Trading Signals: VIXM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VIXM: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 15, 2021

Trading Signals: VIXM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. May. 12, 2014 - Wed. Mar. 3, 2021)

(ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF)
VIXM latest price $38.1800 (1.8%) ($37.6600 - $38.5000) on Fri. Jan. 15, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Breakout
Trend Narrative   Growing Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing   $0.52 (1.4% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.92% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0.4% (StdDev 1.92%)
Daily Moving Force   1.1%
Correction Force   Weak (0%)
Trend   0.16%
Trend Strength   0.2%
RSI   61
Momentum   0.7
Latest Price   $38.1800(1.8%)
Forecasted Low Price   37.99(-0.5%)
Forecasted High Price   38.94(2%)
Direction of Next Movement   Higher(2.3%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction   4.9% (36.4)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   3.9%
Hourly Trend 1.4% [$37.56(0.53), $37.34(0.25)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Complacency   7
Intraday Reversal Probability   There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to upside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend   VIXM advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VIXM advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VIXM advance at 0.6% a week (75% probability)
VXX(86%)    XRT(26%)    UUP(21%)    UNG(20%)    EDOC(16%)
Factors Impacting VIXM price   VIXM will advance at least 0.2% in a week (68% probabilities).
SPY(-69%)    XLY(-68%)    VT(-67%)    IWD(-67%)    IDRV(-67%)
Explanation The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY 1.2

Relative Volatility -0.4 (options are faily valued)

Market Trend Strength   1.2% (StdDev 1.92%)
Hourly BBV -1.9 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Next Day Open Price   $38.28(0.26%)
Support Level   $37.05
5 Day Moving Average   $37.44(1.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.12(2.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.05(3.05%)
To recent high   -11.2%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. VIXM price fluctuates within 1.4% (three month std-dev: 1.92% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. VIXM price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210215

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Jan_15_2021	37.05 (0%)	37.12 (0.2%)	37.44 (1.1%)	37.34	37.56(0%)	38.18(1.8%)	37.66-38.5	1(2.2)	-1.9	1.1%	0.4%	0%	0.16%	0.2%	61	0.7	Breakout	Higher(1.5%)	7	1.2	2.5	Approaching Top	38(-0.48%)	37.58-38.34	0.08	-11.2%-6.9%
2	Jan_14_2021	36.98 (-0%)	36.96 (0%)	37.05 (0.7%)	37.09	37.03(0%)	37.51(1.61%)	36.52-37.52	0.2(1.2)	-2.5	0.2%	0.2%	0%	0.04%	-0.1%	53	0.6	N/A	Range(0.4%)	7	-0.2	2.5	Uptrend Reversal	37.66(0.39%)	37.53-37.74	0.04	-12.8%-5%
3	Jan_13_2021	36.97 (0%)	36.87 (-0%)	36.8 (0.1%)	36.89	37.13(0%)	36.91(-0.59%)	36.8-37.31	-0.3(-0.1)	-0.1	0.2%	-0.1%	0%	-0.04%	-0.3%	43	0.6	N/A Downtrend Pop	Range(0.4%)	8	-1.1	1.9	Downtrend	36.9(-0.03%)	36.89-36.92	0.11	-14.2%-3.4%
4	Jan_12_2021	37 (0%)	36.9 (-0%)	36.8 (0%)	36.68	37.14(0%)	37.13(-0.91%)	36.94-37.57	-0.4(0.3)	-0.1	0.8%	0.1%	0%	-0.04%	-0.3%	47	0.6	Rebound	Higher(1.4%)	7	-0.7	2	Downtrend	37.11(-0.06%)	37.11-37.11	0.04	-13.7%-4%
5	Jan_11_2021	37.01 (0%)	36.84 (-0.2%)	36.8 (0%)	36.54	36.65(0%)	37.47(3.42%)	36.51-37.51	-0.5(1)	-0.1	0.5%	0.2%	0%	-0.06%	-0.5%	52	0.7	Uptrend Reversal	Range(0.7%)	6	-0.4	1.6	After Bottom	37.35(-0.31%)	37.26-37.43	0.05	-12.9%-4.9%

