Trading Signals: VRTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: VRTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc)
VRTX latest price $126.9600 (5.76%) ($120.2800 - $127.3600) on Thu. Mar. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.45% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $126.9600(5.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VRTX advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VRTX advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VRTX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(47%)    XLV(44%)    XBI(41%)    QQQ(34%)    SPY(33%)
Factors Impacting VRTX price   VRTX will decline at least -1.225% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-3%)    UUP(-2%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.225% (StdDev 2.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $122.03(4.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $120.3(5.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $115.77(9.67%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   17.7%
Market Cap   $33.025b

Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in the business of discovering, developing, manufacturing and commercializing small molecule drugs for patients with serious diseases. It focuses on development and commercializing therapies for the treatment of cystic fibrosis, infectious diseases including viral infections such as influenza and bacterial infections, autoimmune diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis, cancer, inflammatory bowel disease and neurological disorders including pain and multiple sclerosis. The company was founded by Joshua S. Boger in 1989 and is headquartered in Boston, MA.

$. VRTX price fluctuates within 4.63% (three month std-dev: 2.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150405

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_5_2015	115.77	115.77	120.3	122.03			126.96(5.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	33	-10000	9	104	2.41	56%	0.23	57	2.45%	0	2.1	78	0
2	Mar_4_2015	115.5	114.85	118.8	120.63			120.05(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	2	99	1.36	53%	0.14	44	2.34%	0	1.1	74	0
3	Mar_3_2015	115.34	114.28	118.19	120.39			123.52(2.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	-10000	10	114	1.53	55%	0.17	28.7	2.32%	0	1.9	83	0
4	Mar_2_2015	115.15	113.63	117.16	119.07			120.17(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	-10000	4	110	1.51	53%	0.14	9	2.29%	0	1.5	81	0
5	Feb_27_2015	114.99	113.1	116.5	118.46			119.43(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	1	115	1.05	53%	0.12	-11.7	2.28%	0	1.6	77	0

6	Feb_26_2015	114.85	112.79	115.55	118.29			119.97(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	-10000	12	116	1.3	53%	0.12	-29.1	2.3%	0	1.9	67	0
7	Feb_25_2015	114.71	112.77	114.43	116.69			118.84(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	8	95	1.65	53%	0.15	-44	2.3%	0	1.5	69	0
8	Feb_24_2015	114.54	112.92	113.39	115.64			116.92(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	5	81	1.01	53%	0.1	-47.1	2.29%	0	0.9	68	0
9	Feb_23_2015	114.43	113.24	112.49	114.93			117.12(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	5	66	1.26	53%	0.08	-43.1	2.31%	0	0.8	61	0
10	Feb_20_2015	114.34	113.58	111.62	114.24			118.61(5.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	14	59	2.47	53%	0.12	-36.4	2.31%	0	0.9	65	0

11	Feb_19_2015	114.2	113.91	110.83	112.45			111.97(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	6	29	1.24	48%	0.04	-36	2.18%	0	-0.3	44	0
12	Feb_18_2015	114.15	114.52	110.56	111.78			113.57(0.15%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	5	-10000	9	-6	0.96	48%	0.02	-34.1	2.18%	0	-0.1	34	0
13	Feb_17_2015	114.13	115.04	110.06	110.75			113.4(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-10000	9	-53	1	48%	0	-32.8	2.19%	0	-0.2	31	0
14	Feb_13_2015	114.13	115.48	109.78	109.64			113.66(3.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-19	-10000	8	-100	1.69	46%	0.03	-36	2.17%	0	-0.3	30	0
15	Feb_12_2015	114.1	115.69	109.38	108.64			109.63(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-10000	-3	-152	1.33	42%	-0.02	-43.8	2.17%	0	-0.8	20	0

16	Feb_11_2015	114.12	116.24	109.78	109.04			108.62(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-10000	-1	-176	0.99	42%	0.04	-43.6	2.16%	0	-1.1	16	0
17	Feb_10_2015	114.08	116.87	110.95	109.17			108.43(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-10000	-0	-184	1.28	42%	0.04	-42.8	2.16%	0	-1.2	23	0
18	Feb_9_2015	114.04	117.41	112.38	109.22			107.88(-0.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-52	-10000	-6	-188	1.18	42%	0.04	-46.6	2.17%	0	-1.4	22	0
19	Feb_6_2015	114	118.16	114.04	109.88			108.66(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-10000	-2	-176	1.72	47%	0.1	-47.4	2.17%	0	-1.5	28	0
20	Feb_5_2015	113.89	118.95	115.69	110.18			111.59(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-42	-10000	-4	-155	1.1	49%	0.16	-45.4	2.24%	0	-1.2	43	0

21	Feb_4_2015	113.71	119.44	117.2	110.69			109.27(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-10000	-19	-143	2.3	49%	0.14	-44.5	2.24%	0	-1.8	36	0
22	Feb_3_2015	113.55	119.92	118.81	113.09			108.72(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-45	-10000	-23	-110	2.21	49%	0.15	-38.7	2.24%	0	-2.1	35	0
23	Feb_2_2015	113.38	120.59	120.48	116.08			111.18(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-31	-10000	-21	-62	1.8	49%	0.17	-24.7	2.23%	0	-2.1	43	0
24	Jan_30_2015	113.19	121.23	121.75	118.87			110.14(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-25	-10000	-23	-29	3.03	49%	0.14	-0.6	2.23%	0	-2.7	36	0
25	Jan_29_2015	113.03	121.74	122.7	121.95			114.14(-5.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-15	-10000	-19	-1	4.03	49%		33.6	2.19%	0	-2.4	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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