Trading Signals: VUG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: VUG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Growth ETF)
VUG latest price $103.9200 (0.07%) ($103.5500 - $104.1900) on Mon. Mar. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $103.9200(0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VUG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VUG advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VUG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(97%)    IVW(93%)    IWF(92%)    VT(92%)    XLY(92%)
Factors Impacting VUG price   VUG will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-14%)    IPO(-7%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $102.67(1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $102.63(1.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $100.97(2.92%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VUG price fluctuates within 1.94% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 0.68%(35%) Average negative next day return: -0.88%(65%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 2.14%(35%) Average negative next three day return: -2.28%(65%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 2.76%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.31%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160414

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_14_2016	103.82	100.97	102.63	102.67	102.78	103.6	103.92(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	57	60	48	82	0.52	45%	-0.04	106.2	1.32%	0	1.5	78	0
2	Mar_11_2016	103.86	100.55	102.22	102.41	102.29	102.72	103.85(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	30	36	72	0.64	43%	-0.04	91.3	1.32%	0	1.5	68	0
3	Mar_10_2016	103.9	100.05	101.87	102.22	102.08	101.96	102.02(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10	-3	61	0.71	41%	-0.03	68.5	1.33%	0	0.8	69	0
4	Mar_9_2016	103.93	99.68	101.73	102.34	102.28	101.86	101.97(0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-30	-16	69	0.65	40%	-0.05	57.7	1.33%	0	0.8	69	0
5	Mar_8_2016	103.98	99.3	101.48	102.4	102.4	102.2	101.58(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10	-22	72	0.52	40%	-0.05	48.3	1.33%	0	0.8	63	0

6	Mar_7_2016	104.03	98.94	101.22	102.56	102.46	102.69	102.65(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	10	19	102	0.8	40%	-0.03	38.4	1.33%	0	1.2	74	0
7	Mar_4_2016	104.06	98.59	100.94	101.95	102.16	102.6	102.86(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	40	36	115	0.63	42%	-0.03	27.7	1.33%	0	1.4	79	0
8	Mar_3_2016	104.09	98.36	100.5	101.46	101.49	102.23	102.63(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	56	50	34	122	0.91	41%	-0.02	26.2	1.36%	0	1.5	81	0
9	Mar_2_2016	104.11	98.13	100.04	101.03	101.08	101.73	102.3(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	77	50	56	138	0.63	41%	-0.02	26.1	1.37%	0	1.6	76	0
10	Mar_1_2016	104.13	97.92	99.69	100.44	100.53	100.75	102.36(2.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	63	20	38	139	0.73	41%	-0.03	20.5	1.37%	0	1.8	77	0

11	Feb_29_2016	104.16	97.92	99.15	99.71	99.81	100.44	99.6(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	39	50	9	129	0.73	37%	-0.06	17.1	1.32%	0	0.8	73	0
12	Feb_26_2016	104.22	97.77	98.75	99.77	99.57	100.32	100.43(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	80	50	56	150	0.55	37%	-0.05	19.1	1.32%	0	1.2	65	0
13	Feb_25_2016	104.27	97.62	98.09	99.37	99.29	99.17	100.46(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	-10	31	109	0.6	37%	-0.03	16.7	1.33%	0	1.3	52	0
14	Feb_24_2016	104.3	97.45	97.48	98.91	98.81	98.83	99.35(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-2	-0	-22	60	0.78	37%	-0.04	12.8	1.32%	0	0.9	50	0
15	Feb_23_2016	104.34	97.42	96.96	98.83	98.86	99.41	98.73(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	41	40	33	63	0.74	37%	-0.06	15.7	1.31%	0	0.6	49	0

16	Feb_22_2016	104.4	97.38	96.49	98.49	98.65	98.8	99.87(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	47	20	51	35	0.62	37%	-0.02	13	1.31%	0	1.2	46	0
17	Feb_19_2016	104.42	97.33	96.05	97.56	97.9	98.3	98.43(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	16	40	27	-18	0.79	35%	-0.03	0.9	1.3%	0	0.5	43	0
18	Feb_18_2016	104.45	97.26	96.03	96.58	97.08	98.5	98.15(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	57	120	82	-19	0.8	38%	-0.02	-13.7	1.29%	0	0.4	50	0
19	Feb_17_2016	104.47	97.18	96.04	95.83	95.75	97.49	98.97(1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	74	120	106	-24	1.49	38%	0.01	-33.6	1.31%	0	0.9	54	0
20	Feb_16_2016	104.46	97.09	95.93	94.84	94.86	95.67	97.04(1.94%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	54	60	92	-61	1.51	37%	0.02	-53.6	1.28%	0	-0	43	0

21	Feb_12_2016	104.44	97.1	96.19	94.23	94.14	94	95.19(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-27	-10	-0	-108	1.17	32%	-0.07	-68.1	1.27%	0	-1	41	0
22	Feb_11_2016	104.51	97.31	96.65	94.36	93.95	94.06	93.55(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-68	-0	-49	-125	1.76	30%	-0.09	-69.2	1.25%	0	-1.9	32	0
23	Feb_10_2016	104.6	97.54	97.11	95.41	94.89	94.27	94.38(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-60	-20	-83	1.78	30%	-0.09	-75.8	1.25%	0	-1.7	44	0
24	Feb_9_2016	104.69	97.87	97.44	96.28	95.84	93.85	94.03(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-106	-160	-110	-94	1.77	30%	-0.1	-73.8	1.25%	0	-2.1	45	0
25	Feb_8_2016	104.79	98.18	97.98	97.17	97.05	95.5	93.99(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-127	-120	-144	-76	2.57	30%		-81	1.25%	0	-2.6	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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