Trading Signals: VUG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 20, 2019

Trading Signals: VUG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Growth ETF)
VUG latest price $151.4000 (0.06%) ($150.7000 - $151.7300) on Wed. Feb. 20, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $151.4000(0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VUG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VUG advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VUG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(98%)    IVW(92%)    VT(92%)    XLY(92%)    IWF(91%)
Factors Impacting VUG price   VUG will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-26%)    UUP(-20%)    TLT(-12%)    VIXM(-10%)    XHB(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $150.79(0.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $149.53(1.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $147.25(2.82%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VUG price fluctuates within 2.19% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 28 Average positive next day return: 0.82%(57%) Average negative next day return: -1.3%(43%) Sample size 28 Average positive next three day return: 1.38%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.41%(50%) Sample size 28 Average positive next weekly return: 2.38%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.36%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190320

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_20_2019	144.4	147.25	149.53	150.79	150.8	151.22	151.4(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	24	20	14	54	0.56	43%	-0.07	71.2	1.6%	0	1.3	80	1.6
2	Feb_19_2019	144.5	146.76	149.28	150.42	150.51	151.06	151.31(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	30	36	75	0.82	40%	-0.19	71.7	1.62%	0	1.4	85	1
3	Feb_15_2019	144.77	146.37	148.93	149.68	150.01	150.38	151.16(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	44	20	33	76	0.83	42%	-0.08	74.8	1.65%	0	1.5	80	1.5
4	Feb_14_2019	144.88	145.91	148.47	148.95	149.22	149.96	150.05(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	40	28	72	0.72	42%	-0.08	74	1.65%	0	1.4	71	1
5	Feb_13_2019	144.99	145.45	148.13	148.37	148.47	149.64	150.02(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	60	51	85	0.73	42%	-0.08	71.3	1.65%	0	1.5	74	1.3

6	Feb_12_2019	145.1	144.99	147.62	148.09	147.72	148.47	149.55(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	30	38	85	0.74	40%	-0.08	74.3	1.65%	0	1.5	75	1.5
7	Feb_11_2019	145.21	144.45	146.87	148	147.62	147.3	147.63(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-20	6	72	0.81	40%	-0.1	75.8	1.68%	0	1	72	1.3
8	Feb_8_2019	145.35	144.07	146.38	148.07	147.84	146.96	147.52(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-50	-29	58	0.67	39%	-0.1	82.8	1.68%	0	1.1	60	1.3
9	Feb_7_2019	145.49	143.7	146.02	147.88	147.96	147.93	147.13(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	0	-20	65	1.08	42%	-0.08	97.7	1.68%	0	1.1	64	1.1
10	Feb_6_2019	145.61	143.32	145.53	147.79	147.83	148.72	148.6(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	40	38	90	0.93	42%	-0.08	105.6	1.71%	0	1.7	71	1.7

11	Feb_5_2019	145.73	142.8	144.83	147.05	147.19	148	149.12(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	71	40	64	93	1.11	42%	-0.07	109.6	1.71%	0	2.1	73	1.8
12	Feb_4_2019	145.83	142.17	144.05	145.57	146.01	146.94	148(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	55	50	48	74	1	42%	-0.08	107	1.71%	0	2	75	1.9
13	Feb_1_2019	145.95	141.54	143.58	144.45	144.7	146.39	146.56(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	66	90	63	75	0.81	43%	-0.1	100.5	1.71%	0	1.8	69	1.4
14	Jan_31_2019	146.1	140.75	143.11	143.88	143.56	145.09	146.69(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	79	70	79	78	1.3	45%	-0.09	75.2	1.72%	0	1.7	67	1.4
15	Jan_30_2019	146.23	140.13	142.51	142.96	142.9	143.01	144.88(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	0	43	55	0.89	47%	-0.1	81.9	1.73%	0	1.4	66	1.1

16	Jan_29_2019	146.38	139.6	142.09	142.3	142.35	142.04	141.71(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-10	-20	28	1.06	43%	-0.12	87.6	1.72%	0	0.6	63	0.5
17	Jan_28_2019	146.55	139.19	141.83	142.27	142.25	142.79	142.39(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	30	2	41	1.63	43%	-0.12	85.4	1.73%	0	0.9	70	0.6
18	Jan_25_2019	146.72	138.74	141.59	142.56	142.23	142.66	143.75(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	10	30	67	0.84	44%	-0.1	83.1	1.75%	0	1.4	78	1.1
19	Jan_24_2019	146.87	138.16	141.21	142.22	142.22	141.7	142.06(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	19	-30	1	74	0.84	42%	-0.12	74.7	1.77%	0	1	83	0.8
20	Jan_23_2019	147.05	137.34	140.96	141.99	142.09	141.8	141.6(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10	-22	73	1.04	42%	-0.13	57.1	1.82%	0	1.1	66	0.6

21	Jan_22_2019	147.24	136.71	140.66	141.83	141.96	142.74	141.55(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	40	22	99	1.77	42%	-0.14	43.1	1.82%	0	1.3	66	0.5
22	Jan_18_2019	147.44	136.23	140.21	141.27	141.46	142.39	143.84(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	74	50	59	118	2.29	40%	-0.12	21.2	1.8%	0	1.6	74	1.5
23	Jan_17_2019	147.62	135.73	139.36	140.47	140.28	141.19	142.07(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	40	29	102	1.13	40%	-0.14	9.4	1.8%	0	1.4	71	1.4
24	Jan_16_2019	147.82	135.44	138.23	140.09	139.82	140.52	140.9(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	57	30	42	100	3.71	42%	-0.13	2.8	1.8%	0	1.3	72	1.3
25	Jan_15_2019	148.01	135.18	137.57	139.8	139.37	139.36	140.78(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	-10	14	108	1.77	42%		-4.2	1.83%	0	1.3	80	1.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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