Trading Signals: VRTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: VRTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc)
VRTX latest price $84.7000 (4.55%) ($80.5500 - $85.0000) on Fri. May. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.04% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $84.7000(4.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VRTX advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VRTX declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VRTX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(61%)    XLV(58%)    XBI(53%)    VUG(46%)    IVW(45%)
Factors Impacting VRTX price   VRTX will decline at least -1.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-10%)    IPO(-5%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.52% (StdDev 3.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $77.82(-8.12%)
5 Day Moving Average   $82.05(3.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.34(1.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.71(1.18%)
To recent high   -8.5%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $22.033b

Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in the business of discovering, developing, manufacturing and commercializing small molecule drugs for patients with serious diseases. It focuses on development and commercializing therapies for the treatment of cystic fibrosis, infectious diseases including viral infections such as influenza and bacterial infections, autoimmune diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis, cancer, inflammatory bowel disease and neurological disorders including pain and multiple sclerosis. The company was founded by Joshua S. Boger in 1989 and is headquartered in Boston, MA.

$. VRTX price fluctuates within 2.83% (three month std-dev: 3.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160620

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2016	88.12	83.71	83.34	82.05			84.7(4.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	-10000	5	-13	1.66	52%	-0.49	-30.7	3.04%	0	0.4	54	0
2	May_19_2016	88.55	83.79	83.39	81.39			81.01(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-2	-22	1.67	50%	-0.52	-28.4	3%	0	-1.1	44	0
3	May_18_2016	89.01	84.08	83.72	81.61			81.71(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-10000	-3	-26	1.93	50%	-0.54	-27.8	3.01%	0	-1	41	0
4	May_17_2016	89.49	84.22	83.67	81.99			80.71(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-13	-34	2.17	51%	-0.5	-26	3.01%	0	-1.5	44	0
5	May_16_2016	89.94	84.37	83.86	83.67			82.14(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-9	-15	2.08	51%	-0.09	-7	3.04%	0	-1	47	0

6	May_13_2016	90.02	84.44	83.98	84.85			81.38(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-6	-10000	-6	-4	1.12	51%	-0.5	5.4	3.05%	0	-1.4	43	0
7	May_12_2016	90.47	84.49	84.3	85.68			82.1(-1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-2	-10000	-3	3	2.05	54%	-0.47	9.3	3.07%	0	-1.1	42	0
8	May_11_2016	90.9	84.74	84.77	86.06			83.63(-6.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	7	-10000	5	11	1.66	54%	-0.45	16.1	3.11%	0	-0.5	44	0
9	May_10_2016	91.31	84.82	84.87	85.46			89.08(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	10	-10000	11	7	2.1	57%	-0.36	-4.4	3.03%	0	2	60	0
10	May_9_2016	91.64	84.52	84.33	84.08			88.06(2.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	3	-10000	8	-11	1.8	57%	-0.33	-27.6	3.04%	0	1.9	61	0

11	May_6_2016	91.94	84.32	84.03	83.07			85.54(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-4	-10000	2	-21	2	54%	-0.36	-43.1	3.08%	0	0.7	57	0
12	May_5_2016	92.27	84.29	84.11	82.83			84(4.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-7	-10000	-4	-17	1.81	51%	-0.39	-31.2	3.1%	0	-0.2	58	0
13	May_4_2016	92.63	84.4	84.37	83.38			80.63(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-7	-10000	-6	-11	1.91	49%	-0.42	-3.7	3.13%	0	-1.7	36	0
14	May_3_2016	93.02	84.92	84.77	84.15			82.16(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-3	-10000	-3	-2	2.06	51%	-0.36	34.3	3.13%	0	-1.3	45	0
15	May_2_2016	93.36	85.04	84.92	84.55			83(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-10000	-4	2	2.17	51%	-0.39	52.1	3.16%	0	-1	51	0

16	Apr_29_2016	93.73	85.06	84.98	85.08			84.34(-2.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10000	-4	6	2.89	51%	-0.41	60.3	3.14%	0	-0.3	51	0
17	Apr_28_2016	94.12	84.83	84.76	85.57			86.75(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2	-10000	-0	7	5.46	51%	-0.37	57.8	3.14%	0	0.7	53	0
18	Apr_27_2016	94.47	84.49	84.75	85.58			84.5(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3	-10000	1	10	2.61	51%	-0.42	52.4	3.12%	0	0	46	0
19	Apr_26_2016	94.87	84.21	84.82	85.5			84.14(-1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-0	-10000	1	-4	1.69	51%	-0.42	36.5	3.12%	0	-0	35	0
20	Apr_25_2016	95.27	83.99	84.76	85.32			85.66(-1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10000	4	-7	1.46	51%	-0.43	26.1	3.11%	0	0.5	54	0

21	Apr_22_2016	95.68	83.66	84.63	84.83			86.8(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	-10000	8	-8	1.28	51%	-0.37	16.8	3.12%	0	1	58	0
22	Apr_21_2016	96.04	83.35	84.44	83.82			86.81(3.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-3	-10000	-0	-12	1.73	51%	-0.48	10.2	3.12%	0	1.1	63	0
23	Apr_20_2016	96.5	83.01	84.35	83.87			84.11(1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-10000	-2	1	1.49	49%	-0.49	12.1	3.1%	0	0.3	60	0
24	Apr_19_2016	96.98	83.12	85	84.09			83.21(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10000	-0	32	1.67	47%	-0.49	19	3.11%	0	0	61	0
25	Apr_18_2016	97.46	83.15	85.13	84.12			83.22(1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-2	43	2.5	47%		17.3	3.13%	0	0	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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