Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 17, 2007

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $43.0900 (-0.58%) ($42.7200 - $43.2200) on Thu. May. 17, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.71% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $43.0900(-0.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(86%)    EWY(84%)    SPY(81%)    EWG(79%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-24%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(15%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.855% (StdDev 1.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.92(0.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.71(0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.31(1.84%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   21.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.44% (three month std-dev: 1.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070617

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_17_2007	39.61	42.31	42.71	42.92			43.09(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	7	54	0.96	51%	0.13	51.4	1.71%	0	1.3	60	0
2	May_16_2007	39.56	42.22	42.64	42.67			43.34(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-10000	3	45	0.93	51%	0.13	41.4	1.72%	0	1.9	60	0
3	May_15_2007	39.51	42.14	42.51	42.57			42.65(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	2	38	0.65	51%	0.08	49.2	1.71%	0	1	51	0
4	May_14_2007	39.48	42.1	42.38	42.51			42.63(-0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	7	-10000	-1	30	0.56	53%	0.13	54.8	1.71%	0	1	55	0
5	May_11_2007	39.43	42.06	42.22	42.54			42.9(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	2	26	0.51	55%	0.13	69.4	1.71%	0	1.6	57	0

6	May_10_2007	39.38	41.99	42.1	42.48			41.81(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	3	-10000	-3	20	0.59	52%	0.08	77.8	1.69%	0	-0.4	49	0
7	May_9_2007	39.35	41.98	42.12	42.6			42.87(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	5	34	0.45	53%	0.13	85.3	1.67%	0	1.6	63	0
8	May_8_2007	39.3	41.88	42.07	42.43			42.36(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	6	32	0.86	53%	0.1	82.7	1.69%	0	0.9	56	0
9	May_7_2007	39.26	41.81	42.02	42.21			42.75(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	10	24	0.83	53%	0.13	78.8	1.68%	0	1.7	57	0
10	May_4_2007	39.21	41.71	41.92	41.85			42.6(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	5	-10000	5	3	0.39	53%	0.1	77.6	1.66%	0	1.7	54	0

11	May_3_2007	39.17	41.62	41.86	41.68			42.44(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	2	-10000	3	-2	0.46	53%	0.13	77.2	1.67%	0	1.5	58	0
12	May_2_2007	39.12	41.52	41.75	41.57			42.02(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-5	-10000	-3	-9	1.06	53%	0.1	85.4	1.68%	0	0.9	57	0
13	May_1_2007	39.08	41.44	41.72	41.67			41.23(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-10000	-4	2	0.66	51%	0.1	95	1.66%	0	-0.4	56	0
14	Apr_30_2007	39.04	41.38	41.79	41.8			40.94(-1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	0	-10000	-5	15	0.48	51%	0.05	90.9	1.66%	0	-0.6	52	0
15	Apr_27_2007	39.02	41.32	41.91	41.99			41.75(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-1	36	0.51	53%	0.1	86.4	1.63%	0	0.5	63	0

16	Apr_26_2007	38.98	41.21	41.89	42.04			41.92(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	3	48	0.76	53%	0.1	82.5	1.64%	0	0.8	67	0
17	Apr_25_2007	38.94	41.06	41.84	41.94			42.49(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	16	-10000	4	52	1.25	50%	0.08	67.2	1.63%	0	1.4	77	0
18	Apr_24_2007	38.91	40.9	41.68	41.94			41.9(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	0	47	0.44	50%	0.1	65.6	1.67%	0	1	74	0
19	Apr_23_2007	38.87	40.77	41.59	41.79			41.87(-0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-10000	-1	57	0.43	52%	0.13	70.8	1.68%	0	1.1	79	0
20	Apr_20_2007	38.82	40.65	41.5	41.82			42.04(1.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	21	-10000	3	73	0.43	52%	0.1	82.2	1.68%	0	1.3	84	0

21	Apr_19_2007	38.78	40.51	41.36	41.72			41.42(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	-10000	0	78	0.53	54%	0.1	89.6	1.68%	0	0.9	79	0
22	Apr_18_2007	38.74	40.41	41.27	41.71			41.7(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	28	-10000	5	95	0.43	54%	0.13	101.6	1.69%	0	1.3	88	0
23	Apr_17_2007	38.69	40.25	41.14	41.55			41.9(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	5	99	1.06	54%	0.13	102.7	1.69%	0	1.6	82	0
24	Apr_16_2007	38.64	40.05	40.94	41.37			42.05(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	30	-10000	7	97	0.46	54%	0.13	95.8	1.69%	0	1.9	80	0
25	Apr_13_2007	38.59	39.82	40.67	41.13			41.53(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	26	-10000	5	87	0.28	54%		84.6	1.69%	0	1.5	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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