0
18	Dec_4_2009	38	40.93	41.01	41.15			41.45(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	8	3	10.91	64%	0.24	107.7	1.75%	0	0.9	55	0
19	Dec_3_2009	37.91	40.84	40.92	40.85			41.19(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-4	-10000	-1	-11	19.79	65%	0.24	91.4	1.76%	0	0.6	59	0
20	Dec_2_2009	37.82	40.74	40.93	40.9			41.5(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	2	-5	6.1	65%	0.27	86.3	1.77%	0	1	53	0

21	Dec_1_2009	37.72	40.57	40.92	40.82			41.31(2.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	1	-2	7.35	65%	0.29	59.8	1.77%	0	0.8	54	0
22	Nov_30_2009	37.61	40.43	40.96	40.8			40.3(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-10000	-1	2	22.17	64%	0.24	46.3	1.77%	0	-0.1	46	0
23	Nov_27_2009	37.52	40.31	41.01	40.85			39.93(-3.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	-10000	-4	12	9.21	64%	0.43	30.5	1.77%	0	-0.3	55	0
24	Nov_25_2009	37.36	40.29	41.05	40.98			41.44(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	1	24	6.44	68%	0.3	26.3	1.69%	0	0.9	63	0
25	Nov_24_2009	37.25	40.11	41	40.95			41.1(-0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10000	-3	38	7.8	68%		16.1	1.69%	0	0.8	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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