Trading Signals: VRTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: VRTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc)
VRTX latest price $123.7900 (2.76%) ($120.3300 - $124.5600) on Wed. Apr. 8, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.31% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $123.7900(2.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VRTX advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VRTX declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VRTX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(47%)    XLV(44%)    XBI(40%)    QQQ(34%)    SPY(33%)
Factors Impacting VRTX price   VRTX will decline at least -1.155% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-3%)    UUP(-2%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.155% (StdDev 2.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $111.23(-10.15%)
5 Day Moving Average   $119.23(3.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $119.24(3.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $123.01(0.63%)
To recent high   -7.8%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $32.201b

Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in the business of discovering, developing, manufacturing and commercializing small molecule drugs for patients with serious diseases. It focuses on development and commercializing therapies for the treatment of cystic fibrosis, infectious diseases including viral infections such as influenza and bacterial infections, autoimmune diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis, cancer, inflammatory bowel disease and neurological disorders including pain and multiple sclerosis. The company was founded by Joshua S. Boger in 1989 and is headquartered in Boston, MA.

$. VRTX price fluctuates within 4.05% (three month std-dev: 2.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150508

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_8_2015	118.8	123.01	119.24	119.23			123.79(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-17	-10000	8	-92	1.36	50%	0.11	-29.9	2.31%	0	0.2	41	0
2	Apr_7_2015	118.67	123.02	119.19	118.07			120.47(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-31	-10000	-1	-120	1.11	50%	0.08	-36	2.31%	0	-0.5	37	0
3	Apr_6_2015	118.57	123.34	119.64	118.23			118.25(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-33	-10000	-3	-124	1.25	48%	0.11	-29.6	2.32%	0	-1	37	0
4	Apr_2_2015	118.44	123.76	120.83	118.64			117.23(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-1	-107	1.51	51%	0.01	-22.4	2.34%	0	-1.4	43	0
5	Apr_1_2015	118.43	124.27	122.44	118.72			116.43(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-10000	-3	-87	1.91	51%	-0.02	-16.3	2.39%	0	-1.7	43	0

6	Mar_31_2015	118.45	124.52	123.79	119.16			117.97(-2.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-10000	-9	-73	1.53	51%	0.02	-13.5	2.4%	0	-1.5	46	0
7	Mar_30_2015	118.43	124.85	124.93	120.43			121.25(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-10000	-6	-50	1.26	53%	0.04	1.5	2.37%	0	-0.9	47	0
8	Mar_27_2015	118.38	124.84	125.6	121.34			120.34(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10000	-15	-43	1.62	53%	0.03	10.8	2.36%	0	-1.1	42	0
9	Mar_26_2015	118.35	124.85	126.05	123.47			117.6(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-23	-10000	-22	-27	1.9	54%	0.06	25.6	2.36%	0	-1.7	39	0
10	Mar_25_2015	118.28	125.03	126.76	126.8			118.64(-4.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-10	-10000	-15	6	2.43	54%	0.03	57.9	2.38%	0	-1.5	39	0

11	Mar_24_2015	118.24	125.11	127.3	129.03			124.34(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	6	-10000	-6	41	1.78	58%	0.1	77.5	2.33%	0	-0.2	60	0
12	Mar_23_2015	118.12	124.79	127.34	130			125.79(-3.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	12	-10000	-3	56	5.12	56%	0.12	83.5	2.32%	0	0.2	55	0
13	Mar_20_2015	117.98	124.38	127.48	130.38			131(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	10	81	5.73	59%	0.18	88	2.28%	0	1.4	67	0
14	Mar_19_2015	117.77	123.75	126.98	128.98			134.25(3.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	-10000	15	82	2.14	61%	0.21	83.3	2.28%	0	2.1	73	0
15	Mar_18_2015	117.52	122.64	126.16	126.8			129.79(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-10000	10	70	1.93	62%	0.14	79.1	2.24%	0	1.5	68	0

16	Mar_17_2015	117.35	121.83	125.2	125.37			129.15(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	7	53	1.2	62%	0.15	76.2	2.33%	0	1.5	69	0
17	Mar_16_2015	117.17	121.04	124.6	124.36			127.73(3.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	1	53	1.97	62%	0.15	80.4	2.33%	0	1.5	70	0
18	Mar_13_2015	116.99	120.33	123.85	124.21			124(0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	-10000	-3	56	1.35	57%	0.15	86.2	2.39%	0	0.8	66	0
19	Mar_12_2015	116.82	119.65	123.44	124.68			123.31(0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-5	63	1.37	57%	0.15	80.5	2.4%	0	0.7	60	0
20	Mar_11_2015	116.64	118.95	123.14	125.41			122.64(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	25	-10000	3	92	1.57	58%	0.13	78.6	2.42%	0	0.7	70	0

21	Mar_10_2015	116.49	118.27	122.8	124.89			124.14(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	1	96	1.67	56%	0.17	71.8	2.44%	0	1	68	0
22	Mar_9_2015	116.29	117.47	122.12	124.77			126.98(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	9	107	1.4	56%	0.22	66.7	2.45%	0	1.6	73	0
23	Mar_6_2015	116.03	116.54	121.12	123.41			126.34(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	9	102	1.58	56%	0.22	61.3	2.43%	0	1.7	72	0
24	Mar_5_2015	115.77	115.77	120.3	122.03			126.96(5.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	33	-10000	9	104	2.41	56%	0.23	57	2.45%	0	2.1	78	0
25	Mar_4_2015	115.5	114.85	118.8	120.63			120.05(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	2	99	1.36	53%		44	2.34%	0	1.1	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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