Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 8, 2007

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $39.5300 (0.2%) ($39.0000 - $39.4600) on Thu. Feb. 8, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $39.5300(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(86%)    EWY(84%)    SPY(81%)    EWG(79%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-24%)    TIP(-11%)    LQD(16%)    GLD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.34(0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.97(1.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.58(2.46%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.71% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2007	36.73	38.58	38.97	39.34			39.53(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	4	58	1.08	58%	0.16	70.8	1.1%	0	1.4	63	0
2	Feb_7_2007	36.67	38.45	38.82	39.26			39.45(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	7	60	1.91	58%	0.19	49.2	1.1%	0	1.4	68	0
3	Feb_6_2007	36.6	38.33	38.8	39.11			39.52(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-10000	10	71	0.83	61%	0.16	32.1	1.1%	0	1.6	66	0
4	Feb_5_2007	36.54	38.24	38.73	38.9			39.1(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	24	-10000	10	67	1.34	61%	0.16	20	1.12%	0	1.2	62	0
5	Feb_2_2007	36.48	38.15	38.65	38.68			39.1(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	7	56	0.65	61%	0.16	3.4	1.12%	0	1.4	62	0

6	Feb_1_2007	36.42	38.12	38.57	38.53			39.12(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-10000	9	58	2	61%	0.17	-1.2	1.12%	0	1.5	67	0
7	Jan_31_2007	36.36	38.1	38.42	38.33			38.73(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	8	-10000	-5	48	2.86	62%	0.17	-3	1.12%	0	1	69	0
8	Jan_30_2007	36.3	38.09	38.33	38.44			38.44(1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	-10000	-5	68	1.01	62%	0.17	3	1.14%	0	0.6	66	0
9	Jan_29_2007	36.24	38.1	38.28	38.55			38.03(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	18	-10000	-2	79	0.38	62%	0.14	9.4	1.14%	0	-0.1	52	0
10	Jan_26_2007	36.19	38.13	38.27	38.55			38.34(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	23	-10000	0	90	0.55	60%	0.17	15	1.16%	0	0.3	58	0

11	Jan_25_2007	36.13	38.13	38.18	38.6			38.1(-3.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	24	-10000	5	80	1.03	60%	0.14	13.5	1.15%	0	-0	46	0
12	Jan_24_2007	36.08	38.12	38.07	38.5			39.31(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	-10000	15	54	0.65	65%	0.17	5	1.08%	0	1.7	50	0
13	Jan_23_2007	36.02	38.07	37.83	38.19			38.95(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	9	-10000	10	5	0.85	65%	0.08	-7.3	1.08%	0	1.4	50	0
14	Jan_22_2007	35.99	38.04	37.7	37.98			38.29(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	4	-27	0.62	63%	0.11	-13.1	1.06%	0	0.4	45	0
15	Jan_19_2007	35.95	38.04	37.61	37.9			38.33(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	9	-49	1	63%	0.17	-13.1	1.06%	0	0.5	45	0

16	Jan_18_2007	35.89	38.03	37.62	37.71			37.6(-0.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-10000	8	-65	0.72	61%	0.11	-20.9	1.04%	0	-0.7	44	0
17	Jan_17_2007	35.85	38.08	37.74	37.56			37.8(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-10000	9	-64	1.35	61%	0.14	-25.2	1.04%	0	-0.5	50	0
18	Jan_16_2007	35.8	38.08	37.82	37.39			37.9(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-19	-10000	1	-80	1.02	61%	0.22	-31.3	1.05%	0	-0.4	44	0
19	Jan_12_2007	35.72	38.12	37.89	37.38			37.89(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-16	-10000	5	-78	0.45	64%	0.14	-36.9	1.04%	0	-0.4	45	0
20	Jan_11_2007	35.67	38.11	37.96	37.29			37.34(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-10000	-12	-86	1.16	62%	0.14	-48.8	1.06%	0	-1.3	43	0

21	Jan_10_2007	35.62	38.16	38.06	37.53			36.85(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-34	-10000	-21	-72	0.84	60%	0.11	-42.1	1.06%	0	-2.3	37	0
22	Jan_9_2007	35.58	38.24	38.19	37.95			36.96(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-24	-10000	-17	-46	0.93	60%	0.11	-20.6	1.06%	0	-2.6	36	0
23	Jan_8_2007	35.54	38.31	38.36	38.3			37.86(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11	-10000	-9	-15	0.5	65%	0.11	2.9	1.01%	0	-1.2	44	0
24	Jan_5_2007	35.5	38.34	38.42	38.47			37.45(-2.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.7	-8	-10000	-13	6	1.15	64%	0.11	25.3	1.01%	0	-2.3	49	0
25	Jan_4_2007	35.46	38.42	38.51	38.72			38.53(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	13	-10000	3	44	1.12	73%		81.5	0.94%	0	0.4	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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