Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 18, 2007

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $56.0700 (0.43%) ($54.7900 - $56.1500) on Thu. Oct. 18, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.28% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $56.0700(0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(86%)    EWY(84%)    SPY(81%)    EWG(79%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -1.14% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-10%)    PCY(9%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.14% (StdDev 2.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.48(1.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.19(1.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.78(4.26%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   36.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 3.59% (three month std-dev: 2.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_18_2007	47.79	53.78	55.19	55.48			56.07(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	3	57	1.55	59%	0.27	85.5	2.28%	0	1.2	70	0
2	Oct_17_2007	47.66	53.46	54.92	55.27			55.83(2.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	2	57	1.69	59%	0.27	85.1	2.28%	0	1.2	67	0
3	Oct_16_2007	47.53	53.17	54.64	55.15			54.23(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-10000	-2	60	1.38	56%	0.15	88.4	2.26%	0	0.5	66	0
4	Oct_15_2007	47.46	52.95	54.6	55.28			55.45(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	4	81	1.53	56%	0.25	85.4	2.24%	0	1.1	74	0
5	Oct_12_2007	47.34	52.57	54.44	55.05			55.83(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	25	-10000	3	89	0.86	58%	0.3	81.8	2.24%	0	1.4	77	0

6	Oct_11_2007	47.2	52.18	54.05	54.85			55(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	5	93	1.94	58%	0.25	82.2	2.26%	0	1.2	77	0
7	Oct_10_2007	47.08	51.83	53.78	54.52			55.25(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	-10000	8	100	1.27	56%	0.26	77.9	2.26%	0	1.4	81	0
8	Oct_9_2007	46.96	51.44	53.41	54.04			54.89(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	27	-10000	4	95	1.27	56%	0.23	74.7	2.27%	0	1.4	77	0
9	Oct_8_2007	46.85	51.07	53.03	53.81			54.3(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	1	96	1.11	56%	0.24	70.5	2.27%	0	1.3	76	0
10	Oct_5_2007	46.74	50.67	52.7	53.72			54.8(2.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	-10000	10	116	1.72	57%	0.26	68.3	2.27%	0	1.6	85	0

11	Oct_4_2007	46.62	50.26	52.25	53.14			53.35(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	-10000	4	113	0.79	56%	0.24	67.2	2.25%	0	1.3	79	0
12	Oct_3_2007	46.51	49.96	51.88	52.93			52.88(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	33	-10000	5	118	0.84	56%	0.22	68.6	2.26%	0	1.2	78	0
13	Oct_2_2007	46.41	49.65	51.59	52.64			53.7(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	-10000	9	127	1.41	57%	0.24	73.5	2.25%	0	1.8	85	0
14	Oct_1_2007	46.3	49.35	51.18	52.11			53.89(3.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	39	-10000	10	125	2.96	57%	0.26	76.6	2.26%	0	2.1	85	0
15	Sep_28_2007	46.18	49	50.55	51.54			51.89(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-10000	5	117	1.33	55%	0.22	82.3	2.22%	0	1.5	85	0

16	Sep_27_2007	46.08	48.7	50.16	51.23			52.31(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	38	-10000	10	120	1.42	55%	0.22	81.9	2.22%	0	1.9	84	0
17	Sep_26_2007	45.98	48.39	49.72	50.68			51.43(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	6	106	1.2	55%	0.2	85.8	2.21%	0	1.8	72	0
18	Sep_25_2007	45.89	48.03	49.32	50.36			51.05(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	5	102	0.85	55%	0.17	82.4	2.21%	0	1.7	74	0
19	Sep_24_2007	45.81	47.77	48.96	50.1			51(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	-10000	13	97	2.05	55%	0.2	92.3	2.22%	0	1.9	64	0
20	Sep_21_2007	45.72	47.5	48.49	49.41			50.38(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	9	70	1.33	54%	0.18	98.1	2.22%	0	1.9	65	0

21	Sep_20_2007	45.64	47.22	48.1	48.92			49.53(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	6	59	0.93	54%	0.18	105.1	2.22%	0	1.6	68	0
22	Sep_19_2007	45.56	46.96	47.88	48.6			49.86(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-10000	9	57	1.96	54%	0.18	108	2.22%	0	2	66	0
23	Sep_18_2007	45.48	46.61	47.56	48.11			49.75(4.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	8	56	1.11	54%	0.2	88.7	2.22%	0	2	73	0
24	Sep_17_2007	45.39	46.27	47.35	47.67			47.52(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	5	54	0.64	52%	0.13	74.8	2.14%	0	0.8	57	0
25	Sep_14_2007	45.33	46.04	47.32	47.41			47.96(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	5	54	0.6	54%		58.3	2.15%	0	1.1	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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