Trading Signals: VRTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: VRTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc)
VRTX latest price $127.3000 (1.77%) ($122.0100 - $127.6900) on Thu. Jan. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.11% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $127.3000(1.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VRTX advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VRTX advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VRTX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(47%)    XLV(44%)    XBI(41%)    QQQ(34%)    SPY(33%)
Factors Impacting VRTX price   VRTX will decline at least -1.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-3%)    UUP(-2%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.055% (StdDev 2.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $123.55(3.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $122.42(3.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $120.67(5.49%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.9%
Market Cap   $33.114b

Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in the business of discovering, developing, manufacturing and commercializing small molecule drugs for patients with serious diseases. It focuses on development and commercializing therapies for the treatment of cystic fibrosis, infectious diseases including viral infections such as influenza and bacterial infections, autoimmune diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis, cancer, inflammatory bowel disease and neurological disorders including pain and multiple sclerosis. The company was founded by Joshua S. Boger in 1989 and is headquartered in Boston, MA.

$. VRTX price fluctuates within 2.28% (three month std-dev: 2.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2015	111.58	120.67	122.42	123.55			127.3(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	20	-10000	11	46	1.58	54%	0.32	77.2	2.11%	0	2.4	61	0
2	Jan_21_2015	111.22	120.12	121.71	122.17			125.09(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	-10000	7	31	1.2	57%	0.3	72.4	2.12%	0	1.9	58	0
3	Jan_20_2015	110.89	119.79	120.94	121.27			124.74(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	10	15	1.1	58%	0.29	60.2	2.15%	0	1.7	57	0
4	Jan_16_2015	110.57	119.42	120.52	119.99			122.86(4.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	-10000	1	0	1.42	58%	0.28	46.8	2.15%	0	1.3	57	0
5	Jan_15_2015	110.26	118.89	120.49	119.86			117.78(-2.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-10000	-10	12	1.05	52%	0.24	38.3	2.09%	0	-0.4	57	0

6	Jan_14_2015	110	118.59	120.64	121.09			120.38(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-10000	-0	44	1.22	54%	0.25	29.6	2.11%	0	0.6	63	0
7	Jan_13_2015	109.73	118.23	120.54	121.15			120.6(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	5	52	1.63	54%	0.27	17.9	2.12%	0	0.7	57	0
8	Jan_12_2015	109.43	118.11	120.46	120.5			118.31(-3.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-10000	-4	43	2.78	54%	0.27	12.8	2.11%	0	0.1	50	0
9	Jan_9_2015	109.14	118.22	120.52	121.05			122.21(-1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	13	-10000	-1	56	1.07	57%	0.31	19.7	2.07%	0	1.1	57	0
10	Jan_8_2015	108.8	117.95	119.84	121.22			123.97(2.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	8	71	1.36	60%	0.31	17.8	2.07%	0	1.7	68	0

11	Jan_7_2015	108.46	117.72	118.83	120.18			120.66(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	2	61	1.22	56%	0.27	12.5	2.1%	0	0.9	67	0
12	Jan_6_2015	108.17	117.63	118.43	119.88			117.36(-3.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	13	-10000	-4	65	2.29	51%	0.25	13.7	2.11%	0	-0.1	59	0
13	Jan_5_2015	107.9	117.65	118.59	120.37			121.03(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	4	77	1.68	54%	0.29	17.9	2.1%	0	1	53	0
14	Jan_2_2015	107.59	117.51	118.23	119.84			123.07(3.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	-10000	13	67	1.44	55%	0.5	18.8	2.13%	0	1.8	51	0
15	Dec_31_2014	107.06	117.32	117.11	118.26			118.8(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	8	34	0.95	48%	0.32	14.8	2.11%	0	0.5	52	0

16	Dec_30_2014	106.72	117.31	116.36	117.25			119.15(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	-10000	4	-2	0.86	48%	0.32	13.2	2.19%	0	0.6	48	0
17	Dec_29_2014	106.38	117.19	115.73	116.76			119.79(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-5	-10000	1	-23	0.94	48%	0.32	17	2.2%	0	0.9	50	0
18	Dec_26_2014	106.04	117.08	115.53	116.58			118.41(2.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	1	-25	0.57	50%	0.5	24.2	2.2%	0	0.5	51	0
19	Dec_24_2014	105.51	116.93	115.67	116.44			115.15(1.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-2	-10000	5	-22	0.52	53%	0.28	27	2.19%	0	-0.6	45	0
20	Dec_23_2014	105.22	116.9	115.87	115.78			113.75(-2.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-6	-10000	4	-35	4.06	53%	0.26	25.4	2.34%	0	-1.1	41	0

21	Dec_22_2014	104.95	116.94	116.51	115.21			116.68(-1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	-10000	6	-39	2.1	55%	0.28	23.8	2.32%	0	-0.1	47	0
22	Dec_19_2014	104.66	116.71	116.75	114.45			118.9(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-11	-10000	1	-47	6.13	59%	0.3	14.9	2.31%	0	0.7	54	0
23	Dec_18_2014	104.35	116.42	116.62	114.38			117.74(5.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-15	-10000	-4	-48	2.15	59%	0.25	14.6	2.43%	0	0.4	50	0
24	Dec_17_2014	104.09	116.18	116.69	114.98			111.85(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-10000	-8	-38	2.55	56%	0.15	14.2	2.38%	0	-1.4	46	0
25	Dec_16_2014	103.93	116.19	117.55	116.05			110.86(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-14	-10000	-13	-17	2.11	56%		14.6	2.38%	0	-1.6	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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