Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 3, 2006

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $37.0200 (0.08%) ($36.7800 - $37.1200) on Wed. May. 3, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $37.0200(0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(86%)    EWY(84%)    SPY(81%)    EWG(79%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-2%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.55(1.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.37(1.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.71(3.67%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 2.41% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060603

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_3_2006	33.26	35.71	36.37	36.55			37.02(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	-10000	6	90	0.26	57%	0.21	75.5	1.26%	0	1.5	80	0
2	May_2_2006	33.19	35.6	36.29	36.42			36.99(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	35	-10000	11	108	0.25	54%	0.21	86.5	1.27%	0	1.7	81	0
3	May_1_2006	33.12	35.47	36.18	36.16			36.37(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	1	102	0.33	52%	0.21	87.4	1.29%	0	1.1	71	0
4	Apr_28_2006	33.05	35.34	36.04	36.13			36.25(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	26	-10000	-1	105	0.23	52%	0.21	83.4	1.28%	0	1.1	69	0
5	Apr_27_2006	32.98	35.21	35.87	36.15			36.14(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-10000	-0	101	0.28	54%	0.18	84.6	1.29%	0	1	61	0

6	Apr_26_2006	32.92	35.07	35.71	36.16			36.35(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	1	95	0.22	56%	0.21	82.1	1.3%	0	1.4	63	0
7	Apr_25_2006	32.85	34.91	35.51	36.14			35.71(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-10000	-2	89	0.31	54%	0.18	78.2	1.3%	0	0.8	61	0
8	Apr_24_2006	32.79	34.79	35.41	36.19			36.2(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	-10000	12	104	0.26	57%	0.21	76.8	1.28%	0	1.4	71	0
9	Apr_21_2006	32.72	34.64	35.25	35.92			36.33(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	-10000	16	99	0.22	59%	0.21	68	1.29%	0	1.7	79	0
10	Apr_20_2006	32.65	34.47	35.11	35.55			36.19(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	15	90	0.46	55%	0.21	57.5	1.3%	0	1.7	79	0

11	Apr_19_2006	32.58	34.32	34.99	35.2			36.27(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	34	-10000	17	85	0.41	58%	0.25	48.2	1.35%	0	2.1	81	0
12	Apr_18_2006	32.5	34.15	34.83	34.8			35.96(3.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	28	-10000	12	76	0.3	58%	0.22	38.6	1.39%	0	2.1	82	0
13	Apr_17_2006	32.43	34.03	34.67	34.52			34.87(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	2	69	0.32	53%	0.19	41.9	1.34%	0	1.1	69	0
14	Apr_13_2006	32.37	33.96	34.56	34.48			34.46(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	13	-10000	-6	70	0.22	53%	0.15	49.3	1.36%	0	0.7	68	0
15	Apr_12_2006	32.32	33.91	34.48	34.61			34.44(0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-6	88	0.2	53%	0.19	66	1.36%	0	0.8	70	0

16	Apr_11_2006	32.26	33.87	34.39	34.75			34.25(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	22	-10000	-5	103	0.18	53%	0.16	82.6	1.36%	0	0.5	64	0
17	Apr_10_2006	32.21	33.82	34.27	34.86			34.6(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	30	-10000	1	117	0.21	53%	0.19	93.2	1.35%	0	1.1	71	0
18	Apr_7_2006	32.15	33.72	34.15	34.84			34.66(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	36	-10000	9	117	0.29	53%	0.19	87.6	1.35%	0	1.2	60	0
19	Apr_6_2006	32.09	33.61	34.01	34.63			35.09(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	-10000	13	101	0.62	54%	0.22	70.6	1.35%	0	1.9	66	0
20	Apr_5_2006	32.02	33.45	33.79	34.33			35.15(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	-10000	16	76	1.37	54%	0.25	50.9	1.36%	0	2.2	68	0

21	Apr_4_2006	31.94	33.3	33.58	33.97			34.82(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	23	-10000	16	44	0.22	54%	0.22	28.3	1.36%	0	2.1	62	0
22	Apr_3_2006	31.87	33.15	33.39	33.6			34.46(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	11	-10000	10	12	0.31	57%	0.19	6.3	1.36%	0	2.1	62	0
23	Mar_31_2006	31.81	33.07	33.3	33.38			33.64(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-10000	4	6	0.18	55%	0.19	-10.7	1.39%	0	1	65	0
24	Mar_30_2006	31.75	33.06	33.29	33.29			33.6(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	6	14	0.25	55%	0.16	-15.7	1.4%	0	0.9	65	0
25	Mar_29_2006	31.7	33.07	33.27	33.16			33.35(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10000	1	21	0.17	55%		-17.9	1.4%	0	0.5	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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