Trading Signals: VLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: VLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Valero Energy Corporation)
VLO latest price $55.6400 (1.31%) ($54.9200 - $56.1500) on Tue. Jun. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $55.6400(1.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VLO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VLO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(78%)    XOP(68%)    OIH(63%)    VYM(61%)    XLF(60%)
Factors Impacting VLO price   VLO will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.44(0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.07(1.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.25(0.71%)
To recent high   -15.8%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $22.687b

Valero Energy Corp. engages in the manufacture and marketing of transportation fuels and other petrochemical products. It operates through the following business segments: Refining, Ethanol, and Renewable Diesel. The Refining segment comprises of refining operations, associated marketing activities, and logistics assets that support its refining operations. The Ethanol segment includes its ethanol operations, associated marketing activities, and logistics assets that support its ethanol operations. The Renewable Diesel covers the operations of Diamond Green Diesel Holdings LLC. The company was founded on January 1, 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, TX.

$. VLO price fluctuates within 1.09% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160707

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_7_2016	60.43	55.25	55.07	55.44			55.64(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10000	4	1	5.56	27%	-0.08	-17.4	1.69%	0	0.7	52	0
2	Jun_6_2016	60.48	55.21	54.95	55.25			54.92(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-1	-10000	2	-11	5.25	27%	-0.2	-61.5	1.68%	0	-0.5	49	0
3	Jun_3_2016	60.6	55.24	55.06	55.18			55.15(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	-10000	5	-6	4.54	27%	-0.21	-91.7	1.68%	0	-0.2	51	0
4	Jun_2_2016	60.73	55.26	55.08	54.97			55.72(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	1	-10000	5	-10	5.52	27%	-0.15	-140.4	1.72%	0	0.8	56	0
5	Jun_1_2016	60.82	55.27	55.13	54.75			55.75(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-3	-10000	2	-16	6.36	27%	-0.26	-190.2	1.72%	0	0.8	49	0

6	May_31_2016	60.98	55.35	55.07	54.67			54.7(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-5	-10000	1	-24	6.19	22%	-0.36	-173.1	1.72%	0	-0.8	43	0
7	May_27_2016	61.2	55.59	55.12	54.62			54.57(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	-10000	-6	-28	4.44	22%	-0.29	-108	1.74%	0	-0.7	49	0
8	May_26_2016	61.38	55.79	55.18	54.93			54.09(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-5	-18	5.44	22%	-0.28	-88.1	1.75%	0	-1	45	0
9	May_25_2016	61.55	56.12	55.27	55.19			54.62(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-8	-15	6.71	22%	-0.28	-69.7	1.75%	0	-0.7	46	0
10	May_24_2016	61.72	56.47	55.4	55.56			55.35(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-0	-10000	0	-1	5.39	35%	-0.24	-55.8	1.75%	0	-0.5	46	0

11	May_23_2016	61.87	56.78	55.46	55.54			54.46(-2.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10000	-3	-11	4.64	35%	-0.13	-49.2	1.87%	0	-0.9	34	0
12	May_20_2016	61.95	57.13	55.53	55.68			56.13(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	4	-29	3.5	38%	-0.24	-45.3	1.87%	0	-0.4	30	0
13	May_19_2016	62.1	57.37	55.44	55.48			55.4(-1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-12	-10000	2	-55	5.24	38%	-0.26	-43.9	1.88%	0	-0.7	33	0
14	May_18_2016	62.26	57.63	55.46	55.35			56.44(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-20	-10000	2	-86	5.81	34%	-0.24	-46.9	1.89%	0	-0.4	29	0
15	May_17_2016	62.41	57.81	55.42	55.24			55.25(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-32	-10000	-3	-120	4.38	30%	-0.26	-51.8	1.93%	0	-0.9	20	0

16	May_16_2016	62.57	58.06	55.63	55.39			55.19(0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-33	-10000	1	-134	5.79	30%	-0.13	-52.8	1.94%	0	-1.1	23	0
17	May_13_2016	62.65	58.34	56.06	55.35			55.11(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-10000	-1	-147	4.56	30%	-0.27	-55.4	1.94%	0	-1.2	22	0
18	May_12_2016	62.82	58.58	56.42	55.4			54.78(-1.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-42	-10000	-3	-159	4.52	37%	-0.29	-62.5	1.95%	0	-1.5	24	0
19	May_11_2016	63	58.92	57.01	55.56			55.87(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-10000	-1	-150	5.69	39%	-0.25	-63	2%	0	-1.2	30	0
20	May_10_2016	63.16	59.26	57.61	55.62			56(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-40	-10000	-6	-143	4.91	39%	-0.25	-63.9	2.01%	0	-1.4	34	0

21	May_9_2016	63.32	59.51	58.17	55.95			54.98(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	-10000	-17	-135	5.39	39%	-0.25	-68.1	1.99%	0	-2	29	0
22	May_6_2016	63.48	59.82	58.86	56.91			55.36(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-10000	-12	-101	6.73	35%	-0.27	-66.6	2.04%	0	-2.1	28	0
23	May_5_2016	63.65	60.22	59.47	57.62			55.61(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-33	-10000	-18	-78	6.33	29%	-0.24	-65.8	2.05%	0	-2.4	37	0
24	May_4_2016	63.8	60.54	60.01	58.68			56.15(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-26	-10000	-18	-51	8.05	29%	-0.2	-68.4	2.26%	0	-2.8	32	0
25	May_3_2016	63.93	60.84	60.46	59.88			57.63(-3.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-16	-10000	-12	-29	8.34	27%		-66.4	2.25%	0	-2.4	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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