Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VWO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 3, 2009

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $21.9400 (2.86%) ($21.3400 - $22.0500) on Tue. Feb. 3, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.16% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $21.9400(2.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(83%)    EWY(82%)    SPY(78%)    EWG(77%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -2.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-11%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(-4%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.58% (StdDev 5.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

Resistance Level   $22.22
5 Day Moving Average   $21.88(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.67(1.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.22(-1.26%)
To recent high   -20.1%
To recent low   18%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 5.63% (three month std-dev: 5.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090303

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_3_2009	25.1	22.22	21.67	21.88			21.94(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	2	-10000	1	6	4.32	52%	-0.52	-40.9	5.16%	0	-0.2	46	0
2	Feb_2_2009	25.23	22.37	21.53	21.83			21.33(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2	-10000	-1	-6	6.69	52%	-0.67	-31	5.15%	0	-0.7	44	0
3	Jan_30_2009	25.4	22.54	21.61	21.87			21.47(-1.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-2	-10000	1	-11	2.6	55%	-0.63	-23.8	5.15%	0	-0.7	39	0
4	Jan_29_2009	25.56	22.64	21.64	21.81			21.75(-5.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-4	-10000	2	-23	2.59	55%	-0.62	-25.7	5.31%	0	-0.6	38	0
5	Jan_28_2009	25.72	22.64	21.62	21.69			22.93(5.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	-10000	5	-38	5.42	60%	-0.54	-30.1	5.27%	0	0.1	41	0

6	Jan_27_2009	25.86	22.74	21.56	21.43			21.69(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-10000	4	-56	2.6	59%	-0.65	-40.5	5.64%	0	-0.7	27	0
7	Jan_26_2009	26.03	22.81	21.63	21.2			21.51(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-10000	-2	-76	3.24	59%	-0.65	-51.9	5.66%	0	-0.9	30	0
8	Jan_23_2009	26.2	22.89	21.82	21.32			21.19(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-2	-77	3.82	55%	-0.68	-58.8	5.77%	0	-1.2	31	0
9	Jan_22_2009	26.38	23.03	22.1	21.44			21.14(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-1	-72	3.05	52%	-0.68	-65.5	5.78%	0	-1.3	40	0
10	Jan_21_2009	26.56	23.19	22.41	21.52			21.64(5.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-10000	-3	-68	4.42	50%	-0.71	-68.7	5.9%	0	-1.2	42	0

11	Jan_20_2009	26.75	23.36	22.8	21.72			20.5(-7.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-10000	-6	-55	4.33	51%	-0.78	-66.7	5.93%	0	-2.2	39	0
12	Jan_16_2009	26.96	23.6	23.27	22.12			22.12(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	-4	-38	3.07	54%	-0.74	-64.2	5.86%	0	-1.3	47	0
13	Jan_15_2009	27.16	23.77	23.55	22.41			21.81(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-7	-26	4.74	49%	-0.73	-55.2	5.86%	0	-1.7	45	0
14	Jan_14_2009	27.36	23.99	23.74	22.88			21.52(-4.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-10	-10000	-8	-16	3.34	49%	-0.73	-34.5	6.17%	0	-2.2	37	0
15	Jan_13_2009	27.56	24.15	23.98	23.44			22.64(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	-8	-6	2.73	54%	-0.68	-18.6	6.14%	0	-1.4	41	0

16	Jan_12_2009	27.75	24.25	24.05	24.05			22.49(-4.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-5	-10000	-7	1	2.64	54%	-0.72	5.2	6.66%	0	-1.7	35	0
17	Jan_9_2009	27.95	24.36	24.13	24.6			23.58(-2.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-1	-10000	-3	7	7.52	53%	-0.64	36.4	6.64%	0	-0.8	39	0
18	Jan_8_2009	28.13	24.42	24.08	24.85			24.17(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	2	-10000	1	5	3.59	53%	-0.64	57	6.65%	0	-0.3	39	0
19	Jan_7_2009	28.31	24.39	24.06	24.73			24.32(-5.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10000	2	-5	3.67	52%	-0.6	60.2	6.65%	0	-0.1	36	0
20	Jan_6_2009	28.48	24.35	24.04	24.58			25.68(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	3	-10000	6	-7	3.92	50%	-0.56	66.9	6.67%	0	1.4	58	0

21	Jan_5_2009	28.64	24.2	23.94	24.06			25.23(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	1	-10000	6	-16	3.5	50%	-0.59	51.1	6.76%	0	1.1	54	0
22	Jan_2_2009	28.81	24.02	23.9	23.6			24.83(5.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-2	-10000	5	-24	3.51	48%	-1.1	26.3	6.75%	0	0.8	54	0
23	Dec_31_2008	29.13	23.91	23.95	23.24			23.57(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	-10000	-1	-31	5.24	48%	-0.65	15	6.78%	0	-0.3	42	0
24	Dec_30_2008	29.32	23.85	24.21	23.3			23.59(2.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-10000	-2	-22	7.03	50%	-0.68	14.8	6.78%	0	-0.2	54	0
25	Dec_29_2008	29.52	23.73	24.29	23.42			23.06(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-5	-18	3.87	48%		15.9	6.85%	0	-0.5	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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