6	Jan_8_2021	36.97 (0%)	36.75 (-0.2%)	36.77 (-0.2%)	36.7	36.22(0%)	36.23(-0.06%)	35.97-36.67	-0.6(-1.6)	-4	-0.6%	-0.2%	0%	-0.06%	-0.6%	49	0.7	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.8%)	5	-2.1	1	Correction	36.01(-0.62%)	35.95-36.21	0.07	-15.7%-1.5%
7	Jan_7_2021	36.99 (0.2%)	36.83 (-0%)	36.86 (-0.2%)	36.96	36.43(0%)	36.25(-1.47%)	35.9-36.38	-0.3(-1.7)	-1.3	-1.1%	-0.3%	0%	-0.04%	-0.4%	46	0.6	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.7%)	5	-2.1	0.6	Correction	36.04(-0.58%)	35.99-36.23	0.11	-15.7%-1.5%
8	Jan_6_2021	36.97 (0.2%)	36.99 (-0%)	36.93 (-0.3%)	37.06	37.18(0%)	36.79(-0.81%)	36-37.23	0.1(-0.4)	-0.1	-0.5%	-0.1%	0%	-0%	0.1%	46	0.6	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.2%)	6	-0.8	-0.8	Correction	36.62(-0.47%)	36.58-36.79	0.07	-14.4%-3%
9	Jan_5_2021	36.94 (0.2%)	36.99 (-0%)	37.04 (0.3%)	37.15	37.49(0%)	37.09(-1.01%)	36.9-38.33	0.4(0.3)	-0.3	1%	0%	0%	0.02%	0.3%	45	0.8	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.5%)	6	-0.1	-0.3	Growing Uptrend	37.1(0.04%)	37.06-37.12	0.06	-13.7%-3.9%
10	Jan_4_2021	36.88 (0.2%)	37.06 (-0%)	36.92 (0.5%)	36.94	36.95(0%)	37.47(2.1%)	36.65-38.46	0.3(1.1)	0.1	0.5%	0.2%	0%	-0.02%	0.5%	50	0.8	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.7%)	5	0.9	-0.7	Growing Uptrend	37.45(-0.05%)	37.37-37.47	0.13	-12.9%-4.9%

11	Dec_31_2020	36.81 (0%)	36.98 (-0.2%)	36.74 (-0.2%)	36.7	36.81(0%)	36.7(0.32%)	36.18-36.8	0(-0.2)	0.8	-0.2%	-0%	0%	-0.06%	0.5%	52	0.9	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.2%)	4	-0.7	1.1	Correction	36.4(-0.81%)	36.34-36.67	0.05	-14.7%-2.8%
12	Dec_30_2020	36.77 (0%)	37.01 (-0%)	36.81 (-0.7%)	36.75	36.93(0%)	36.58(-2.02%)	36.57-37.48	0.1(-0.3)	0.4	0.3%	-0.1%	0%	-0.04%	0.6%	54	0.9	Correction	Higher(1.2%)	4	-0.7	0.9	Correction	36.27(-0.84%)	36.2-36.55	0.06	-14.9%-2.4%
13	Dec_29_2020	36.75 (0.2%)	37.09 (0%)	37.06 (-0.1%)	36.8	36.6(0%)	37.34(2.33%)	36.21-37.53	0.5(0.9)	0	-0.2%	0%	0%	0.08%	0.9%	65	1	Correction	Range(-0.2%)	4	0.5	1.2	Uptrend Consolidation	37.18(-0.43%)	37.11-37.38	0.07	-13.2%-4.6%
14	Dec_28_2020	36.68 (0.2%)	37.11 (0.2%)	37.1 (-0.4%)	37.04	36.58(0%)	36.49(-0.27%)	36.23-36.51	0.6(-0.3)	-3.4	-1%	-0.2%	0%	0.14%	1.2%	57	1	Downtrend Reversal	Lower(-1.1%)	5	-0.8	0.8	Uptrend Consolidation	36.53(0.11%)	36.52-36.56	0.04	-15.1%-2.2%
15	Dec_24_2020	36.66 (0.2%)	37.2 (0.2%)	37.1 (0%)	37.5	37(0%)	36.59(-1.21%)	36.52-37.02	0.9(-0.1)	-0.8	-0.7%	-0%	0%	0.22%	1.5%	59	1	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.1%)	6	-0.3	1	Uptrend	36.71(0.34%)	36.61-36.76	0.03	-14.9%-2.5%

