Trading Signals: VLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: VLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Valero Energy Corporation)
VLO latest price $54.3300 (-0.04%) ($53.7700 - $54.5300) on Fri. Aug. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $54.3300(-0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VLO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VLO advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VLO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(78%)    XOP(68%)    OIH(63%)    VYM(62%)    XLF(60%)
Factors Impacting VLO price   VLO will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.66(1.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.41(1.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.34(3.8%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   15%
Market Cap   $22.153b

Valero Energy Corp. engages in the manufacture and marketing of transportation fuels and other petrochemical products. It operates through the following business segments: Refining, Ethanol, and Renewable Diesel. The Refining segment comprises of refining operations, associated marketing activities, and logistics assets that support its refining operations. The Ethanol segment includes its ethanol operations, associated marketing activities, and logistics assets that support its ethanol operations. The Renewable Diesel covers the operations of Diamond Green Diesel Holdings LLC. The company was founded on January 1, 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, TX.

$. VLO price fluctuates within 2.92% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160912

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2016	55.28	52.34	53.41	53.66			54.33(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	4	59	4.85	38%	-0.22	68.2	1.75%	0	1.3	67	0
2	Aug_11_2016	55.4	52.12	53.2	53.49			54.35(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	4	68	7.81	38%	-0.2	74.5	1.77%	0	1.5	68	0
3	Aug_10_2016	55.51	51.92	52.96	53.29			52.92(0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-7	70	7.12	34%	-0.23	81.8	1.74%	0	0.7	64	0
4	Aug_9_2016	55.64	51.75	52.89	53.64			52.49(-3.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	24	-10000	0	96	6.85	34%	-0.25	88.9	1.75%	0	0.5	58	0
5	Aug_8_2016	55.78	51.6	52.92	53.62			54.19(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-10000	11	115	6.62	36%	-0.2	81.4	1.71%	0	1.6	65	0

6	Aug_5_2016	55.89	51.31	52.54	53.1			53.5(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	5	96	8.01	36%	-0.2	63.4	1.7%	0	1.3	65	0
7	Aug_4_2016	56	51.03	52.19	52.86			53.33(-2.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	6	89	8.84	35%	-0.23	48.2	1.7%	0	1.3	67	0
8	Aug_3_2016	56.13	50.73	51.87	52.57			54.71(4.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	28	-10000	11	80	11.36	34%	-0.18	33	1.7%	0	2.3	70	0
9	Aug_2_2016	56.23	50.42	51.45	52.07			52.35(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	-10000	-1	66	6.96	27%	-0.23	19.9	1.66%	0	1.3	67	0
10	Aug_1_2016	56.36	50.28	51.29	52.13			51.63(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	-10000	6	84	6.9	27%	-0.25	18.1	1.67%	0	0.9	66	0

11	Jul_29_2016	56.5	50.26	51.18	51.86			52.28(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	11	90	5.12	25%	-0.21	9.4	1.67%	0	1.4	74	0
12	Jul_28_2016	56.62	50.18	50.94	51.38			51.87(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	8	83	5.81	25%	-0.23	-8.8	1.72%	0	1.2	76	0
13	Jul_27_2016	56.75	50.16	50.79	51.02			52.21(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	-10000	6	90	9.15	25%	-0.18	-18.9	1.73%	0	1.5	80	0
14	Jul_26_2016	56.85	50.12	50.51	50.74			52.67(4.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	28	-10000	8	87	12.77	25%	-0.19	-27.5	1.73%	0	1.9	69	0
15	Jul_25_2016	56.96	50.02	50.16	50.37			50.29(0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-10000	-1	73	7.66	17%	-0.25	-40.3	1.61%	0	0.2	52	0

16	Jul_22_2016	57.1	50.12	49.99	50.4			49.88(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	-10000	-0	56	6.15	17%	-0.24	-33.9	1.61%	0	-0.2	41	0
17	Jul_21_2016	57.24	50.29	49.8	50.41			50.07(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-2	34	4.56	17%	-0.21	-24.2	1.62%	0	-0.1	45	0
18	Jul_20_2016	57.36	50.42	49.54	50.48			50.78(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	6	9	4.51	17%	-0.19	-18	1.62%	0	0.2	43	0
19	Jul_19_2016	57.47	50.49	49.32	50.23			50.85(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	8	-22	4.88	17%	-0.17	-17.5	1.62%	0	0.2	43	0
20	Jul_18_2016	57.57	50.53	49.19	49.91			50.43(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-10000	10	-44	5.08	17%	-0.16	-20.9	1.62%	0	-0.1	46	0

21	Jul_15_2016	57.66	50.59	49.25	49.52			49.94(-0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10000	11	-67	5.73	16%	-0.19	-31.4	1.64%	0	-0.4	38	0
22	Jul_14_2016	57.77	50.68	49.33	49.08			50.4(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-14	-10000	15	-99	5.98	16%	-0.19	-43.7	1.68%	0	-0.2	35	0
23	Jul_13_2016	57.88	50.72	49.45	48.45			49.54(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-31	-10000	4	-136	8.16	13%	-0.14	-61.2	1.67%	0	-0.7	36	0
24	Jul_12_2016	57.96	50.79	49.65	48.27			49.25(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-39	-10000	-3	-148	7.87	13%	-0.16	-77.6	1.71%	0	-0.9	37	0
25	Jul_11_2016	58.05	50.89	49.83	48.39			48.49(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-49	-10000	-14	-155	6.18	12%		-88.2	1.69%	0	-1.4	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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