Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 15, 2006

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $35.0500 (-2.88%) ($31.9200 - $35.5000) on Mon. May. 15, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $35.0500(-2.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO declines -1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(86%)    EWY(84%)    SPY(81%)    EWG(79%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-2%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $36.66
5 Day Moving Average   $36.78(-4.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.08(-5.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.66(-4.39%)
To recent high   -7.9%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 2.37% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060615

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_15_2006	33.81	36.66	37.08	36.78			35.05(-2.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-13	-10000	-24	20	0.65	49%	0.12	60.8	1.3%	0	-1.9	49	0
2	May_12_2006	33.77	36.67	37.24	37.37			36.09(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	6	-10000	-15	69	0.55	52%	0.18	87.1	1.28%	0	-0.7	52	0
3	May_11_2006	33.71	36.6	37.28	37.72			36.9(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	23	-10000	-3	102	0.44	55%	0.18	84.4	1.25%	0	0.3	58	0
4	May_10_2006	33.65	36.49	37.22	37.8			37.84(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	-10000	7	119	0.37	59%	0.24	76.5	1.21%	0	1.3	71	0
5	May_9_2006	33.57	36.31	37.07	37.64			38.04(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	9	111	0.33	59%	0.24	67	1.21%	0	1.6	72	0

6	May_8_2006	33.49	36.14	36.84	37.43			38(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10000	15	96	0.41	59%	0.24	63.9	1.21%	0	1.7	75	0
7	May_5_2006	33.41	35.97	36.65	37.1			37.8(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	31	-10000	13	86	0.31	59%	0.24	63.7	1.25%	0	1.8	81	0
8	May_4_2006	33.33	35.83	36.49	36.79			37.33(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	30	-10000	11	87	0.35	57%	0.21	67.7	1.25%	0	1.6	81	0
9	May_3_2006	33.26	35.71	36.37	36.55			37.02(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	-10000	6	90	0.26	57%	0.21	75.5	1.26%	0	1.5	80	0
10	May_2_2006	33.19	35.6	36.29	36.42			36.99(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	35	-10000	11	108	0.25	54%	0.21	86.5	1.27%	0	1.7	81	0

11	May_1_2006	33.12	35.47	36.18	36.16			36.37(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	1	102	0.33	52%	0.21	87.4	1.29%	0	1.1	71	0
12	Apr_28_2006	33.05	35.34	36.04	36.13			36.25(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	26	-10000	-1	105	0.23	52%	0.21	83.4	1.28%	0	1.1	69	0
13	Apr_27_2006	32.98	35.21	35.87	36.15			36.14(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-10000	-0	101	0.28	54%	0.18	84.6	1.29%	0	1	61	0
14	Apr_26_2006	32.92	35.07	35.71	36.16			36.35(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	1	95	0.22	56%	0.21	82.1	1.3%	0	1.4	63	0
15	Apr_25_2006	32.85	34.91	35.51	36.14			35.71(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-10000	-2	89	0.31	54%	0.18	78.2	1.3%	0	0.8	61	0

16	Apr_24_2006	32.79	34.79	35.41	36.19			36.2(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	-10000	12	104	0.26	57%	0.21	76.8	1.28%	0	1.4	71	0
17	Apr_21_2006	32.72	34.64	35.25	35.92			36.33(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	-10000	16	99	0.22	59%	0.21	68	1.29%	0	1.7	79	0
18	Apr_20_2006	32.65	34.47	35.11	35.55			36.19(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	15	90	0.46	55%	0.21	57.5	1.3%	0	1.7	79	0
19	Apr_19_2006	32.58	34.32	34.99	35.2			36.27(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	34	-10000	17	85	0.41	58%	0.25	48.2	1.35%	0	2.1	81	0
20	Apr_18_2006	32.5	34.15	34.83	34.8			35.96(3.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	28	-10000	12	76	0.3	58%	0.22	38.6	1.39%	0	2.1	82	0

21	Apr_17_2006	32.43	34.03	34.67	34.52			34.87(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	2	69	0.32	53%	0.19	41.9	1.34%	0	1.1	69	0
22	Apr_13_2006	32.37	33.96	34.56	34.48			34.46(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	13	-10000	-6	70	0.22	53%	0.15	49.3	1.36%	0	0.7	68	0
23	Apr_12_2006	32.32	33.91	34.48	34.61			34.44(0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-6	88	0.2	53%	0.19	66	1.36%	0	0.8	70	0
24	Apr_11_2006	32.26	33.87	34.39	34.75			34.25(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	22	-10000	-5	103	0.18	53%	0.16	82.6	1.36%	0	0.5	64	0
25	Apr_10_2006	32.21	33.82	34.27	34.86			34.6(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	30	-10000	1	117	0.21	53%		93.2	1.35%	0	1.1	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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