16	Dec_23_2020	36.63 (0%)	37.22 (0.4%)	37.23 (0.1%)	37.57	37.5(0%)	37.04(-2.14%)	36.78-37.61	1.1(0.6)	-0.7	-0.6%	0.1%	0%	0.26%	1.6%	61	1	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.6%)	7	0.5	1	After Top	37.09(0.13%)	36.83-37.3	0.05	-13.9%-3.7%
17	Dec_22_2020	36.61 (0%)	37.16 (0.4%)	37.21 (0.2%)	37.45	38.01(0%)	37.85(0.8%)	37.55-38.14	1.2(1.8)	1.1	0.6%	0.5%	0%	0.26%	1.5%	70	1	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.1%)	8	1.7	1.2	Uptrend	37.93(0.21%)	37.62-38.06	0.04	-12%-6%
18	Dec_21_2020	36.54 (0%)	36.96 (0.4%)	37.13 (-0%)	37.34	37.64(0%)	37.55(1.2%)	37.55-39.2	1.1(1.6)	1	1.1%	0.3%	0%	0.24%	1.1%	66	0.9	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.4%)	8	1.3	0.1	Uptrend	37.6(0.14%)	37.36-37.71	0.11	-12.7%-5.2%
19	Dec_18_2020	36.49 (0%)	36.8 (0.4%)	37.14 (-0.2%)	37.17	36.9(0%)	37.11(1.35%)	36.77-37.53	1.1(1.1)	-0.9	-0.3%	0.2%	0%	0.26%	0.9%	65	0.8	Correction	Range(-0.1%)	8	0.2	1.9	Uptrend	37.18(0.18%)	36.99-37.25	0.06	-13.7%-3.9%
20	Dec_17_2020	36.47 (0%)	36.68 (0.4%)	37.14 (0%)	37.23	37.04(0%)	36.61(-0.95%)	36.54-37.14	1.3(0.3)	-0.3	-0.6%	0.1%	0%	0.28%	0.6%	58	0.8	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0%)	9	-0.8	1.8	Uptrend	36.72(0.3%)	36.58-36.78	0.1	-14.9%-2.5%

21	Dec_16_2020	36.49 (0.2%)	36.63 (0.4%)	37.2 (0.3%)	37.35	37.44(0%)	36.96(-1.18%)	36.75-37.81	1.6(0.8)	0.3	0.3%	0.2%	0%	0.3%	0.4%	63	0.9	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.1%)	9	-0.1	2.2	Growing Uptrend	37.09(0.34%)	36.89-37.14	0.04	-14%-3.5%
22	Dec_15_2020	36.45 (0.2%)	36.53 (0.2%)	37.08 (0.9%)	37.15	37.41(0%)	37.4(-0.61%)	37.19-37.78	1.6(1.7)	1.2	0.7%	0.3%	0%	0.24%	0.2%	57	0.8	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.3%)	8	0.5	2.3	Growing Uptrend	37.51(0.29%)	37.24-37.58	0.04	-13%-4.7%
23	Dec_14_2020	36.4 (0%)	36.39 (0.2%)	36.74 (0.9%)	36.77	37.27(0%)	37.63(0.67%)	36.76-37.69	1.1(2.3)	3.1	1%	0.4%	0%	0.14%	-0%	60	0.8	Breakout	Higher(1.4%)	7	1.4	1.4	Uptrend	37.64(0.03%)	37.41-37.74	0.1	-12.5%-5.4%
24	Dec_11_2020	36.32 (-0%)	36.19 (0%)	36.41 (0.8%)	36.45	36.89(0%)	37.38(2.02%)	36.86-37.82	0.5(2.4)	1.2	1.3%	0.3%	0%	0.02%	-0.3%	56	0.7	Breakout	Higher(1.6%)	6	0.8	1.5	Rebound	36.85(-1.42%)	37.4-36.61	0.14	-13.1%-4.7%
25	Dec_10_2020	36.29 (-0.2%)	36.05 (-0.2%)	36.11 (0.4%)	36.15	36.27(0%)	36.64(0.82%)	36.06-36.73	-0.3(0.9)	3.2	0.6%	0.2%	0%	-0.12%	-0.7%	43	0.6	Uptrend Reversal	Range(0.8%)	5	-0.2	1.4	Rebound	36.48(-0.43%)	36.6-36.43	0.05	-14.8%-2.6%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low

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