Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 24, 2006

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $34.9900 (0.34%) ($34.7600 - $35.0200) on Tue. Oct. 24, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $34.9900(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(86%)    EWY(84%)    SPY(81%)    EWG(79%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-24%)    TIP(-10%)    LQD(16%)    GLD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.88(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.78(0.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.3(2.01%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   9.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_24_2006	32.5	34.3	34.78	34.88			34.99(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	4	68	0.18	71%	0.09	69.8	1.08%	0	1.2	68	0
2	Oct_23_2006	32.47	34.23	34.69	34.8			34.87(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-10000	-1	65	0.2	71%	0.06	66.3	1.23%	0	1	73	0
3	Oct_20_2006	32.45	34.14	34.6	34.82			34.8(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	17	-10000	-1	72	0.26	71%	0.06	58.9	1.26%	0	1	64	0
4	Oct_19_2006	32.43	34.04	34.53	34.84			34.99(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	2	80	0.09	77%	0.09	56.2	1.29%	0	1.4	67	0
5	Oct_18_2006	32.4	33.95	34.45	34.8			34.73(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	6	80	0.19	77%	0.09	58.5	1.41%	0	1.3	62	0

6	Oct_17_2006	32.37	33.9	34.37	34.65			34.6(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	4	73	0.49	77%	0.06	57.1	1.42%	0	1.2	64	0
7	Oct_16_2006	32.35	33.83	34.23	34.56			35(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	9	67	4.35	77%	0.06	58.5	1.42%	0	2	69	0
8	Oct_13_2006	32.33	33.76	34.09	34.35			34.9(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	-10000	7	59	0.19	66%	0.06	64.9	1.42%	0	2.2	72	0
9	Oct_12_2006	32.31	33.68	33.95	34.18			34.78(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	16	-10000	4	52	0.23	66%	0.09	65.7	1.51%	0	2.4	74	0
10	Oct_11_2006	32.28	33.59	33.84	34.07			33.99(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	1	53	0.22	62%	0.06	73.5	1.5%	0	1.1	62	0

11	Oct_10_2006	32.26	33.56	33.79	34.04			34.15(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	8	52	0.12	62%	0.06	71.4	1.5%	0	1.5	54	0
12	Oct_9_2006	32.24	33.5	33.72	33.84			33.91(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	2	39	0.32	62%	0	42.2	1.5%	0	1	56	0
13	Oct_6_2006	32.24	33.43	33.65	33.78			34.05(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-10000	4	29	0.6	62%	0.03	27	1.51%	0	1.5	52	0
14	Oct_5_2006	32.23	33.38	33.52	33.69			34.25(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	8	-10000	4	18	0.3	55%	0	20	1.53%	0	2.2	59	0
15	Oct_4_2006	32.23	33.31	33.4	33.59			33.82(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	3	11	0.21	55%	-0.06	9.5	1.57%	0	1.5	58	0

16	Oct_3_2006	32.25	33.27	33.39	33.52			33.17(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-10000	-2	9	0.22	56%	-0.06	2.7	1.56%	0	-0.3	48	0
17	Oct_2_2006	32.27	33.27	33.39	33.58			33.61(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	4	20	0.16	56%	-0.06	19.3	1.58%	0	0.8	58	0
18	Sep_29_2006	32.29	33.32	33.41	33.48			33.58(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	6	27	0.35	63%	-0.12	21.1	1.58%	0	0.7	63	0
19	Sep_28_2006	32.33	33.3	33.38	33.32			33.75(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	8	-10000	5	18	0.13	66%	-0.12	14.9	1.71%	0	1.2	56	0
20	Sep_27_2006	32.37	33.28	33.32	33.19			33.48(-0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	1	-10000	-2	9	0.19	66%	-0.12	14.8	1.73%	0	0.6	55	0

21	Sep_26_2006	32.41	33.26	33.3	33.24			33.5(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	1	16	0.14	66%	-0.15	19.4	1.74%	0	0.7	54	0
22	Sep_25_2006	32.46	33.26	33.25	33.21			33.09(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-10000	-5	1	0.14	66%	-0.15	14.8	1.73%	0	-0.4	40	0
23	Sep_22_2006	32.51	33.26	33.2	33.35			32.77(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-3	-10000	-3	-2	0.14	66%	-0.15	16.7	1.73%	0	-1.3	42	0
24	Sep_21_2006	32.56	33.24	33.2	33.35			33.13(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	1	-10000	0	4	0.21	68%	-0.09	13	1.73%	0	-0.3	50	0
25	Sep_20_2006	32.59	33.23	33.23	33.44			33.73(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	2	-10000	2	1	0.27	71%		-1.8	1.73%	0	1.3	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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