Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 29, 2006

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $33.3500 (1.18%) ($32.8700 - $33.4200) on Wed. Mar. 29, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $33.3500(1.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(86%)    EWY(84%)    SPY(81%)    EWG(79%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-2%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.16(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.27(0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.07(0.85%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060429

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_29_2006	31.7	33.07	33.27	33.16			33.35(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10000	1	21	0.17	55%	0.19	-17.9	1.4%	0	0.5	69	0
2	Mar_28_2006	31.64	33.09	33.3	33.13			32.96(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	-10000	-0	37	0.21	55%	0.19	-16.6	1.4%	0	-0.2	64	0
3	Mar_27_2006	31.58	33.11	33.34	33.14			33.34(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	12	-10000	-3	56	0.23	52%	0.16	-16.6	1.39%	0	0.4	71	0
4	Mar_24_2006	31.53	33.13	33.26	33.21			33.19(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	-10000	-3	54	0.26	52%	0.19	-11.1	1.43%	0	0.1	51	0
5	Mar_23_2006	31.47	33.15	33.2	33.29			32.97(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-4	49	0.24	52%	0.16	-5.7	1.44%	0	-0.3	45	0

6	Mar_22_2006	31.42	33.18	33.12	33.39			33.19(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-4	33	0.31	52%	0.19	3.1	1.44%	0	0	41	0
7	Mar_21_2006	31.36	33.19	33.01	33.49			33.03(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-3	20	0.31	54%	0.19	11.9	1.43%	0	-0.2	41	0
8	Mar_20_2006	31.3	33.21	32.9	33.55			33.67(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	10	14	0.21	56%	0.22	21.6	1.42%	0	0.7	53	0
9	Mar_17_2006	31.23	33.2	32.83	33.32			33.6(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	9	-13	0.26	56%	0.26	15.3	1.41%	0	0.6	47	0
10	Mar_16_2006	31.15	33.19	32.8	33.1			33.47(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-10000	13	-29	0.21	56%	0.23	9.7	1.42%	0	0.4	48	0

11	Mar_15_2006	31.08	33.16	32.84	32.79			33.66(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-2	-10000	13	-46	0.35	56%	0.26	-4.1	1.42%	0	0.8	50	0
12	Mar_14_2006	31	33.12	32.85	32.48			33.34(2.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-6	-10000	14	-65	0.23	56%	0.19	-17.6	1.42%	0	0.3	48	0
13	Mar_13_2006	30.94	33.07	32.83	32.17			32.51(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-29	-10000	-5	-99	0.28	53%	0.19	-37.9	1.38%	0	-0.8	43	0
14	Mar_10_2006	30.88	33.1	32.96	32.28			32.5(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-30	-10000	-9	-91	0.34	53%	0.26	-34.7	1.38%	0	-0.9	41	0
15	Mar_9_2006	30.8	33.12	33.07	32.48			31.95(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-10000	-19	-79	0.27	52%	0.16	-29	1.38%	0	-1.8	36	0

16	Mar_8_2006	30.75	33.18	33.25	32.9			32.08(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-22	-10000	-16	-41	0.39	52%	0.2	-21.1	1.37%	0	-1.9	45	0
17	Mar_7_2006	30.69	33.23	33.4	33.27			31.83(-3.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-11	-10000	-12	-6	0.51	52%	0.16	-12.6	1.37%	0	-2.6	42	0
18	Mar_6_2006	30.64	33.33	33.57	33.55			33.03(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	2	-10000	-8	31	0.33	56%	0.2	0.8	1.29%	0	-0.7	62	0
19	Mar_3_2006	30.58	33.32	33.57	33.72			33.49(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-10000	-1	55	0.42	58%	0.23	1.6	1.27%	0	0.4	56	0
20	Mar_2_2006	30.51	33.31	33.63	33.75			34.05(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	4	68	0.28	60%	0.23	4.7	1.26%	0	1.7	62	0

21	Mar_1_2006	30.44	33.31	33.51	33.66			33.94(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	4	62	0.35	63%	0.2	12.1	1.26%	0	1.5	62	0
22	Feb_28_2006	30.38	33.3	33.41	33.58			33.25(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	13	-10000	-1	55	0.47	61%	0.2	20.5	1.24%	0	-0.1	56	0
23	Feb_27_2006	30.32	33.3	33.33	33.6			33.86(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	3	43	0.32	63%	0.23	37	1.22%	0	1.2	51	0
24	Feb_24_2006	30.25	33.32	33.24	33.53			33.67(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	2	39	0.31	63%	0.23	54.8	1.22%	0	0.8	59	0
25	Feb_23_2006	30.18	33.29	33.16	33.48			33.58(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	7	34	0.18	65%		59.8	1.23%	0	0.7	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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