Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 6, 2005

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $24.2100 (0.88%) ($24.0400 - $24.2300) on Mon. Jun. 6, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $24.2100(0.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(85%)    EWY(84%)    SPY(81%)    EWG(79%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.97(1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.83(1.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.7(2.15%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.18% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050706

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_6_2005	23.65	23.7	23.83	23.97			24.21(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	-10000	4	41	0.09	42%	0.04	40.7	1.21%	0	1.8	69	0
2	Jun_3_2005	23.64	23.68	23.77	23.91			24(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	5	43	0.05	42%	0	53.6	1.22%	0	1.2	69	0
3	Jun_2_2005	23.64	23.67	23.75	23.84			24.06(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	7	47	0.27	42%	0.04	68.9	1.23%	0	1.6	69	0
4	Jun_1_2005	23.63	23.65	23.73	23.73			23.85(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	3	39	0.19	42%	0	74.3	1.23%	0	0.8	53	0
5	May_31_2005	23.63	23.61	23.68	23.69			23.72(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	1	31	0.13	42%	0.04	57.9	1.24%	0	0.4	54	0

6	May_27_2005	23.62	23.59	23.64	23.67			23.93(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	5	19	0.07	42%	0	48	1.25%	0	1.1	47	0
7	May_26_2005	23.62	23.54	23.57	23.6			23.63(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10000	-3	-6	0.05	40%	0	34.9	1.25%	0	0.3	43	0
8	May_25_2005	23.62	23.5	23.53	23.64			23.53(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-10000	-5	-13	0.06	40%	0	29.4	1.25%	0	0.1	45	0
9	May_24_2005	23.62	23.48	23.54	23.72			23.62(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	1	-10000	3	-4	0.05	40%	0	39.9	1.27%	0	0.4	46	0
10	May_23_2005	23.62	23.46	23.53	23.67			23.63(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	3	-10000	4	0	0.06	40%	0	36.6	1.28%	0	0.5	61	0

11	May_20_2005	23.62	23.44	23.56	23.61			23.6(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	7	-10000	6	9	0.07	40%	0	40.3	1.29%	0	0.4	58	0
12	May_19_2005	23.62	23.42	23.59	23.52			23.83(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	-10000	8	17	0.05	40%	0	39	1.3%	0	1.1	63	0
13	May_18_2005	23.62	23.39	23.58	23.4			23.93(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	8	-10000	3	22	0.52	40%	0.04	31	1.31%	0	1.5	69	0
14	May_17_2005	23.61	23.34	23.57	23.35			23.36(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	-10000	-2	28	0.14	36%	0	16.7	1.27%	0	0.1	55	0
15	May_16_2005	23.61	23.33	23.54	23.38			23.33(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10000	-9	25	0.04	36%	-0.04	8.2	1.28%	0	0	53	0

16	May_13_2005	23.62	23.3	23.53	23.51			23.17(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-10000	-11	37	0.08	36%	-0.04	3.6	1.29%	0	-0.3	48	0
17	May_12_2005	23.63	23.3	23.52	23.67			23.23(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	8	-10000	-7	54	0.11	36%	-0.04	2.4	1.31%	0	-0.1	53	0
18	May_11_2005	23.64	23.3	23.48	23.78			23.65(0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10000	-2	59	0.04	38%	0	0.6	1.3%	0	0.9	55	0
19	May_10_2005	23.64	23.28	23.42	23.81			23.51(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	23	-10000	6	72	0.15	38%	0	0.6	1.31%	0	0.5	61	0
20	May_9_2005	23.64	23.3	23.39	23.71			24.01(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	-10000	11	66	0.25	40%	0.04	-3.2	1.29%	0	1.6	60	0

21	May_6_2005	23.63	23.29	23.32	23.54			23.93(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	12	60	0.25	40%	0	-13	1.3%	0	1.5	65	0
22	May_5_2005	23.63	23.27	23.24	23.36			23.81(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	-10000	15	49	0.22	40%	0.04	-21.7	1.32%	0	1.2	63	0
23	May_4_2005	23.62	23.27	23.18	23.13			23.8(3.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	13	-10000	9	23	0.62	40%	0	-32.8	1.33%	0	1.2	56	0
24	May_3_2005	23.62	23.28	23.07	22.99			23(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-10000	-3	-14	0.12	32%	-0.04	-37	1.21%	0	-0.6	41	0
25	May_2_2005	23.63	23.31	23.09	23.03			23.16(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-8	-10000	-3	-24	0.06	32%		-27.5	1.22%	0	-0.3	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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