Trading Signals: VUG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 11, 2017

Trading Signals: VUG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Growth ETF)
VUG latest price $134.9800 (0.33%) ($134.5000 - $135.0100) on Wed. Oct. 11, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.49% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $134.9800(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VUG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VUG advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VUG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(97%)    IVW(93%)    VT(93%)    IWF(92%)    XLY(92%)
Factors Impacting VUG price   VUG will decline at least -0.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-17%)    TLT(-13%)    IGOV(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.245% (StdDev 0.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $134.54(0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $133.79(0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $133.03(1.47%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   5.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VUG price fluctuates within 0.81% (three month std-dev: 0.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.37%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.36%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.55%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.69%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0.49%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.12%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_11_2017	130.15	133.03	133.79	134.54	134.51	134.66	134.98(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	62	10	33	150	0.4	69%	0.07	48.1	0.49%	0	1.8	73	INF
2	Oct_10_2017	130.06	132.93	133.49	134.26	134.36	134.51	134.53(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	65	10	41	136	0.4	69%	0.06	52.7	0.48%	0	1.6	63	INF
3	Oct_9_2017	129.98	132.86	133.16	134.01	134.07	134.37	134.33(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	60	20	43	110	0.33	69%	0.07	58	0.49%	0	1.6	61	INF
4	Oct_6_2017	129.89	132.78	132.83	133.75	133.76	134.21	134.44(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	80	20	74	96	0.69	67%	0.08	59.1	0.49%	0	1.9	61	INF
5	Oct_5_2017	129.79	132.64	132.56	133.41	133.43	133.78	134.44(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	83	20	86	73	0.35	67%	0.08	53.3	0.51%	0	2.3	62	INF

6	Oct_4_2017	129.68	132.51	132.32	132.94	133	133.3	133.57(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	50	20	55	33	0.57	65%	0.05	50.9	0.51%	0	1.5	54	INF
7	Oct_3_2017	129.61	132.42	132.21	132.6	132.61	133.08	133.26(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	60	30	73	20	0.5	65%	0.05	50	0.51%	0	1.2	48	INF
8	Oct_2_2017	129.54	132.32	132.15	132.18	132.24	132.69	133.04(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	69	30	91	2	0.69	65%	0.05	46.2	0.51%	0	1	45	INF
9	Sep_29_2017	129.47	132.26	132.15	131.77	131.82	132.14	132.75(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	34	20	56	-33	0.6	60%	0.06	51	0.51%	0	0.7	46	INF
10	Sep_28_2017	129.39	132.22	132.12	131.58	131.52	131.8	132.06(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	12	10	30	-43	0.58	61%	0.05	60.8	0.53%	0	-0.2	55	INF

11	Sep_27_2017	129.33	132.16	132.2	131.61	131.47	131.5	131.89(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-0	10	-43	0.54	57%	0.05	64.9	0.55%	0	-0.4	49	INF
12	Sep_26_2017	129.27	132.06	132.32	131.79	131.63	131.24	131.15(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-46	-20	-46	-47	0.53	55%	0.05	57.1	0.56%	0	-1	48	INF
13	Sep_25_2017	129.21	132	132.54	132.13	131.97	131.45	131.01(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-71	-30	-84	-33	0.68	55%	0.04	63.8	0.56%	0	-0.9	52	INF
14	Sep_22_2017	129.16	131.93	132.74	132.51	132.4	132.02	131.79(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-51	-20	-67	-1	0.38	58%	0.05	68.5	0.56%	0	-0.1	50	INF
15	Sep_21_2017	129.09	131.81	132.74	132.72	132.74	132.5	132.23(-0.39%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-22	-10	-36	22	0.38	58%	0.06	69.6	0.56%	0	0.3	56	INF

16	Sep_20_2017	129.01	131.68	132.77	132.86	132.87	132.78	132.75(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-0	-24	45	0.53	55%	0.06	65.1	0.55%	0	0.7	70	INF
17	Sep_19_2017	128.93	131.54	132.67	132.94	132.93	132.98	132.86(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	0	-3	72	0.36	58%	0.06	64.9	0.56%	0	0.9	77	INF
18	Sep_18_2017	128.85	131.32	132.52	132.94	132.97	132.96	132.91(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	27	-0	6	90	0.44	58%	0.06	58	0.58%	0	1	78	INF
19	Sep_15_2017	128.77	131.09	132.43	133.02	133	132.87	132.86(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-10	-2	110	0.36	58%	0.07	54.4	0.58%	0	1.1	79	INF
20	Sep_14_2017	128.68	130.88	132.32	132.81	132.97	132.97	132.91(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	0	4	125	0.42	58%	0.07	51.2	0.58%	0	1.2	80	INF

21	Sep_13_2017	128.59	130.75	132.11	132.65	132.72	133.12	133.16(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	62	20	35	142	0.56	60%	0.07	52.5	0.58%	0	1.5	78	INF
22	Sep_12_2017	128.5	130.59	131.78	132.36	132.45	132.96	133.25(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	102	30	86	151	0.4	60%	0.09	50	0.58%	0	1.8	72	INF
23	Sep_11_2017	128.39	130.42	131.4	131.96	132.06	132.32	132.94(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	74	20	55	132	0.46	60%	0.09	45.2	0.58%	0	1.9	77	INF
24	Sep_8_2017	128.28	130.21	131.03	131.96	131.71	131.95	131.78(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	10	10	112	0.48	54%	0.08	39.6	0.59%	0	1.3	75	INF
25	Sep_7_2017	128.18	130.03	130.77	131.76	131.74	131.81	132.12(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	65	0	43	132	0.73	54%		32	0.59%	0	1.7	75	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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