Trading Signals: VNDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 22, 2007

Trading Signals: VNDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Apr. 12, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc.)
VNDA latest price $23.7800 (0.42%) ($23.4800 - $24.3000) on Thu. Mar. 22, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.5% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $23.7800(0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VNDA advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VNDA declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VNDA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(3%)    XLP(3%)    XLU(3%)    EEM(2%)    EWI(2%)
Factors Impacting VNDA price   VNDA will decline at least -1.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-4%)    TLT(-1%)    TIP(-1%)    LQD(-1%)    XOP(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.25% (StdDev 2.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.29(2.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.99(3.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.61(0.72%)
To recent high   -24.9%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $1.299b

Vanda Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in the development and commercialization of therapies for high unmet medical needs. The firm intends to treat schizophrenia, jet lag disorder, atopic dermatitis, central nervous system disorders, and circadian rhythm sleep disorder. Its product portfolio includes HETLIOZ, Fanapt, Tradipitant, Trichostatin, and AQW051. The company was founded by Mihael Hristos Polymeropoulos and Argeris N. Karabelas in 2002 and is headquartered in Washington, DC.

$. VNDA price fluctuates within 5.04% (three month std-dev: 2.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070422

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_22_2007	22.96	23.61	22.99	23.29			23.78(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10000	9	-17	0.27	53%	0.53	-75	2.5%	0	0.1	55	0
2	Mar_21_2007	22.84	23.74	23	23.02			23.68(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	10	-30	0.24	53%	0.48	-77.2	2.5%	0	-0	48	0
3	Mar_20_2007	22.73	23.88	23.05	22.75			23.15(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	6	-43	0.2	53%	0.44	-75.3	2.6%	0	-0.5	41	0
4	Mar_19_2007	22.63	24.08	23.09	22.56			23(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	-10000	1	-62	0.21	53%	0.49	-78.9	2.61%	0	-0.7	36	0
5	Mar_16_2007	22.52	24.29	23.14	22.53			22.83(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	-10000	-4	-86	0.24	53%	0.49	-75	2.74%	0	-0.9	25	0

6	Mar_15_2007	22.41	24.54	23.19	22.65			22.44(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-10000	-10	-103	0.22	53%	0.45	-72.2	2.75%	0	-1.2	28	0
7	Mar_14_2007	22.31	24.83	23.33	22.98			22.35(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-13	-113	0.39	53%	0.45	-66.6	2.76%	0	-1.3	24	0
8	Mar_13_2007	22.21	25.1	23.51	23.39			22.2(-2.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-35	-10000	-9	-114	0.4	53%	0.5	-66.9	2.76%	0	-1.5	22	0
9	Mar_12_2007	22.1	25.38	23.74	23.68			22.85(-2.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-34	-10000	-4	-122	0.42	100%	0.55	-71.1	2.74%	0	-1.4	22	0
10	Mar_9_2007	21.98	25.63	24.07	23.82			23.42(-2.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-30	-10000	1	-122	0.35	100%	0.55	-76.2	2.78%	0	-1.2	23	0

11	Mar_8_2007	21.86	25.92	24.29	23.79			24.07(-1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-34	-10000	2	-140	0.48	100%	0.69	-76.7	2.78%	0	-1	24	0
12	Mar_7_2007	21.71	26.18	24.54	23.74			24.42(3.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-37	-10000	2	-154	0.71	100%	0.65	-76.5	2.79%	0	-0.9	23	0
13	Mar_6_2007	21.57	26.45	24.76	23.66			23.65(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-10000	-2	-51	0.55	100%	0.65	-75.4	9.3%	0	-1.4	24	0
14	Mar_5_2007	21.43	26.76	25.12	23.83			23.55(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-5	-51	0.57	100%	0.66	-73.7	9.3%	0	-1.5	23	0
15	Mar_2_2007	21.29	27.1	25.52	24.38			23.24(-2.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-14	-10000	-4	-45	0.27	100%	0.66	-68.9	9.23%	0	-1.9	19	0

16	Mar_1_2007	21.15	27.45	25.98	24.88			23.82(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-14	-10000	-5	-42	0.57	100%	0.67	-68.7	9.29%	0	-1.9	17	0
17	Feb_28_2007	21.01	27.77	26.45	25.47			24.06(-1.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-13	-10000	-5	-37	0.59	100%	0.72	-71	9.14%	0	-2.1	17	0
18	Feb_27_2007	20.86	28.1	26.84	26.01			24.46(-7.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-13	-10000	-5	-35	1.03	100%	0.77	-70.6	9.13%	0	-2.2	17	0
19	Feb_26_2007	20.7	28.39	27.18	26.6			26.32(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-2	-32	0.8	100%	0.83	-71	9.08%	0	-1.4	21	0
20	Feb_23_2007	20.53	28.59	27.34	26.84			25.73(-3.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-11	-10000	-3	-34	0.91	100%	0.83	-69	9.09%	0	-2	13	0

21	Feb_22_2007	20.36	28.86	27.7	27.26			26.76(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-10	-10000	-3	-31	0.36	100%	0.94	-54.1	9.14%	0	-1.6	16	0
22	Feb_21_2007	20.17	29.1	27.95	27.6			26.77(-2.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-8	-10000	-1	-28	1.15	100%	0.9	-33.8	9.14%	0	-1.7	22	0
23	Feb_20_2007	19.99	29.33	28.27	27.79			27.42(-0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-7	-10000	-0	-26	0.49	100%	1.52	-15	9.18%	0	-1.5	21	0
24	Feb_16_2007	19.69	29.47	28.52	27.84			27.51(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-1	-27	0.5	100%	0.97	0	9.12%	0	-1.6	31	0
25	Feb_15_2007	19.5	29.61	28.79	27.92			27.85(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-2	-26	0.73	100%		15.9	9.16%	0	-1.4	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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