Trading Signals: VRTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 24, 2016

Trading Signals: VRTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc)
VRTX latest price $80.5800 (0.54%) ($78.2500 - $82.1900) on Thu. Mar. 24, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.15% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $80.5800(0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VRTX advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VRTX declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VRTX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(61%)    XLV(58%)    XBI(53%)    VUG(45%)    XLK(45%)
Factors Impacting VRTX price   VRTX will decline at least -1.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-9%)    IPO(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.575% (StdDev 3.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

Resistance Level   $85.05
5 Day Moving Average   $82.81(-2.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.66(-2.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.05(-5.26%)
To recent high   -37%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $20.961b

Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in the business of discovering, developing, manufacturing and commercializing small molecule drugs for patients with serious diseases. It focuses on development and commercializing therapies for the treatment of cystic fibrosis, infectious diseases including viral infections such as influenza and bacterial infections, autoimmune diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis, cancer, inflammatory bowel disease and neurological disorders including pain and multiple sclerosis. The company was founded by Joshua S. Boger in 1989 and is headquartered in Boston, MA.

$. VRTX price fluctuates within 4.33% (three month std-dev: 3.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160424

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_24_2016	104.59	85.05	82.66	82.81			80.58(0.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-8	-10000	2	-39	1.89	39%	-0.44	-28.9	3.15%	0	-1.2	40	0
2	Mar_23_2016	105.05	85.32	82.86	82.53			80.15(-7.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-14	-10000	1	-58	2.2	39%	-0.47	-34	3.16%	0	-1.5	38	0
3	Mar_22_2016	105.55	85.68	83.33	82.36			86.78(3.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-15	-10000	6	-77	1.79	42%	-0.4	-39.5	3.03%	0	0.3	41	0
4	Mar_21_2016	105.97	85.6	83.26	81.57			84.02(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-27	-10000	-3	-98	1.78	42%	-0.39	-45.8	3%	0	-0.5	42	0
5	Mar_18_2016	106.39	85.84	83.87	81.88			82.52(4.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-10000	-6	-85	3.77	42%	-0.43	-36.4	3.03%	0	-1	48	0

6	Mar_17_2016	106.85	86.13	84.43	82.63			79.18(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-10000	-5	-76	2.66	40%	-0.39	-20.6	2.97%	0	-2.1	41	0
7	Mar_16_2016	107.27	86.54	85.48	83.25			79.3(-4.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-23	-10000	-9	-63	2.96	40%	-0.41	-10	2.97%	0	-2.5	44	0
8	Mar_15_2016	107.71	87.02	86.81	84.32			82.83(-3.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-6	-37	1.76	41%	-0.31	15	2.94%	0	-1.7	46	0
9	Mar_14_2016	108.04	87.18	87.51	85.13			85.59(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-9	-20	2.01	43%	-0.28	32.8	2.93%	0	-0.7	52	0
10	Mar_11_2016	108.34	87.09	87.54	86.21			86.26(4.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	-10000	-3	-11	1.72	41%	-0.22	37.4	2.93%	0	-0.3	47	0

11	Mar_10_2016	108.58	86.81	87.64	86.63			82.28(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-11	-10000	-11	-11	2.46	38%	-0.27	17.2	2.88%	0	-1.5	43	0
12	Mar_9_2016	108.87	86.83	88.05	88.06			84.63(-2.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-8	-10000	-12	5	2.2	38%	-0.25	12.3	2.87%	0	-0.7	49	0
13	Mar_8_2016	109.14	86.65	88.32	89.64			86.91(-4.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-10000	-4	27	2.78	38%	-0.27	9.8	2.86%	0	0.1	49	0
14	Mar_7_2016	109.44	86.43	88.2	90.17			90.95(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	9	40	1.65	40%	-0.22	0.3	2.83%	0	1.3	60	0
15	Mar_4_2016	109.68	86.18	87.97	89.08			88.36(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-10000	2	36	1.7	38%	-0.26	-14.9	2.81%	0	0.7	61	0

16	Mar_3_2016	109.97	86.31	87.93	88.81			89.45(-3.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	6	53	1.58	35%	-0.22	-17.8	2.83%	0	0.9	68	0
17	Mar_2_2016	110.21	86.47	87.64	88.02			92.52(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	-10000	9	54	2.78	37%	-0.16	-20.6	2.91%	0	1.6	67	0
18	Mar_1_2016	110.39	86.34	87.15	86.87			89.57(4.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	7	58	1.99	34%	-0.23	-31.6	2.87%	0	0.9	67	0
19	Feb_29_2016	110.64	86.43	86.72	86.01			85.49(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-10000	-6	52	1.76	30%	-0.23	-36.3	2.78%	0	-0.2	58	0
20	Feb_26_2016	110.89	86.67	86.54	86.72			87(1.72%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	-10000	-2	57	1.41	30%	-0.21	-35.3	2.79%	0	0.1	50	0

21	Feb_25_2016	111.12	86.93	85.87	86.93			85.53(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-2	33	1.39	30%	-0.22	-34.8	2.79%	0	-0.3	41	0
22	Feb_24_2016	111.37	87.26	85.54	87.15			86.77(1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-2	9	1.81	30%	-0.22	-37.2	2.79%	0	-0.1	39	0
23	Feb_23_2016	111.61	87.51	84.91	87.45			85.28(-4.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3	-10000	-0	-10	1.76	30%	-0.27	-37.4	2.78%	0	-0.5	42	0
24	Feb_22_2016	111.91	87.84	84.6	87.47			89(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	-10000	10	-30	1.6	32%	-0.24	-42.9	2.75%	0	0.3	44	0
25	Feb_19_2016	112.18	88.08	84.29	86.31			88.08(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-10000	14	-55	2.03	32%		-54.2	2.75%	0	0	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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