Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VWO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 1, 2006

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $32.8000 (1.96%) ($31.9400 - $32.8000) on Thu. Jun. 1, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $32.8000(1.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO declines -4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(86%)    EWY(84%)    SPY(81%)    EWG(79%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $20.52(-37.44%)
Resistance Level   $34.51
5 Day Moving Average   $32.54(0.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.61(0.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.51(-4.96%)
To recent high   -13.8%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 6.61% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_1_2006	33.97	34.51	32.61	32.54			32.8(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-31	-10000	6	-143	0.28	42%	0	-44.2	1.69%	0	-0.8	30	0
2	May_31_2006	33.97	34.71	32.73	32.37			32.17(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-10000	-0	-189	0.33	38%	0	-45.2	1.7%	0	-1.1	24	0
3	May_30_2006	33.97	34.96	33.02	32.38			31.5(-5.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-58	-10000	-4	-219	0.64	35%	0	-43.9	1.68%	0	-1.5	19	0
4	May_26_2006	33.97	35.22	33.38	32.49			33.24(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-69	-10000	-5	-261	0.28	40%	0.06	-46.4	1.55%	0	-1	22	0
5	May_25_2006	33.95	35.38	33.64	32.62			32.99(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-71	-10000	-4	-270	0.42	40%	0.03	-46.6	1.56%	0	-1.2	22	0

6	May_24_2006	33.94	35.54	34.01	32.72			31.97(-0.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-85	-10000	-18	-284	0.63	36%	0.03	-47.6	1.52%	0	-1.8	18	0
7	May_23_2006	33.93	35.78	34.58	33.16			32.18(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-82	-10000	-24	-256	0.92	36%	-0.06	-46.3	1.52%	0	-2	22	0
8	May_22_2006	33.95	35.98	35.17	33.78			32.09(-5.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-70	-10000	-23	-212	0.98	36%	0.03	-43.2	1.52%	0	-2.5	22	0
9	May_19_2006	33.94	36.21	35.77	34.37			33.89(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-60	-10000	-19	-182	0.42	41%	0.12	-35.7	1.36%	0	-1.8	35	0
10	May_18_2006	33.9	36.34	36.17	34.81			33.49(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-57	-10000	-28	-143	0.51	41%	0.09	-22.3	1.36%	0	-2.5	33	0

11	May_17_2006	33.87	36.49	36.57	35.49			34.15(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-45	-10000	-30	-89	0.44	43%	0.12	0.4	1.35%	0	-2.4	38	0
12	May_16_2006	33.83	36.62	36.89	36.23			35.27(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-10000	-23	-33	0.3	49%	0.06	36.6	1.28%	0	-1.6	43	0
13	May_15_2006	33.81	36.66	37.08	36.78			35.05(-2.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-13	-10000	-24	20	0.65	49%	0.12	60.8	1.3%	0	-1.9	49	0
14	May_12_2006	33.77	36.67	37.24	37.37			36.09(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	6	-10000	-15	69	0.55	52%	0.18	87.1	1.28%	0	-0.7	52	0
15	May_11_2006	33.71	36.6	37.28	37.72			36.9(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	23	-10000	-3	102	0.44	55%	0.18	84.4	1.25%	0	0.3	58	0

16	May_10_2006	33.65	36.49	37.22	37.8			37.84(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	-10000	7	119	0.37	59%	0.24	76.5	1.21%	0	1.3	71	0
17	May_9_2006	33.57	36.31	37.07	37.64			38.04(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	9	111	0.33	59%	0.24	67	1.21%	0	1.6	72	0
18	May_8_2006	33.49	36.14	36.84	37.43			38(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10000	15	96	0.41	59%	0.24	63.9	1.21%	0	1.7	75	0
19	May_5_2006	33.41	35.97	36.65	37.1			37.8(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	31	-10000	13	86	0.31	59%	0.24	63.7	1.25%	0	1.8	81	0
20	May_4_2006	33.33	35.83	36.49	36.79			37.33(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	30	-10000	11	87	0.35	57%	0.21	67.7	1.25%	0	1.6	81	0

21	May_3_2006	33.26	35.71	36.37	36.55			37.02(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	-10000	6	90	0.26	57%	0.21	75.5	1.26%	0	1.5	80	0
22	May_2_2006	33.19	35.6	36.29	36.42			36.99(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	35	-10000	11	108	0.25	54%	0.21	86.5	1.27%	0	1.7	81	0
23	May_1_2006	33.12	35.47	36.18	36.16			36.37(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	1	102	0.33	52%	0.21	87.4	1.29%	0	1.1	71	0
24	Apr_28_2006	33.05	35.34	36.04	36.13			36.25(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	26	-10000	-1	105	0.23	52%	0.21	83.4	1.28%	0	1.1	69	0
25	Apr_27_2006	32.98	35.21	35.87	36.15			36.14(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-10000	-0	101	0.28	54%		84.6	1.29%	0	1	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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