Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VWO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 4, 2006

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $34.8200 (1.04%) ($34.5700 - $34.8500) on Tue. Apr. 4, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $34.8200(1.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(86%)    EWY(84%)    SPY(81%)    EWG(79%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-2%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.97(2.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.58(3.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.3(4.56%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 2.19% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2006	31.94	33.3	33.58	33.97			34.82(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	23	-10000	16	44	0.22	54%	0.22	28.3	1.36%	0	2.1	62	0
2	Apr_3_2006	31.87	33.15	33.39	33.6			34.46(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	11	-10000	10	12	0.31	57%	0.19	6.3	1.36%	0	2.1	62	0
3	Mar_31_2006	31.81	33.07	33.3	33.38			33.64(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-10000	4	6	0.18	55%	0.19	-10.7	1.39%	0	1	65	0
4	Mar_30_2006	31.75	33.06	33.29	33.29			33.6(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	6	14	0.25	55%	0.16	-15.7	1.4%	0	0.9	65	0
5	Mar_29_2006	31.7	33.07	33.27	33.16			33.35(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10000	1	21	0.17	55%	0.19	-17.9	1.4%	0	0.5	69	0

6	Mar_28_2006	31.64	33.09	33.3	33.13			32.96(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	-10000	-0	37	0.21	55%	0.19	-16.6	1.4%	0	-0.2	64	0
7	Mar_27_2006	31.58	33.11	33.34	33.14			33.34(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	12	-10000	-3	56	0.23	52%	0.16	-16.6	1.39%	0	0.4	71	0
8	Mar_24_2006	31.53	33.13	33.26	33.21			33.19(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	-10000	-3	54	0.26	52%	0.19	-11.1	1.43%	0	0.1	51	0
9	Mar_23_2006	31.47	33.15	33.2	33.29			32.97(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-4	49	0.24	52%	0.16	-5.7	1.44%	0	-0.3	45	0
10	Mar_22_2006	31.42	33.18	33.12	33.39			33.19(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-4	33	0.31	52%	0.19	3.1	1.44%	0	0	41	0

11	Mar_21_2006	31.36	33.19	33.01	33.49			33.03(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-3	20	0.31	54%	0.19	11.9	1.43%	0	-0.2	41	0
12	Mar_20_2006	31.3	33.21	32.9	33.55			33.67(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	10	14	0.21	56%	0.22	21.6	1.42%	0	0.7	53	0
13	Mar_17_2006	31.23	33.2	32.83	33.32			33.6(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	9	-13	0.26	56%	0.26	15.3	1.41%	0	0.6	47	0
14	Mar_16_2006	31.15	33.19	32.8	33.1			33.47(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-10000	13	-29	0.21	56%	0.23	9.7	1.42%	0	0.4	48	0
15	Mar_15_2006	31.08	33.16	32.84	32.79			33.66(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-2	-10000	13	-46	0.35	56%	0.26	-4.1	1.42%	0	0.8	50	0

16	Mar_14_2006	31	33.12	32.85	32.48			33.34(2.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-6	-10000	14	-65	0.23	56%	0.19	-17.6	1.42%	0	0.3	48	0
17	Mar_13_2006	30.94	33.07	32.83	32.17			32.51(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-29	-10000	-5	-99	0.28	53%	0.19	-37.9	1.38%	0	-0.8	43	0
18	Mar_10_2006	30.88	33.1	32.96	32.28			32.5(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-30	-10000	-9	-91	0.34	53%	0.26	-34.7	1.38%	0	-0.9	41	0
19	Mar_9_2006	30.8	33.12	33.07	32.48			31.95(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-10000	-19	-79	0.27	52%	0.16	-29	1.38%	0	-1.8	36	0
20	Mar_8_2006	30.75	33.18	33.25	32.9			32.08(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-22	-10000	-16	-41	0.39	52%	0.2	-21.1	1.37%	0	-1.9	45	0

21	Mar_7_2006	30.69	33.23	33.4	33.27			31.83(-3.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-11	-10000	-12	-6	0.51	52%	0.16	-12.6	1.37%	0	-2.6	42	0
22	Mar_6_2006	30.64	33.33	33.57	33.55			33.03(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	2	-10000	-8	31	0.33	56%	0.2	0.8	1.29%	0	-0.7	62	0
23	Mar_3_2006	30.58	33.32	33.57	33.72			33.49(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-10000	-1	55	0.42	58%	0.23	1.6	1.27%	0	0.4	56	0
24	Mar_2_2006	30.51	33.31	33.63	33.75			34.05(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	4	68	0.28	60%	0.23	4.7	1.26%	0	1.7	62	0
25	Mar_1_2006	30.44	33.3	33.51	33.66			33.94(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	4	62	0.35	63%		12.1	1.26%	0	1.5	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.