Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VWO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jan. 14, 2008

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $52.1600 (1.09%) ($51.6400 - $52.3000) on Mon. Jan. 14, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.6% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $52.1600(1.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(86%)    EWY(84%)    SPY(81%)    EWG(80%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -1.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.3% (StdDev 2.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.02(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.87(0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.08(0.15%)
To recent high   -11.1%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.69% (three month std-dev: 2.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_14_2008	52.54	52.08	51.87	52.02			52.16(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	3	-19	1.21	46%	0.13	-72.2	2.6%	0	0.1	43	0
2	Jan_11_2008	52.47	52.16	51.92	51.82			51.6(-2.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-4	-10000	2	-22	2.26	46%	0.13	-89.9	2.61%	0	-0.6	50	0
3	Jan_10_2008	52.4	52.32	52.01	51.66			52.85(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-5	-10000	1	-23	2.44	46%	0.15	-90.3	2.59%	0	0.5	58	0
4	Jan_9_2008	52.32	52.35	52.06	51.59			52.37(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	1	-17	1.72	46%	0.19	-79.1	2.59%	0	0	57	0
5	Jan_8_2008	52.22	52.5	52.13	51.51			51.13(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-3	-9	1.86	46%	0.17	-72.4	2.57%	0	-1.2	60	0

6	Jan_7_2008	52.13	52.73	52.34	51.72			51.17(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-10000	-5	-2	1.83	46%	0.15	-51.9	2.58%	0	-1.1	45	0
7	Jan_4_2008	52.05	52.97	52.43	52.03			50.77(-3.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4	-10000	-5	-2	2.64	48%	0.19	-35	2.6%	0	-1.5	37	0
8	Jan_3_2008	51.95	53.21	52.55	52.37			52.5(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10000	-3	-6	1.43	50%	0.21	-23.2	2.57%	0	-0.4	38	0
9	Jan_2_2008	51.84	53.27	52.45	52.6			52(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-4	-10	1.45	50%	0.29	-12.8	2.57%	0	-0.8	45	0
10	Dec_31_2007	51.69	53.37	52.3	52.84			52.15(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-3	-26	1.04	52%	0.14	3.7	2.57%	0	-0.8	37	0

11	Dec_28_2007	51.62	53.45	52.33	53.06			52.71(0.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-7	-10000	2	-32	1.1	52%	0.14	13.2	2.61%	0	-0.5	38	0
12	Dec_27_2007	51.55	53.5	52.44	52.89			52.51(-2.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-10000	2	-45	0.78	52%	0.1	18.8	2.61%	0	-0.6	37	0
13	Dec_26_2007	51.5	53.58	52.67	52.72			53.62(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-10000	6	-50	1.08	52%	0.23	19	2.61%	0	0	42	0
14	Dec_24_2007	51.38	53.49	52.63	52.29			53.23(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	9	-62	0.7	52%	0.16	7.3	2.59%	0	-0.1	49	0
15	Dec_21_2007	51.3	53.31	52.85	51.67			53.23(2.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-17	-10000	2	-72	1.1	52%	0.14	-13.4	2.59%	0	-0	49	0

16	Dec_20_2007	51.23	53.24	53.08	51.53			51.85(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-23	-10000	-6	-72	1.71	50%	0.1	-20.6	2.58%	0	-0.7	45	0
17	Dec_19_2007	51.18	53.2	53.5	51.96			51.68(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-10	-55	1.37	50%	0.1	-24.1	2.58%	0	-0.8	45	0
18	Dec_18_2007	51.13	53.29	53.9	52.63			51.45(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-10000	-6	-33	2.07	53%	0.06	-19	2.58%	0	-0.9	42	0
19	Dec_17_2007	51.1	53.36	54.16	53.04			50.13(-4.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-17	-10000	-16	-19	1.74	52%	0.08	-11.2	2.63%	0	-1.7	50	0
20	Dec_14_2007	51.06	53.56	54.58	54.17			52.52(-2.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-10000	-10	28	1.42	54%	0.12	4.9	2.56%	0	-0.6	66	0

21	Dec_13_2007	51	53.64	54.72	54.84			54.03(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-6	56	1.42	56%	0.1	11.3	2.53%	0	0.2	59	0
22	Dec_12_2007	50.95	53.68	54.7	55.27			55.02(2.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-10000	-2	83	1.35	56%	0.12	18.4	2.52%	0	0.8	65	0
23	Dec_11_2007	50.89	53.66	54.61	55.4			53.48(-4.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	24	-10000	-0	94	1.86	56%	0.06	14.8	2.5%	0	-0.1	52	0
24	Dec_10_2007	50.86	53.57	54.46	55.43			55.81(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	6	97	1.07	59%	0.14	5	2.46%	0	1.2	60	0
25	Dec_7_2007	50.79	53.48	53.83	55.02			55.84(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	7	68	1.3	59%		-7.6	2.46%	0	1.3	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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