Trading Signals: VNDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 11, 2006

Trading Signals: VNDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Apr. 12, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc.)
VNDA latest price $26.1700 (2.51%) ($24.9400 - $27.3500) on Mon. Dec. 11, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   11.11% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $26.1700(2.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VNDA advances 11% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VNDA advances 26.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VNDA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(3%)    EWP(3%)    XLP(3%)    XLU(3%)    EEM(2%)
Factors Impacting VNDA price   VNDA will decline at least -5.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-4%)    TLT(-1%)    TIP(-1%)    SHY(-1%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.555% (StdDev 11.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.74(20.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.65(40.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.18(61.74%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   191.8%
Market Cap   $1.43b

Vanda Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in the development and commercialization of therapies for high unmet medical needs. The firm intends to treat schizophrenia, jet lag disorder, atopic dermatitis, central nervous system disorders, and circadian rhythm sleep disorder. Its product portfolio includes HETLIOZ, Fanapt, Tradipitant, Trichostatin, and AQW051. The company was founded by Mihael Hristos Polymeropoulos and Argeris N. Karabelas in 2002 and is headquartered in Washington, DC.

$. VNDA price fluctuates within 27.69% (three month std-dev: 11.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_11_2006	11.2	16.18	18.65	21.74			26.17(2.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	53	-10000	20	151	1.68	78%	1.54	74.8	11.11%	0	2.2	85	0
2	Dec_8_2006	11.03	15.35	17.43	19.59			25.53(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	43	-10000	21	109	0.88	78%	1.47	60.7	11.14%	0	2.6	85	0
3	Dec_7_2006	10.87	14.59	16.21	17.5			26.15(68.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.6	37	-10000	26	71	10.98	78%	1.59	47.9	11.13%	0	3.5	88	0
4	Dec_6_2006	10.7	13.78	14.92	15.26			15.5(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	2	21	0.2	67%	0.66	39.2	7.3%	0	0.9	55	0
5	Dec_5_2006	10.63	13.57	14.78	15.17			15.35(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	2	42	0.09	67%	0.57	33.6	7.31%	0	0.9	83	0

6	Dec_4_2006	10.57	13.4	14.75	15.05			15.4(2.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	20	-10000	3	70	0.26	67%	0.76	30.1	7.31%	0	1	83	0
7	Dec_1_2006	10.49	13.26	14.68	14.88			15.09(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	27	-10000	4	94	0.24	67%	0.58	27.7	7.36%	0	0.9	78	0
8	Nov_30_2006	10.43	13.17	14.58	14.66			14.94(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	2	107	1.11	68%	0.68	27.4	7.31%	0	0.9	71	0
9	Nov_29_2006	10.36	13.04	14.57	14.53			15.06(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	4	131	0.42	69%	0.68	26.6	7.31%	0	1.1	72	0
10	Nov_28_2006	10.29	12.93	14.08	14.34			14.74(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	29	-10000	-1	119	0.23	69%	0.59	25.4	7.32%	0	1	69	0

11	Nov_27_2006	10.23	12.83	13.61	14.41			14.55(3.85%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	28	-10000	-1	114	0.7	69%	0.69	30.3	7.32%	0	1	64	0
12	Nov_24_2006	10.16	12.74	13.19	14.41			14.01(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	-10000	0	106	0.06	69%	0.69	36.7	7.31%	0	0.8	59	0
13	Nov_22_2006	10.09	12.67	12.91	14.48			14.3(1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-10000	-2	94	0.59	66%	0.5	42.8	7.29%	0	1	56	0
14	Nov_21_2006	10.04	12.57	12.58	14.6			14.09(-6.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	38	-10000	17	100	0.94	66%	0.6	53.3	7.3%	0	1	59	0
15	Nov_20_2006	9.98	12.49	12.29	13.74			15.1(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	-10000	24	56	1.56	66%	0.6	44.4	7.24%	0	1.7	60	0

16	Nov_17_2006	9.92	12.33	11.94	12.65			14.88(5.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	18	-10000	22	6	0.94	64%	0.71	30.2	7.29%	0	1.8	59	0
17	Nov_16_2006	9.85	12.16	11.69	11.72			14.05(-5.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	3	-10000	15	-34	1.59	65%	0.61	17.5	7.28%	0	1.4	57	0
18	Nov_15_2006	9.79	12.01	11.58	11.13			14.9(52.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.9	4	-10000	21	-49	9.59	65%	0.72	9.2	7.28%	0	2.2	61	0
19	Nov_14_2006	9.72	11.78	11.3	10.34			9.76(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-61	-10000	-17	-193	0.33	45%	0.1	-6.9	3.35%	0	-1.8	30	0
20	Nov_13_2006	9.71	11.84	11.63	10.64			9.66(-5.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-59	-10000	-24	-164	0.11	45%	0.1	4.1	3.48%	0	-2	28	0

21	Nov_10_2006	9.7	11.91	11.98	11.11			10.21(-8.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-49	-10000	-25	-121	0.04	50%	0	20.9	3.46%	0	-1.7	39	0
22	Nov_9_2006	9.7	11.93	12.28	11.61			11.1(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-10000	-24	-70	0.04	53%	0.21	37.7	3.33%	0	-0.8	49	0
23	Nov_8_2006	9.68	11.9	12.45	12.09			10.97(-2.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-14	-10000	-15	-12	0.06	55%	0.21	51.6	3.33%	0	-0.8	52	0
24	Nov_7_2006	9.66	11.86	12.61	12.41			11.27(-5.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	-10000	-17	38	0.04	55%	0.21	60.7	3.34%	0	-0.5	61	0
25	Nov_6_2006	9.64	11.8	12.77	12.77			11.98(-6.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	19	-10000	-9	104	0.32	58%		69.8	3.27%	0	0.1	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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