Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VWO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 21, 2007

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $50.3800 (1.72%) ($50.1200 - $50.7000) on Fri. Sep. 21, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.22% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $50.3800(1.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(86%)    EWY(84%)    SPY(81%)    EWG(79%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -1.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(15%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.11% (StdDev 2.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.41(1.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.49(3.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.5(6.06%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 3.22% (three month std-dev: 2.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_21_2007	45.72	47.5	48.49	49.41			50.38(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	9	70	1.33	54%	0.18	98.1	2.22%	0	1.9	65	0
2	Sep_20_2007	45.64	47.22	48.1	48.92			49.53(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	6	59	0.93	54%	0.18	105.1	2.22%	0	1.6	68	0
3	Sep_19_2007	45.56	46.96	47.88	48.6			49.86(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-10000	9	57	1.96	54%	0.18	108	2.22%	0	2	66	0
4	Sep_18_2007	45.48	46.61	47.56	48.11			49.75(4.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	8	56	1.11	54%	0.2	88.7	2.22%	0	2	73	0
5	Sep_17_2007	45.39	46.27	47.35	47.67			47.52(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	5	54	0.64	52%	0.13	74.8	2.14%	0	0.8	57	0

6	Sep_14_2007	45.33	46.04	47.32	47.41			47.96(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	5	54	0.6	54%	0.13	58.3	2.15%	0	1.1	59	0
7	Sep_13_2007	45.27	45.72	47.11	47.13			47.89(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	1	49	0.8	55%	0.13	36.9	2.16%	0	1.1	63	0
8	Sep_12_2007	45.21	45.43	46.95	47.06			47.42(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	3	59	0.83	54%	0.13	21.3	2.17%	0	1	63	0
9	Sep_11_2007	45.15	45.25	46.65	46.93			47.56(2.85%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	15	-10000	-1	63	0.55	54%	0.11	14.8	2.18%	0	1.2	69	0
10	Sep_10_2007	45.1	45.14	46.49	47			46.24(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-10000	-4	84	0.69	52%	0.11	14.8	2.15%	0	0.6	64	0

11	Sep_7_2007	45.05	45.08	46.46	47.2			46.56(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	31	-10000	3	113	0.77	52%	0.11	18.3	2.17%	0	0.8	67	0
12	Sep_6_2007	45	45.02	46.3	47.06			47.5(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-10000	5	132	0.84	51%	0.13	13.4	2.17%	0	1.3	75	0
13	Sep_5_2007	44.94	45	45.99	46.82			46.8(-2.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	44	-10000	10	144	1.69	51%	0.11	12.6	2.17%	0	1	69	0
14	Sep_4_2007	44.89	44.97	45.6	46.3			47.91(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	-10000	8	121	0.91	53%	0.2	2.9	2.15%	0	1.6	61	0
15	Aug_31_2007	44.8	44.86	45.11	45.92			47.25(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	-10000	6	96	1.21	54%	0.13	-7.4	2.14%	0	1.4	54	0

16	Aug_30_2007	44.74	44.74	44.66	45.63			45.83(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	4	74	0.73	52%	0.11	-15.2	2.11%	0	0.6	51	0
17	Aug_29_2007	44.69	44.78	44.22	45.43			46.29(4.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	8	43	0.66	52%	0.11	-17.6	2.11%	0	0.9	51	0
18	Aug_28_2007	44.64	44.77	43.77	45.05			44.2(-3.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	4	-10000	7	-5	1.12	49%	0.09	-30.4	2.03%	0	-0.3	37	0
19	Aug_27_2007	44.6	44.91	43.75	44.75			46.03(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	-10000	14	-28	0.91	52%	0.02	-37	1.98%	0	0.6	47	0
20	Aug_24_2007	44.59	44.91	43.65	44.15			45.81(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-4	-10000	14	-56	0.73	52%	0.13	-51.6	2%	0	0.4	47	0

21	Aug_23_2007	44.53	44.99	43.55	43.55			44.8(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	-10000	17	-78	1.42	50%	0.09	-66.7	2%	0	-0.1	49	0
22	Aug_22_2007	44.49	45.08	43.61	42.83			44.43(4.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-20	-10000	12	-115	1.25	50%	0.09	-75.5	2%	0	-0.3	41	0
23	Aug_21_2007	44.45	45.31	43.88	42.32			42.7(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-40	-10000	-7	-140	0.95	48%	0.07	-77.2	1.93%	0	-1.2	38	0
24	Aug_20_2007	44.42	45.61	44.25	42.6			43.03(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-44	-10000	-12	-139	1.3	48%	0.09	-71.3	1.93%	0	-1.1	36	0
25	Aug_17_2007	44.38	45.97	44.57	43.09			42.78(3.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-10000	-12	-133	1.38	48%		-63.8	1.93%	0	-1.4	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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