Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 31, 2006

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $32.7400 (-1.06%) ($32.5000 - $32.9000) on Mon. Jul. 31, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.37% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $32.7400(-1.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(86%)    EWY(84%)    SPY(81%)    EWG(79%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -1.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.185% (StdDev 2.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.49(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.97(2.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.86(2.76%)
To recent high   -13.9%
To recent low   16.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 2.61% (three month std-dev: 2.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_31_2006	33.15	31.86	31.97	32.49			32.74(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	3	54	0.33	48%	0.03	49	2.37%	0	1.1	50	0
2	Jul_28_2006	33.14	31.83	31.73	32.38			33.09(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	13	40	0.26	48%	0.03	59.4	2.37%	0	1.6	53	0
3	Jul_27_2006	33.13	31.77	31.47	31.9			32.32(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	5	5	0.2	46%	0	58.5	2.35%	0	0.7	51	0
4	Jul_26_2006	33.13	31.68	31.32	31.71			32.02(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-5	-10000	-0	-18	0.17	48%	0	49.4	2.35%	0	0.4	46	0
5	Jul_25_2006	33.13	31.57	31.32	31.72			32.27(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	-10000	9	-13	0.54	47%	0	46	2.36%	0	0.8	52	0

6	Jul_24_2006	33.13	31.46	31.31	31.38			32.2(4.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	-10000	11	-30	0.42	47%	-0.06	38.1	2.36%	0	0.8	46	0
7	Jul_21_2006	33.15	31.36	31.3	30.98			30.69(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	0	-54	0.23	44%	-0.09	26.5	2.27%	0	-0.7	43	0
8	Jul_20_2006	33.18	31.34	31.43	30.97			31.35(-2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	3	-55	0.3	44%	-0.09	23.9	2.26%	0	0	46	0
9	Jul_19_2006	33.21	31.28	31.54	30.97			32.07(4.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-12	-10000	0	-47	0.5	44%	-0.03	26.5	2.25%	0	0.8	61	0
10	Jul_18_2006	33.22	31.16	31.52	30.86			30.59(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-12	-38	0.22	43%	-0.09	31.1	2.16%	0	-0.5	59	0

11	Jul_17_2006	33.25	31.1	31.75	31.26			30.22(-1.24%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-8	-10000	-12	4	0.26	43%	-0.12	40.4	2.19%	0	-0.8	55	0
12	Jul_14_2006	33.29	31.11	31.95	31.66			30.6(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	4	-10000	-8	41	0.41	43%	-0.09	52.1	2.19%	0	-0.4	56	0
13	Jul_13_2006	33.32	31.1	32.12	31.95			30.84(-3.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	11	-10000	-10	72	0.69	43%	-0.09	60.9	2.21%	0	-0.2	59	0
14	Jul_12_2006	33.35	31.01	32.1	32.29			32.07(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	-10000	1	99	0.16	45%	-0.03	58	2.16%	0	0.8	64	0
15	Jul_11_2006	33.36	30.82	31.89	32.26			32.57(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	24	-10000	-2	101	0.27	45%	-0.03	43.1	2.15%	0	1.3	72	0

16	Jul_10_2006	33.37	30.64	31.65	32.32			32.24(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10000	1	116	0.18	45%	-0.03	35.3	2.15%	0	1.2	73	0
17	Jul_7_2006	33.38	30.51	31.44	32.3			32.02(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	-10000	-0	119	0.23	45%	-0.06	24.7	2.15%	0	1.1	62	0
18	Jul_6_2006	33.4	30.39	31.24	32.31			32.56(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	13	126	0.31	45%	0	15.8	2.14%	0	1.7	64	0
19	Jul_5_2006	33.4	30.29	31	31.88			31.91(-2.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	-10000	13	118	0.38	45%	0	1.6	2.13%	0	1.4	68	0
20	Jul_3_2006	33.4	30.24	30.77	31.44			32.88(2.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	42	-10000	18	113	0.22	48%	0	-10	2.09%	0	2.3	78	0

21	Jun_30_2006	33.4	30.16	30.38	30.87			32.14(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	-10000	13	86	0.57	46%	-0.03	-29.2	2.07%	0	1.7	69	0
22	Jun_29_2006	33.41	30.18	30.16	30.47			32.06(5.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	27	-10000	13	69	0.62	46%	-0.03	-36.3	2.08%	0	1.5	61	0
23	Jun_28_2006	33.42	30.2	29.95	30.05			30.4(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	1	48	0.17	42%	-0.06	-43.1	1.96%	0	0.2	53	0
24	Jun_27_2006	33.44	30.27	29.81	30.01			29.73(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	-10000	1	30	0.36	40%	-0.12	-43.3	1.95%	0	-0.4	43	0
25	Jun_26_2006	33.48	30.36	29.67	29.97			30(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	5	-10000	6	1	0.16	40%		-45.9	1.94%	0	-0.3	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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