Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 13, 2006

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $33.3800 (1.4%) ($32.9200 - $33.4200) on Wed. Sep. 13, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.88% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $33.3800(1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(86%)    EWY(84%)    SPY(81%)    EWG(79%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-24%)    TIP(-10%)    LQD(16%)    GLD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.94% (StdDev 1.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.98(1.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.23(0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.23(0.45%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   18.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.17% (three month std-dev: 1.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2006	32.75		33.23	32.98			33.38(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	2	-0	0.22	68%	-0.06	6	1.88%	0	0.4	58	0
2	Sep_12_2006	32.77	33.23	33.21	32.92			32.92(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-10000	-7	-7	0.18	64%	-0.09	10.3	1.9%	0	-0.8	47	0
3	Sep_11_2006	32.8	33.22	33.23	33.15			32.49(-1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-4	-10000	-7	4	0.2	64%	-0.12	27.6	1.93%	0	-1.8	42	0
4	Sep_8_2006	32.84	33.23	33.29	33.39			33.08(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-10000	-1	13	0.06	60%	-0.12	45.8	1.92%	0	-0.4	43	0
5	Sep_7_2006	32.88	33.22	33.26	33.42			33.03(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-10000	-2	6	0.22	60%	-0.09	50.4	1.96%	0	-0.5	40	0

6	Sep_6_2006	32.91	33.21	33.24	33.5			33.07(-2.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-0	-10000	-1	2	0.31	60%	-0.09	53.5	1.97%	0	-0.3	39	0
7	Sep_5_2006	32.94	33.19	33.26	33.53			34.09(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	6	-10000	6	5	0.25	59%	-0.03	57.4	1.94%	0	2	59	0
8	Sep_1_2006	32.95	33.11	33.16	33.33			33.68(1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	-10000	5	-1	0.24	60%	0	46.5	2%	0	1.4	64	0
9	Aug_31_2006	32.95	33.05	33.14	33.17			33.22(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10000	2	-2	0.13	61%	-0.06	31.5	2.01%	0	0.4	60	0
10	Aug_30_2006	32.97	33.02	33.19	33.09			33.45(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	4	-10000	5	1	0.16	56%	0	29	2.02%	0	1	59	0

11	Aug_29_2006	32.97	32.98	33.22	33.09			33.23(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	1	-10000	0	3	0.15	56%	-0.06	25.4	2.12%	0	0.6	60	0
12	Aug_28_2006	32.99	32.93	33.23	32.94			33.08(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	1	-10000	-1	8	0.18	56%	-0.03	24.4	2.14%	0	0.3	59	0
13	Aug_25_2006	33	32.91	33.19	32.98			32.89(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-4	10	0.1	58%	-0.09	32.8	2.14%	0	-0	59	0
14	Aug_24_2006	33.03	32.92	33.18	33.11			32.78(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	-10000	-5	16	0.18	58%	-0.06	64.2	2.18%	0	-0.3	55	0
15	Aug_23_2006	33.05	32.9	33.18	33.3			32.74(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	2	-10000	-6	27	0.24	58%	-0.06	81.5	2.18%	0	-0.3	55	0

16	Aug_22_2006	33.07	32.87	33.19	33.53			33.21(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-10000	-1	41	0.14	54%	-0.03	91.4	2.17%	0	0.7	62	0
17	Aug_21_2006	33.08	32.83	33.13	33.55			33.26(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	14	-10000	3	45	0.18	54%	-0.03	107.7	2.27%	0	0.8	70	0
18	Aug_18_2006	33.09	32.77	33.06	33.43			33.56(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	5	40	0.3	53%	0	92.5	2.27%	0	1.2	61	0
19	Aug_17_2006	33.09	32.64	32.96	33.24			33.73(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	4	28	0.36	51%	0	83.7	2.28%	0	1.6	56	0
20	Aug_16_2006	33.09	32.52	32.84	33.07			33.89(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	-10000	7	23	0.3	51%	0.03	85.3	2.32%	0	2.1	67	0

21	Aug_15_2006	33.08	32.42	32.71	32.81			33.33(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	-10000	4	16	0.14	49%	0	71.5	2.31%	0	1.4	66	0
22	Aug_14_2006	33.08	32.29	32.71	32.66			32.65(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	3	-10000	1	7	0.15	49%	0	45.8	2.32%	0	0.5	56	0
23	Aug_11_2006	33.08	32.17	32.59	32.66			32.62(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	3	-10000	0	10	0.14	46%	-0.03	30.6	2.33%	0	0.5	57	0
24	Aug_10_2006	33.09	32.08	32.64	32.63			32.85(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	1	27	0.23	46%	0	22.4	2.35%	0	0.9	74	0
25	Aug_9_2006	33.09	31.98	32.58	32.58			32.6(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	8	-10000	0	32	0.19	46%		12.3	2.35%	0	0.7	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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