Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 21, 2009

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $30.8200 (-1.66%) ($30.4600 - $31.0100) on Thu. May. 21, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.15% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $30.8200(-1.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(95%)    FXI(82%)    EWY(81%)    EWG(76%)    SPY(76%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -1.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-3%)    LQD(13%)    IGOV(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.575% (StdDev 3.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.72(0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.28(1.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.32(5.12%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   58.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 5.53% (three month std-dev: 3.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090621

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_21_2009	24.32	29.32	30.28	30.72			30.82(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	6	42	6.13	72%	0.33	69.1	3.15%	0	0.9	65	0
2	May_20_2009	24.24	29.12	30.14	30.44			31.34(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	10	45	7.87	72%	0.33	60.5	3.17%	0	1.3	69	0
3	May_19_2009	24.16	28.86	30.02	29.97			31.22(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	5	43	6.41	72%	0.33	51	3.19%	0	1.4	70	0
4	May_18_2009	24.08	28.62	29.85	29.74			31.01(6.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	-10000	5	57	7.93	72%	0.38	46.8	3.19%	0	1.4	74	0
5	May_15_2009	23.99	28.35	29.74	29.51			29.2(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-6	67	3.54	64%	0.21	41.9	3.26%	0	0.5	69	0

6	May_14_2009	23.94	28.24	29.66	29.78			29.43(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	-0	87	3.87	64%	0.29	48.3	3.29%	0	0.7	63	0
7	May_13_2009	23.87	28.13	29.51	29.79			29(-3.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	20	-10000	-5	94	5.28	64%	0.21	53.8	3.31%	0	0.5	64	0
8	May_12_2009	23.82	28.03	29.38	30.05			30.04(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	31	-10000	2	119	4.61	66%	0.25	63.8	3.27%	0	1.2	71	0
9	May_11_2009	23.76	27.85	29.01	29.97			29.88(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	-10000	-1	118	3.95	66%	0.21	68.4	3.27%	0	1.3	69	0
10	May_8_2009	23.71	27.69	28.66	30.01			30.57(3.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	-10000	10	130	6.02	62%	0.25	74.4	3.3%	0	1.9	75	0

11	May_7_2009	23.65	27.49	28.31	29.53			29.46(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-10000	7	115	8.3	61%	0.17	76.4	3.3%	0	1.5	62	0
12	May_6_2009	23.61	27.3	28.03	29.17			30.29(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	-10000	12	102	7.78	63%	0.17	75.2	3.3%	0	2.3	64	0
13	May_5_2009	23.57	27.04	27.6	28.61			29.66(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	-10000	15	78	5.73	63%	0.26	77.3	3.34%	0	2.2	64	0
14	May_4_2009	23.51	26.83	27.26	27.9			30.06(6.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	26	-10000	17	52	5.92	63%	0.21	81.2	3.34%	0	3.1	67	0
15	May_1_2009	23.46	26.62	26.81	27.13			28.17(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	7	-10000	5	12	3.97	60%	0.17	97.8	3.21%	0	2.1	57	0

16	Apr_30_2009	23.42	26.5	26.67	26.93			27.67(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	5	-10000	5	6	6.35	60%	0.13	106	3.23%	0	1.8	56	0
17	Apr_29_2009	23.39	26.34	26.61	26.72			27.5(5.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	7	-10000	6	8	4.93	60%	0.17	87.2	3.24%	0	1.6	62	0
18	Apr_28_2009	23.35	26.15	26.54	26.45			26.09(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-1	6	3.2	60%	0.13	61.3	3.25%	0	-0.1	59	0
19	Apr_27_2009	23.32	26.02	26.59	26.51			26.23(-3.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10000	3	14	5.85	60%	0.17	44.4	3.32%	0	0.2	55	0
20	Apr_24_2009	23.28	25.93	26.66	26.4			27.14(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-10000	0	15	4.33	62%	0.26	46.6	3.26%	0	1	57	0

21	Apr_23_2009	23.22	25.82	26.62	26.38			26.65(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-10000	-3	19	4.54	62%	0.17	55.3	3.28%	0	0.7	57	0
22	Apr_22_2009	23.18	25.71	26.53	26.5			26.15(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-3	32	3.24	62%	0.17	63.4	3.28%	0	0.4	64	0
23	Apr_21_2009	23.14	25.61	26.45	26.65			26.36(2.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-1	51	3.61	62%	0.26	70.3	3.29%	0	0.6	70	0
24	Apr_20_2009	23.08	25.53	26.4	26.68			25.71(-4.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	13	-10000	-6	68	4.39	57%	0.13	82.8	3.35%	0	0.2	70	0
25	Apr_17_2009	23.05	25.39	26.45	26.93			27.01(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	1	93	6.52	61%		83	3.42%	0	1.2	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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