Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VWO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 8, 2009

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $30.5700 (3.77%) ($29.8700 - $30.6300) on Fri. May. 8, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.3% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $30.5700(3.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 6.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(82%)    EWY(81%)    SPY(77%)    EWG(76%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -1.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-3%)    LQD(13%)    IGOV(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.65% (StdDev 3.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.01(1.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.66(6.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.69(10.4%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   57.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 5.42% (three month std-dev: 3.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090608

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_8_2009	23.71	27.69	28.66	30.01			30.57(3.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	-10000	10	130	6.02	62%	0.25	74.4	3.3%	0	1.9	75	0
2	May_7_2009	23.65	27.49	28.31	29.53			29.46(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-10000	7	115	8.3	61%	0.17	76.4	3.3%	0	1.5	62	0
3	May_6_2009	23.61	27.3	28.03	29.17			30.29(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	-10000	12	102	7.78	63%	0.17	75.2	3.3%	0	2.3	64	0
4	May_5_2009	23.57	27.04	27.6	28.61			29.66(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	-10000	15	78	5.73	63%	0.26	77.3	3.34%	0	2.2	64	0
5	May_4_2009	23.51	26.83	27.26	27.9			30.06(6.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	26	-10000	17	52	5.92	63%	0.21	81.2	3.34%	0	3.1	67	0

6	May_1_2009	23.46	26.62	26.81	27.13			28.17(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	7	-10000	5	12	3.97	60%	0.17	97.8	3.21%	0	2.1	57	0
7	Apr_30_2009	23.42	26.5	26.67	26.93			27.67(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	5	-10000	5	6	6.35	60%	0.13	106	3.23%	0	1.8	56	0
8	Apr_29_2009	23.39	26.34	26.61	26.72			27.5(5.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	7	-10000	6	8	4.93	60%	0.17	87.2	3.24%	0	1.6	62	0
9	Apr_28_2009	23.35	26.15	26.54	26.45			26.09(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-1	6	3.2	60%	0.13	61.3	3.25%	0	-0.1	59	0
10	Apr_27_2009	23.32	26.02	26.59	26.51			26.23(-3.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10000	3	14	5.85	60%	0.17	44.4	3.32%	0	0.2	55	0

11	Apr_24_2009	23.28	25.93	26.66	26.4			27.14(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-10000	0	15	4.33	62%	0.26	46.6	3.26%	0	1	57	0
12	Apr_23_2009	23.22	25.82	26.62	26.38			26.65(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-10000	-3	19	4.54	62%	0.17	55.3	3.28%	0	0.7	57	0
13	Apr_22_2009	23.18	25.71	26.53	26.5			26.15(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-3	32	3.24	62%	0.17	63.4	3.28%	0	0.4	64	0
14	Apr_21_2009	23.14	25.61	26.45	26.65			26.36(2.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-1	51	3.61	62%	0.26	70.3	3.29%	0	0.6	70	0
15	Apr_20_2009	23.08	25.53	26.4	26.68			25.71(-4.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	13	-10000	-6	68	4.39	57%	0.13	82.8	3.35%	0	0.2	70	0

16	Apr_17_2009	23.05	25.39	26.45	26.93			27.01(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	1	93	6.52	61%	0.17	83	3.42%	0	1.2	66	0
17	Apr_16_2009	23.01	25.2	26.33	26.89			27.27(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	7	100	4.18	61%	0.17	85.4	3.45%	0	1.5	62	0
18	Apr_15_2009	22.97	24.99	26.05	26.56			26.89(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	7	90	2.86	61%	0.22	88.2	3.45%	0	1.4	63	0
19	Apr_14_2009	22.92	24.78	25.73	26.23			26.54(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	4	75	3.48	61%	0.17	86.8	3.45%	0	1.3	64	0
20	Apr_13_2009	22.88	24.57	25.4	26.07			26.96(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	4	59	2.72	61%	0.48	90.7	3.5%	0	1.7	61	0

21	Apr_9_2009	22.77	24.33	25.13	25.9			26.77(4.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	4	64	3.95	61%	0.31	93.9	3.53%	0	1.8	69	0
22	Apr_8_2009	22.7	24.09	24.93	25.71			25.65(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	23	-10000	6	72	3.08	59%	0.18	98.4	3.51%	0	1.1	64	0
23	Apr_7_2009	22.66	23.87	24.8	25.46			25.23(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	7	72	2.59	59%	0.13	93.5	3.5%	0	1	61	0
24	Apr_6_2009	22.63	23.68	24.69	25.13			25.76(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	12	70	4.76	59%	0.13	83.5	3.56%	0	1.3	66	0
25	Apr_3_2009	22.6	23.39	24.57	24.6			26.1(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	8	65	7.34	59%		71	3.54%	0	1.6	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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