Trading Signals: VLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 30, 2017

Trading Signals: VLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Valero Energy Corporation)
VLO latest price $68.2300 (1.37%) ($66.6100 - $68.3000) on Mon. Jan. 30, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $68.2300(1.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VLO advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VLO advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VLO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(80%)    XOP(70%)    OIH(64%)    VYM(62%)    XLF(61%)
Factors Impacting VLO price   VLO will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $67.82(0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.1(1.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.21(1.52%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   17.9%
Market Cap   $27.821b

Valero Energy Corp. engages in the manufacture and marketing of transportation fuels and other petrochemical products. It operates through the following business segments: Refining, Ethanol, and Renewable Diesel. The Refining segment comprises of refining operations, associated marketing activities, and logistics assets that support its refining operations. The Ethanol segment includes its ethanol operations, associated marketing activities, and logistics assets that support its ethanol operations. The Renewable Diesel covers the operations of Diamond Green Diesel Holdings LLC. The company was founded on January 1, 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, TX.

$. VLO price fluctuates within 1.56% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170302

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_30_2017	61.66	67.21	67.1	67.82			68.23(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	7	38	8.41	68%	0.23	-19.9	1.7%	0	1	63	0
2	Jan_27_2017	61.52	67.22	66.91	67.42			67.31(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-10000	4	25	4.63	68%	0.18	-27.6	1.7%	0	0.1	55	0
3	Jan_26_2017	61.41	67.28	66.83	67.21			67.37(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	5	14	4.01	68%	0.2	-28.2	1.71%	0	0.1	46	0
4	Jan_25_2017	61.29	67.37	66.79	66.95			68.33(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	5	-10000	6	3	4.61	72%	0.21	-25.1	1.7%	0	0.8	50	0
5	Jan_24_2017	61.16	67.39	66.59	66.63			67.86(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	6	-24	3.89	72%	0.11	-28.2	1.8%	0	0.4	32	0

6	Jan_23_2017	61.09	67.42	66.43	66.3			66.25(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	-10000	-1	-45	4.05	70%	0.2	-31.4	1.78%	0	-0.9	39	0
7	Jan_20_2017	60.97	67.51	66.47	66.33			66.24(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-1	-54	2.91	72%	0.21	-25.5	1.79%	0	-1	38	0
8	Jan_19_2017	60.84	67.58	66.61	66.38			66.07(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-4	-59	3.64	72%	0.18	-23.1	1.79%	0	-1.2	37	0
9	Jan_18_2017	60.73	67.66	66.78	66.59			66.75(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-10000	1	-59	4.25	74%	0.18	-17.3	1.8%	0	-0.8	36	0
10	Jan_17_2017	60.62	67.73	67.11	66.54			66.19(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-1	-55	4.94	74%	0.28	-19	1.82%	0	-1.3	36	0

11	Jan_13_2017	60.45	67.81	67.33	66.58			66.39(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10000	-1	-58	3.37	74%	0.18	-22.8	1.8%	0	-1.3	39	0
12	Jan_12_2017	60.34	67.83	67.55	66.63			66.52(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-4	-56	4.53	74%	0.2	-27.5	1.8%	0	-1.3	45	0
13	Jan_11_2017	60.22	67.83	67.77	66.86			67.08(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-10000	-3	-45	3.39	74%	0.2	-10.5	1.8%	0	-0.8	49	0
14	Jan_10_2017	60.1	67.88	68	67.03			66.53(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-13	-37	5.43	74%	0.2	3.3	1.81%	0	-1.3	48	0
15	Jan_9_2017	59.98	67.96	68.25	67.8			66.37(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-7	-10000	-6	-9	5.13	74%	0.2	54	1.81%	0	-1.6	44	0

16	Jan_6_2017	59.86	68.06	68.51	68.19			66.66(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-3	-10000	-6	6	3.77	74%	0.2	107.9	1.81%	0	-1.5	47	0
17	Jan_5_2017	59.74	68.12	68.66	68.59			67.68(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	4	-10000	-3	25	6.45	75%	0.22	159.1	1.8%	0	-0.5	59	0
18	Jan_4_2017	59.61	67.99	68.67	68.79			67.89(-3.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	4	-10000	-5	31	7.43	75%	0.24	172.7	1.81%	0	-0.1	55	0
19	Jan_3_2017	59.47	67.84	68.65	69.1			70.42(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	5	50	4.43	82%	0.35	143.7	1.74%	0	2.2	71	0
20	Dec_30_2016	59.26	67.41	68.39	68.81			68.32(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10000	-1	41	2.55	81%	0.25	80.7	1.71%	0	0.5	52	0

21	Dec_29_2016	59.11	67.05	68.33	68.89			68.63(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	2	41	1.91	70%	0.27	56.3	1.73%	0	0.7	51	0
22	Dec_28_2016	58.95	66.71	68.13	68.75			68.67(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	10	-10000	3	30	2.47	70%	0.27	43.6	1.92%	0	0.8	57	0
23	Dec_27_2016	58.79	66.47	67.99	68.53			69.45(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	6	37	2.15	70%	0.36	39.7	1.91%	0	1.2	73	0
24	Dec_23_2016	58.58	66.18	67.72	68.13			68.96(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	3	36	1.7	67%	0.27	38	1.93%	0	1.1	73	0
25	Dec_22_2016	58.42	65.97	67.6	67.93			68.72(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	17	-10000	3	59	3.21	67%		37	1.93%	0	1.1	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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