Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 22, 2009

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $39.0100 (1.8%) ($38.7000 - $39.0700) on Tue. Sep. 22, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $39.0100(1.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(95%)    FXI(82%)    EWY(81%)    EWG(76%)    SPY(76%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-3%)    LQD(14%)    IGOV(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.69(0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.14(2.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.95(5.58%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   30%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 3.79% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2009	33.55	36.95	38.14	38.69			39.01(1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	-10000	7	151	5.77	74%	0.27	63.6	1.65%	0	1.5	88	0
2	Sep_21_2009	33.46	36.79	37.94	38.46			38.32(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	42	-10000	5	153	7.18	73%	0.3	69.9	1.72%	0	1.2	78	0
3	Sep_18_2009	33.36	36.66	37.74	38.3			38.68(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	-10000	7	155	4.48	73%	0.36	70.5	1.71%	0	1.6	72	0
4	Sep_17_2009	33.24	36.49	37.44	38.06			38.55(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-10000	6	144	10.98	73%	0.33	66.9	1.72%	0	1.7	72	0
5	Sep_16_2009	33.13	36.3	37.08	37.87			38.89(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	-10000	11	132	8.88	73%	0.39	63.1	1.72%	0	2.2	74	0

6	Sep_15_2009	33	36.08	36.64	37.51			37.88(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	5	102	5.25	65%	0.36	59.7	1.7%	0	1.7	66	0
7	Sep_14_2009	32.88	35.89	36.36	37.34			37.48(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	8	84	3.3	65%	0.31	48.8	1.77%	0	1.5	63	0
8	Sep_11_2009	32.78	35.78	36.17	37.09			37.5(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	12	71	6.75	65%	0.37	43.3	1.77%	0	1.8	64	0
9	Sep_10_2009	32.66	35.7	35.98	36.7			37.62(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	-10000	17	57	5.06	65%	0.34	36.9	1.79%	0	2.2	70	0
10	Sep_9_2009	32.55	35.58	35.77	36.16			37.09(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	-10000	16	36	7.25	65%	0.34	19	1.78%	0	2	71	0

11	Sep_8_2009	32.44	35.47	35.64	35.64			37.01(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	15	-10000	13	19	4.56	65%	0.53	-9	1.78%	0	2.3	72	0
12	Sep_4_2009	32.27	35.39	35.52	35.24			36.24(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	6	-10000	4	12	5.21	63%	0.28	-37.3	1.76%	0	1.5	72	0
13	Sep_3_2009	32.18	35.37	35.48	35.13			35.54(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	1	-10000	-1	7	6.33	56%	0.28	-39.2	1.76%	0	0.3	50	0
14	Sep_2_2009	32.09	35.38	35.45	35.16			34.9(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-10000	-5	1	5.28	54%	0.25	-32.3	1.79%	0	-0.9	41	0
15	Sep_1_2009	32.01	35.43	35.46	35.33			34.49(-1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-6	-10000	-9	3	8.97	58%	0.25	-8.5	1.8%	0	-1.6	44	0

16	Aug_31_2009	31.93	35.53	35.49	35.62			35.04(-1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	-10000	-6	16	5.6	58%	0.09	16.3	1.85%	0	-0.8	52	0
17	Aug_28_2009	31.9	35.6	35.41	35.82			35.69(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	-1	16	5.57	58%	0.28	38	1.84%	0	0.2	50	0
18	Aug_27_2009	31.81	35.59	35.39	35.86			35.69(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	-10000	2	15	4.35	58%	0.32	43.4	1.88%	0	0.2	47	0
19	Aug_26_2009	31.71	35.56	35.42	35.78			35.75(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	8	-10000	6	15	4.96	58%	0.35	36.6	1.88%	0	0.3	50	0
20	Aug_25_2009	31.6	35.48	35.38	35.59			35.95(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	8	2	6.93	58%	0.35	29.1	1.88%	0	0.7	48	0

21	Aug_24_2009	31.49	35.43	35.29	35.33			36(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	-10000	12	-20	8.57	58%	0.32	24.2	1.89%	0	0.9	46	0
22	Aug_21_2009	31.39	35.39	35.24	34.95			35.93(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-11	-10000	2	-51	4.46	58%	0.32	14.5	1.9%	0	0.8	43	0
23	Aug_20_2009	31.29	35.33	35.23	34.87			35.27(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-17	-10000	-5	-53	6.28	58%	0.35	23.4	1.9%	0	-0.1	51	0
24	Aug_19_2009	31.18	35.32	35.27	35.02			34.82(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-4	-42	6.18	58%	0.39	42.4	1.89%	0	-0.7	50	0
25	Aug_18_2009	31.06	35.29	35.39	35.14			34.64(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-2	-20	5.44	63%		52.9	1.9%	0	-0.9	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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