Trading Signals: VLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: VLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Valero Energy Corporation)
VLO latest price $59.9000 (0.4%) ($58.3900 - $60.1400) on Tue. Mar. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.01% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $59.9000(0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VLO advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VLO declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VLO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(75%)    XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    VYM(60%)    XLF(59%)
Factors Impacting VLO price   VLO will decline at least -1.005% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.005% (StdDev 2.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.72(2.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.78(1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59.73(0.28%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   35.9%
Market Cap   $24.424b

Valero Energy Corp. engages in the manufacture and marketing of transportation fuels and other petrochemical products. It operates through the following business segments: Refining, Ethanol, and Renewable Diesel. The Refining segment comprises of refining operations, associated marketing activities, and logistics assets that support its refining operations. The Ethanol segment includes its ethanol operations, associated marketing activities, and logistics assets that support its ethanol operations. The Renewable Diesel covers the operations of Diamond Green Diesel Holdings LLC. The company was founded on January 1, 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, TX.

$. VLO price fluctuates within 2.36% (three month std-dev: 2.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2015	52.77	59.73	58.78	58.72			59.9(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	-10000	7	-44	5.47	64%	0.19	24.6	2.01%	0	0.1	43	0
2	Mar_16_2015	52.67	59.68	58.77	58.3			59.66(1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-13	-10000	4	-64	5.32	64%	0.19	29.2	2.02%	0	-0	41	0
3	Mar_13_2015	52.57	59.63	58.66	58.08			58.53(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-10000	-1	-91	5.13	64%	0.15	36.8	2%	0	-0.7	33	0
4	Mar_12_2015	52.49	59.55	58.95	58.13			57.78(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10000	-7	-89	7.14	64%	0.15	39.4	2.02%	0	-1.1	40	0
5	Mar_11_2015	52.41	59.47	59.35	58.56			57.74(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-5	-69	10.91	64%	0.15	45.1	2.03%	0	-1	43	0

6	Mar_10_2015	52.33	59.39	59.71	58.83			57.77(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-8	-56	6.44	60%	0.15	48.5	2.03%	0	-0.8	47	0
7	Mar_9_2015	52.25	59.25	60.1	59.29			58.6(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-10000	-0	-28	6.15	60%	0.17	49.6	2.09%	0	-0.3	52	0
8	Mar_6_2015	52.16	59.09	60.48	59.31			58.74(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-9	-15	5.74	56%	0.21	50.2	2.13%	0	-0.1	53	0
9	Mar_5_2015	52.05	58.93	60.7	59.9			59.96(1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	-6	19	6.58	53%	0.23	59.9	2.12%	0	0.4	65	0
10	Mar_4_2015	51.93	58.66	60.74	60.3			59.08(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-7	50	7.1	53%	0.21	66	2.17%	0	0.2	67	0

11	Mar_3_2015	51.82	58.45	60.79	60.74			60.08(2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-10000	-5	80	6.38	54%	0.27	73.3	2.16%	0	0.6	70	0
12	Mar_2_2015	51.68	58.17	60.69	61.04			58.67(-4.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	18	-10000	-12	107	13.06	55%	0.21	80.7	2.15%	0	0.2	71	0
13	Feb_27_2015	51.57	57.91	60.73	61.81			61.69(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	42	-10000	3	158	8.22	60%	0.33	88.1	2.1%	0	1.2	82	0
14	Feb_26_2015	51.4	57.43	60.24	61.61			61.97(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	46	-10000	6	165	7.63	60%	0.35	91	2.11%	0	1.4	83	0
15	Feb_25_2015	51.22	56.91	59.6	61.25			61.27(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	46	-10000	6	164	5.41	60%	0.33	94.3	2.13%	0	1.3	83	0

16	Feb_24_2015	51.05	56.41	59.05	60.85			61.6(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	-10000	9	163	6.31	60%	0.37	97.8	2.14%	0	1.6	84	0
17	Feb_23_2015	50.86	55.89	58.34	60.28			62.5(2.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	47	-10000	12	153	9.83	60%	0.39	104.5	2.14%	0	2	90	0
18	Feb_20_2015	50.66	55.26	57.56	59.5			60.72(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	46	-10000	13	145	6.93	58%	0.38	114.5	2.14%	0	1.8	90	0
19	Feb_19_2015	50.47	54.63	56.97	58.67			60.18(1.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	47	-10000	16	139	7.45	58%	0.36	109.6	2.16%	0	1.8	91	0
20	Feb_18_2015	50.29	53.98	56.37	57.7			59.27(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	40	-10000	12	125	6.66	58%	0.34	100.3	2.17%	0	1.6	91	0

21	Feb_17_2015	50.12	53.35	55.86	56.95			58.73(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	41	-10000	14	122	8.45	58%	0.32	90.1	2.19%	0	1.6	91	0
22	Feb_13_2015	49.96	52.69	55.41	56.1			58.6(3.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	38	-10000	12	114	13.18	58%	0.34	75	2.21%	0	1.7	91	0
23	Feb_12_2015	49.79	51.98	54.82	55.35			56.55(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	-10000	5	106	10.15	55%	0.28	58.3	2.19%	0	1.3	90	0
24	Feb_11_2015	49.65	51.4	54.38	55.04			55.36(-0.29%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	32	-10000	3	119	6.65	55%	0.22	51.4	2.19%	0	1.1	92	0
25	Feb_10_2015	49.54	50.93	54.01	54.83			55.52(1.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	-10000	4	137	7.76	55%		47.7	2.21%	0	1.2	94	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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