Trading Signals: VNDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 11, 2007

Trading Signals: VNDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Apr. 12, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc.)
VNDA latest price $20.4900 (2.6%) ($19.5600 - $20.5100) on Wed. Jul. 11, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.06% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $20.4900(2.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VNDA advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VNDA declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VNDA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(3%)    XLP(3%)    XLU(3%)    EEM(2%)    EWI(2%)
Factors Impacting VNDA price   VNDA will decline at least -1.03% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-4%)    TLT(-1%)    TIP(-1%)    LQD(-1%)    XOP(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.03% (StdDev 2.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $14.29(-30.26%)
Resistance Level   $20.62
5 Day Moving Average   $20.08(2.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.19(1.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.62(-0.63%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $1.119b

Vanda Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in the development and commercialization of therapies for high unmet medical needs. The firm intends to treat schizophrenia, jet lag disorder, atopic dermatitis, central nervous system disorders, and circadian rhythm sleep disorder. Its product portfolio includes HETLIOZ, Fanapt, Tradipitant, Trichostatin, and AQW051. The company was founded by Mihael Hristos Polymeropoulos and Argeris N. Karabelas in 2002 and is headquartered in Washington, DC.

$. VNDA price fluctuates within 3.01% (three month std-dev: 2.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070811

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_11_2007	21.76	20.62	20.19	20.08			20.49(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	-10000	7	-74	1.11	54%	-0.37	-30.2	2.06%	0	-0.2	28	0
2	Jul_10_2007	21.84	20.63	20.23	20.08			19.97(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-26	-10000	0	-104	1	52%	-0.05	-41.9	2.04%	0	-1.1	8	0
3	Jul_9_2007	21.85	20.67	20.34	19.93			20(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-29	-10000	-2	-110	0.45	52%	-0.36	-47.2	2.04%	0	-1.1	30	0
4	Jul_6_2007	21.93	20.71	20.45	19.98			20(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	-10000	-7	-100	0.36	52%	-0.36	-44.3	2.05%	0	-1.2	48	0
5	Jul_5_2007	22.01	20.74	20.59	20.13			19.92(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-10	-81	1.02	52%	-0.68	-35.2	2.06%	0	-1.5	46	0

6	Jul_3_2007	22.16	20.81	20.74	20.33			19.78(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-22	-10000	-11	-56	0.34	49%	-0.36	-14.3	2.04%	0	-1.9	45	0
7	Jul_2_2007	22.24	20.9	20.97	20.57			19.96(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-13	-10000	-11	-20	0.95	45%	-0.36	11.1	2.09%	0	-1.9	44	0
8	Jun_29_2007	22.32	20.96	21.12	20.8			20.26(-2.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-4	-10000	-8	7	1.18	45%	-0.4	34.2	2.12%	0	-1.5	47	0
9	Jun_28_2007	22.41	20.97	21.16	20.98			20.71(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-10000	-6	20	0.79	47%	-0.4	49.3	2.11%	0	-0.5	54	0
10	Jun_27_2007	22.5	20.94	21.15	21.12			20.94(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-4	31	0.59	47%	-0.4	52.6	2.12%	0	0	58	0

11	Jun_26_2007	22.59	20.89	21.11	21.21			20.96(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-10000	-10	26	0.54	47%	-0.4	50.2	2.12%	0	0.1	46	0
12	Jun_25_2007	22.68	20.84	21.08	21.44			21.11(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-10000	-2	38	0.78	47%	-0.44	58.3	2.12%	0	0.5	46	0
13	Jun_22_2007	22.78	20.81	21.05	21.49			21.18(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	14	-10000	6	39	4.26	52%	-0.39	60.6	2.26%	0	0.6	50	0
14	Jun_21_2007	22.87	20.74	20.99	21.35			21.4(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-10000	8	34	0.82	52%	-0.39	46.1	2.26%	0	1	63	0
15	Jun_20_2007	22.96	20.67	20.91	21.17			21.4(-3.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	8	27	0.78	52%	-0.39	42	2.28%	0	1.2	66	0

16	Jun_19_2007	23.05	20.61	20.89	20.98			22.1(3.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	18	-10000	13	34	2.54	55%	-0.35	40.2	2.24%	0	2.5	76	0
17	Jun_18_2007	23.13	20.51	20.8	20.69			21.39(4.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	12	-10000	6	29	1.7	52%	-0.39	37.7	2.21%	0	1.8	70	0
18	Jun_15_2007	23.22	20.46	20.76	20.55			20.46(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-2	26	2	48%	-0.47	44.1	2.14%	0	0	53	0
19	Jun_14_2007	23.33	20.45	20.75	20.59			20.48(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	-0	38	1.96	48%	-0.47	51.8	2.14%	0	0.1	62	0
20	Jun_13_2007	23.44	20.41	20.72	20.6			20.47(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-8	37	0.44	46%	-0.47	41.7	2.14%	0	0.1	56	0

21	Jun_12_2007	23.55	20.37	20.66	20.77			20.66(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-7	45	0.46	46%	-0.42	40	2.17%	0	0.6	55	0
22	Jun_11_2007	23.65	20.32	20.59	20.92			20.69(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10000	-4	55	0.57	46%	-0.38	32.3	2.19%	0	0.7	56	0
23	Jun_8_2007	23.74	20.26	20.56	21.01			20.63(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.7	18	-10000	3	64	0.61	46%	-0.29	22.1	2.21%	0	0.7	52	0
24	Jun_7_2007	23.81	20.22	20.48	20.94			20.56(-3.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	17	-10000	5	53	0.45	49%	-0.29	6.9	2.21%	0	0.6	52	0
25	Jun_6_2007	23.88	20.21	20.43	20.83			21.31(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	13	54	0.91	52%		-4	2.21%	0	2	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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