Trading Signals: VNDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 10, 2007

Trading Signals: VNDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Apr. 12, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc.)
VNDA latest price $25.9300 (3.72%) ($24.9500 - $26.0400) on Wed. Jan. 10, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   11.33% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $25.9300(3.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VNDA advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VNDA advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VNDA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(3%)    EWP(3%)    FXI(3%)    XLP(3%)    XLU(3%)
Factors Impacting VNDA price   VNDA will decline at least -5.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-4%)    TLT(-1%)    TIP(-1%)    SHY(-1%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.665% (StdDev 11.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.19(2.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.95(3.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.93(4.01%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   168.4%
Market Cap   $1.417b

Vanda Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in the development and commercialization of therapies for high unmet medical needs. The firm intends to treat schizophrenia, jet lag disorder, atopic dermatitis, central nervous system disorders, and circadian rhythm sleep disorder. Its product portfolio includes HETLIOZ, Fanapt, Tradipitant, Trichostatin, and AQW051. The company was founded by Mihael Hristos Polymeropoulos and Argeris N. Karabelas in 2002 and is headquartered in Washington, DC.

$. VNDA price fluctuates within 1.93% (three month std-dev: 11.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_10_2007	14.33	24.93	24.95	25.19			25.93(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	3	-10000	2	5	0.28	81%	1.2	281.3	11.33%	0	2.1	52	0
2	Jan_9_2007	14.16	24.9	24.87	24.97			25(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1	-10000	0	4	0.18	81%	1.22	456.5	11.33%	0	0.3	56	0
3	Jan_8_2007	13.99	24.95	24.89	24.9			25.05(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	1	-10000	0	4	0.19	81%	1.16	476	11.33%	0	0.2	52	0
4	Jan_5_2007	13.83	24.52	24.78	24.85			25.1(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	1	-10000	1	2	0.81	82%	1.17	465.3	11.32%	0	1.1	53	0
5	Jan_4_2007	13.67	24.08	24.69	24.75			24.88(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	1	-1	0.2	82%	1.18	416.9	11.32%	0	1.3	49	0

6	Jan_3_2007	13.51	23.65	24.74	24.66			24.83(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2	-10000	-1	-4	0.3	82%	1.73	113.7	11.32%	0	0.5	41	0
7	Dec_29_2006	13.28	23.19	24.7	24.75			24.65(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-2	-10000	-1	-5	0.11	82%	1.22	69	11.25%	0	0.4	45	0
8	Dec_28_2006	13.12	22.74	24.72	24.88			24.8(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-1	-10000	1	-6	0.07	82%	1.23	66.1	11.25%	0	0.5	42	0
9	Dec_27_2006	12.96	22.28	24.71	24.7			24.57(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	3	-10000	1	10	0.3	82%	1.17	62.8	11.25%	0	0.5	82	0
10	Dec_26_2006	12.81	21.81	24.75	24.62			24.46(-3.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-10000	-1	29	0.27	82%	1.59	59.7	11.25%	0	0.6	83	0

11	Dec_22_2006	12.61	21.34	24.91	24.82			25.27(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	1	58	0.58	82%	1.29	58.3	11.16%	0	0.8	84	0
12	Dec_21_2006	12.45	20.79	24.93	24.64			25.31(5.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	21	-10000	1	82	0.56	82%	1.3	57.6	11.16%	0	0.9	85	0
13	Dec_20_2006	12.29	20.24	25	24.55			23.88(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	-10000	-1	112	0.31	80%	1.15	56.6	11.15%	0	0.7	84	0
14	Dec_19_2006	12.15	19.76	24.27	24.71			24.16(-5.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	30	-10000	-1	124	0.22	80%	1.25	63	11.19%	0	0.8	84	0
15	Dec_18_2006	12	19.3	23.48	24.9			25.5(4.72%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	34	-10000	-1	139	0.28	80%	1.44	72.4	11.16%	0	1.2	89	0

16	Dec_15_2006	11.83	18.76	22.52	25.03			24.35(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	38	-10000	-2	156	0.17	80%	1.28	83.2	11.16%	0	1.1	88	0
17	Dec_14_2006	11.68	18.23	21.64	25.27			24.85(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	43	-10000	-2	179	0.38	80%	1.39	92.8	11.15%	0	1.4	91	0
18	Dec_13_2006	11.52	17.71	20.67	25.53			24.71(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	64	-10000	14	213	0.19	80%	1.41	108	11.15%	0	1.5	88	0
19	Dec_12_2006	11.36	16.96	19.7	23.68			25.07(-4.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	59	-10000	16	186	0.87	80%	1.43	91	11.14%	0	1.7	90	0
20	Dec_11_2006	11.2	16.18	18.65	21.74			26.17(2.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	53	-10000	20	151	1.68	78%	1.54	74.8	11.11%	0	2.2	85	0

21	Dec_8_2006	11.03	15.35	17.43	19.59			25.53(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	43	-10000	21	109	0.88	78%	1.47	60.7	11.14%	0	2.6	85	0
22	Dec_7_2006	10.87	14.59	16.21	17.5			26.15(68.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.6	37	-10000	26	71	10.98	78%	1.59	47.9	11.13%	0	3.5	88	0
23	Dec_6_2006	10.7	13.78	14.92	15.26			15.5(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	2	21	0.2	67%	0.66	39.2	7.3%	0	0.9	55	0
24	Dec_5_2006	10.63	13.57	14.78	15.17			15.35(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	2	42	0.09	67%	0.57	33.6	7.31%	0	0.9	83	0
25	Dec_4_2006	10.57	13.4	14.75	15.05			15.4(2.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	20	-10000	3	70	0.26	67%		30.1	7.31%	0	1	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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