Trading Signals: VRTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: VRTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc)
VRTX latest price $91.1500 (4.25%) ($86.5300 - $91.2200) on Wed. Jul. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.41% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $91.1500(4.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VRTX advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VRTX advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VRTX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(60%)    XLV(57%)    XBI(52%)    VUG(46%)    XLK(45%)
Factors Impacting VRTX price   VRTX will decline at least -1.205% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-9%)    IPO(-6%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.205% (StdDev 2.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $89.27(2.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $89.29(2.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $87.45(4.23%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   14.2%
Market Cap   $23.71b

Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in the business of discovering, developing, manufacturing and commercializing small molecule drugs for patients with serious diseases. It focuses on development and commercializing therapies for the treatment of cystic fibrosis, infectious diseases including viral infections such as influenza and bacterial infections, autoimmune diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis, cancer, inflammatory bowel disease and neurological disorders including pain and multiple sclerosis. The company was founded by Joshua S. Boger in 1989 and is headquartered in Boston, MA.

$. VRTX price fluctuates within 3.34% (three month std-dev: 2.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160820

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_20_2016	86.17	87.45	89.29	89.27			91.15(4.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	6	33	1.31	69%	0.01	14.1	2.41%	0	1.3	66	0
2	Jul_19_2016	86.16	87.15	89.11	88.6			87.43(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-4	35	1.11	66%	0.02	-1.6	2.35%	0	0.1	64	0
3	Jul_18_2016	86.14	87.11	89.07	89.04			89.42(-0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-10000	-1	63	1.13	66%	0.03	-3.4	2.34%	0	0.8	76	0
4	Jul_15_2016	86.11	86.96	88.91	89.17			90.21(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	2	84	1.31	59%	0.06	-9.8	2.34%	0	1.2	70	0
5	Jul_14_2016	86.06	86.93	88.5	88.92			88.15(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10000	-4	71	0.99	57%	0.01	-16	2.45%	0	0.4	50	0

6	Jul_13_2016	86.05	87.04	88.22	89.3			87.78(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	-3	78	0.95	57%	0.02	-17.5	2.47%	0	0.3	55	0
7	Jul_12_2016	86.03	87.19	87.84	89.68			89.63(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	-10000	6	85	1.55	57%	0.01	-18.3	2.47%	0	0.8	58	0
8	Jul_11_2016	86.02	87.21	86.91	89.06			90.1(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	4	58	1.39	57%	0.02	-32	2.47%	0	0.9	55	0
9	Jul_8_2016	86	87.24	86.1	88.58			88.96(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	5	40	1.79	57%	0.03	-39	2.47%	0	0.5	54	0
10	Jul_7_2016	85.97	87.38	85.97	88			90.05(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	9	27	1.25	52%	0.01	-46.6	2.47%	0	0.8	48	0

11	Jul_6_2016	85.96	87.55	85.44	86.99			89.66(3.64%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	8	-10000	11	-2	1.71	58%	0.06	-49.6	2.57%	0	0.6	47	0
12	Jul_5_2016	85.91	87.76	84.95	85.74			86.51(-1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	12	-33	0.87	56%	0.03	-53.1	2.74%	0	-0.3	40	0
13	Jul_1_2016	85.88	88.2	84.93	84.41			87.74(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	-10000	10	-61	1.29	59%	0.09	-51.2	2.78%	0	-0.1	44	0
14	Jun_30_2016	85.8	88.49	84.78	83.24			86.02(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-27	-10000	-4	-95	1.42	59%	0.06	-51.2	2.75%	0	-0.5	39	0
15	Jun_29_2016	85.75	88.96	85.15	83.68			85(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-23	-10000	-0	-93	1.75	59%	0.06	-42.9	2.75%	0	-0.8	35	0

16	Jun_28_2016	85.7	89.4	85.68	83.72			83.44(4.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-10000	-3	-103	1.54	59%	0.01	-38.5	2.75%	0	-1.3	28	0
17	Jun_27_2016	85.69	89.91	86.45	84.09			79.84(-2.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-37	-10000	-12	-112	1.91	56%	-0.08	-29.3	2.71%	0	-2.2	17	0
18	Jun_24_2016	85.76	90.49	87.56	85.46			81.9(-7.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-32	-10000	-8	-105	2.3	56%	-0.12	-18.4	2.71%	0	-2.2	17	0
19	Jun_23_2016	85.86	90.91	88.56	86.43			88.2(3.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-29	-10000	-4	-103	1.4	55%	-0.07	-2.5	2.55%	0	-0.8	34	0
20	Jun_22_2016	85.92	91.01	88.95	86.87			85.22(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-32	-10000	-9	-102	1.92	55%	-0.06	12.4	2.7%	0	-1.8	19	0

21	Jun_21_2016	85.97	91.22	89.88	88			85.28(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-29	-10000	-10	-87	1.88	55%	-0.09	35.8	2.73%	0	-2	29	0
22	Jun_20_2016	86.05	91.24	90.84	89.21			86.72(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-21	-10000	-6	-67	1.27	55%	-0.05	49.7	2.73%	0	-1.5	34	0
23	Jun_17_2016	86.09	91.2	91.78	89.98			86.73(-4.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-17	-10000	-7	-46	2.66	58%	-0.07	59.3	2.78%	0	-1.4	45	0
24	Jun_16_2016	86.15	91	92.55	90.93			90.41(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-3	-24	1.28	58%	-0.02	57	2.72%	0	-0.2	57	0
25	Jun_15_2016	86.17	90.61	93.08	91.35			90.84(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-6	-7	1.08	55%		52.1	2.78%	0	0.1	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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