Trading Signals: VLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: VLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Valero Energy Corporation)
VLO latest price $71.9500 (0.03%) ($71.0300 - $72.6600) on Fri. Nov. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.42% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $71.9500(0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VLO advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VLO advances 8.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VLO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(76%)    XOP(66%)    OIH(61%)    VYM(61%)    XLF(60%)
Factors Impacting VLO price   VLO will decline at least -1.21% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.21% (StdDev 2.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $70.52(2.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.44(6.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.7(11.21%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   25.3%
Market Cap   $29.338b

Valero Energy Corp. engages in the manufacture and marketing of transportation fuels and other petrochemical products. It operates through the following business segments: Refining, Ethanol, and Renewable Diesel. The Refining segment comprises of refining operations, associated marketing activities, and logistics assets that support its refining operations. The Ethanol segment includes its ethanol operations, associated marketing activities, and logistics assets that support its ethanol operations. The Renewable Diesel covers the operations of Diamond Green Diesel Holdings LLC. The company was founded on January 1, 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, TX.

$. VLO price fluctuates within 5.9% (three month std-dev: 2.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2015	63.53	64.7	67.44	70.52			71.95(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	63	-10000	14	208	4.8	50%	0.19	45.6	2.42%	0	1.9	83	0
2	Nov_5_2015	63.41	64.27	66.42	69.32			71.93(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	56	-10000	15	178	6.61	50%	0.19	42.1	2.43%	0	2.2	70	0
3	Nov_4_2015	63.29	63.91	65.25	68.09			71.1(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	51	-10000	19	147	8.32	50%	0.21	42.7	2.42%	0	2.4	69	0
4	Nov_3_2015	63.16	63.53	64.05	66.56			69.6(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	41	-10000	18	108	6.47	50%	0.17	41.8	2.41%	0	2.4	71	0
5	Nov_2_2015	63.05	63.21	63.07	65.13			68.03(3.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	29	-10000	16	69	5.04	50%	0.14	41.6	2.41%	0	2.3	65	0

6	Oct_30_2015	62.96	63	62.36	63.9			65.92(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	11	30	5.79	48%	0.11	46.3	2.39%	0	1.6	52	0
7	Oct_29_2015	62.89	62.85	62.08	63.07			65.81(3.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	14	-10000	15	11	7.27	49%	0.11	42.2	2.41%	0	1.7	52	0
8	Oct_28_2015	62.82	62.65	61.78	61.98			63.42(1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-10000	11	-24	7.54	46%	0.11	31.9	2.37%	0	0.5	41	0
9	Oct_27_2015	62.75	62.5	61.56	61.15			62.46(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	-10000	6	-57	6.83	45%	0.06	17.6	2.37%	0	-0	43	0
10	Oct_26_2015	62.71	62.33	61.51	60.68			61.9(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	-10000	1	-76	4.49	45%	0.08	8.6	2.38%	0	-0.2	44	0

11	Oct_23_2015	62.66	62.16	61.74	60.58			61.75(2.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-25	-10000	-6	-83	4.93	45%	0.08	3.5	2.38%	0	-0.2	42	0
12	Oct_22_2015	62.61	62.12	61.96	60.98			60.36(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-8	-73	6.13	45%	0.03	10.5	2.37%	0	-0.8	43	0
13	Oct_21_2015	62.59	62.11	62.48	61.58			59.3(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-17	-10000	-6	-48	4.82	45%	0.02	16.7	2.36%	0	-1.3	44	0
14	Oct_20_2015	62.58	62.17	63.03	62			60.08(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	-10000	-6	-24	6.12	44%	0.02	21.1	2.35%	0	-0.9	54	0
15	Oct_19_2015	62.57	62.15	63.44	62.41			61.43(-3.64%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-5	-10000	-8	3	6.02	44%	0.05	22	2.35%	0	-0.3	61	0

16	Oct_16_2015	62.54	62.08	63.77	63.03			63.75(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	11	-10000	-1	46	4.31	48%	0.06	27.3	2.31%	0	0.7	71	0
17	Oct_15_2015	62.5	61.89	63.72	63.12			63.34(3.19%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-10000	-6	55	4.35	47%	0.08	23.2	2.35%	0	0.6	58	0
18	Oct_14_2015	62.45	61.75	63.63	63.59			61.38(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	13	-10000	-9	77	4.78	45%	0.03	24.7	2.32%	0	-0.2	57	0
19	Oct_13_2015	62.43	61.7	63.56	64.23			62.16(-3.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	21	-10000	-5	97	6.75	46%	-0.02	30.5	2.32%	0	0.2	59	0
20	Oct_12_2015	62.44	61.67	63.28	64.59			64.5(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	28	-10000	-0	111	3.3	49%	0.06	36.5	2.29%	0	1.3	68	0

21	Oct_9_2015	62.4	61.46	62.66	64.6			64.2(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	-10000	3	107	6.65	50%	0.05	43.3	2.31%	0	1.3	65	0
22	Oct_8_2015	62.37	61.38	62.31	64.38			65.71(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	-10000	9	112	4.85	50%	0.1	49.4	2.29%	0	2.1	69	0
23	Oct_7_2015	62.31	61.2	61.7	63.69			64.59(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	-10000	12	95	6.01	50%	0.08	55.6	2.29%	0	1.8	63	0
24	Oct_6_2015	62.26	61.03	61.21	62.79			63.94(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	-10000	15	75	6.32	50%	0.05	57.7	2.29%	0	1.7	62	0
25	Oct_5_2015	62.23	60.86	60.72	61.75			64.58(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	25	-10000	19	43	6.66	50%		47.2	2.29%	0	2.3	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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