Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 9, 2005

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $29.9000 (0.27%) ($29.7500 - $29.9600) on Fri. Dec. 9, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $29.9000(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(85%)    EWY(84%)    SPY(81%)    EWG(79%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.92(-0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.64(0.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.2(2.4%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   16.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 2.05% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_9_2005	27.6	29.2	29.64	29.92			29.9(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	20	-10000	2	73	0.17	54%	0.15	84.9	1.29%	0	1.2	71	0
2	Dec_8_2005	27.56	29.11	29.58	29.89			29.82(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	1	78	0.15	54%	0.15	83.8	1.3%	0	1.2	72	0
3	Dec_7_2005	27.52	29.02	29.53	29.87			29.95(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	9	96	0.2	54%	0.15	81.6	1.29%	0	1.5	79	0
4	Dec_6_2005	27.48	28.91	29.41	29.69			30.15(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	33	-10000	12	94	0.17	55%	0.18	74.7	1.29%	0	1.9	86	0
5	Dec_5_2005	27.43	28.8	29.28	29.46			29.78(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	7	81	0.47	55%	0.15	74.5	1.29%	0	1.6	75	0

6	Dec_2_2005	27.39	28.7	29.19	29.32			29.74(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	5	76	0.15	55%	0.18	80.6	1.3%	0	1.8	73	0
7	Dec_1_2005	27.34	28.61	29.09	29.22			29.72(2.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	22	-10000	4	77	0.1	56%	0.15	96.9	1.3%	0	2	76	0
8	Nov_30_2005	27.3	28.52	28.95	29.14			29.08(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	3	77	0.15	55%	0.11	114	1.29%	0	1.1	72	0
9	Nov_29_2005	27.27	28.44	28.86	29.09			28.99(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	1	79	0.12	55%	0.15	113.2	1.3%	0	1	75	0
10	Nov_28_2005	27.23	28.35	28.8	29.07			29.08(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10000	2	87	0.11	55%	0.18	104.8	1.3%	0	1.2	72	0

11	Nov_25_2005	27.18	28.23	28.73	29.03			29.24(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	5	93	0.11	55%	0.26	94	1.31%	0	1.5	75	0
12	Nov_23_2005	27.11	28.08	28.62	28.93			29.32(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	10	89	0.14	52%	0.15	78.3	1.32%	0	1.6	74	0
13	Nov_22_2005	27.07	27.95	28.49	28.74			28.82(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	8	75	0.12	52%	0.07	73.5	1.32%	0	1.1	69	0
14	Nov_21_2005	27.05	27.84	28.38	28.59			28.9(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	21	-10000	6	67	0.14	52%	0.15	71.1	1.32%	0	1.4	79	0
15	Nov_18_2005	27.01	27.74	28.27	28.48			28.85(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	21	-10000	5	68	0.12	50%	0.19	67.3	1.32%	0	1.4	80	0

16	Nov_17_2005	26.96	27.63	28.17	28.39			28.75(1.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	25	-10000	7	79	0.09	50%	0.15	57	1.34%	0	1.3	83	0
17	Nov_16_2005	26.92	27.47	28.09	28.26			28.38(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	27	-10000	4	97	0.09	48%	0.11	47.5	1.34%	0	1.1	86	0
18	Nov_15_2005	26.89	27.38	28.04	28.19			28.09(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	4	110	0.11	48%	0.15	41.4	1.35%	0	0.9	67	0
19	Nov_14_2005	26.85	27.3	27.98	28.12			28.34(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	5	119	0.15	48%	0.15	32.5	1.34%	0	1.3	72	0
20	Nov_11_2005	26.81	27.24	27.87	28.02			28.39(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	5	114	0.1	48%	0.15	27.6	1.35%	0	1.6	63	0

21	Nov_10_2005	26.77	27.16	27.7	27.92			28.12(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	2	110	0.12	48%	0.11	22	1.35%	0	1.4	67	0
22	Nov_9_2005	26.74	27.1	27.5	27.89			28.03(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	1	116	0.09	51%	0.11	19.7	1.35%	0	1.4	72	0
23	Nov_8_2005	26.71	27.1	27.38	27.88			27.7(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	33	-10000	4	119	0.18	51%	0.11	14.3	1.39%	0	1	60	0
24	Nov_7_2005	26.68	27.05	27.26	27.81			27.86(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	7	119	0.1	51%	0.11	5.9	1.38%	0	1.3	61	0
25	Nov_4_2005	26.65	27.03	27.18	27.68			27.9(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	12	109	0.17	50%		-6.9	1.4%	0	1.4	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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