Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 20, 2014

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $54.4000 (-0.42%) ($54.1600 - $54.5000) on Thu. Nov. 20, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $54.4000(-0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(91%)    EWG(90%)    EWI(85%)    EWP(84%)    VWO(80%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-34%)    UUP(-26%)    TLT(-23%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $54.26(0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.02(0.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.77(1.17%)
To recent high   -6.6%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 0.86% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_20_2014	56.03	53.77	54.02	54.26			54.4(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	5	41	1.97	42%	-0.11	97.7	0.96%	0	1.4	51	0
2	Nov_19_2014	56.09	53.7	53.93	54.13			54.63(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	9	34	4.16	42%	-0.11	101	0.96%	0	1.8	61	0
3	Nov_18_2014	56.15	53.59	53.83	53.9			54.65(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	9	-10000	4	23	5.22	43%	-0.09	106.6	0.96%	0	2.2	64	0
4	Nov_17_2014	56.2	53.49	53.7	53.8			53.89(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-10000	1	11	2.74	41%	-0.11	105.2	0.95%	0	0.8	51	0
5	Nov_14_2014	56.26	53.41	53.65	53.78			53.74(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-10000	1	14	4.66	41%	-0.11	92.1	0.95%	0	0.5	58	0

6	Nov_13_2014	56.32	53.32	53.69	53.74			53.73(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	7	-10000	2	22	3.03	41%	-0.11	68.2	0.95%	0	0.5	55	0
7	Nov_12_2014	56.38	53.18	53.67	53.69			53.5(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-2	24	2.89	41%	-0.12	52.7	0.95%	0	0.4	55	0
8	Nov_11_2014	56.45	53.07	53.65	53.74			54.14(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	6	41	2.3	42%	-0.12	39.4	0.94%	0	1.2	67	0
9	Nov_10_2014	56.52	52.96	53.61	53.58			53.78(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	3	40	2.46	42%	-0.14	28.4	0.94%	0	0.9	58	0
10	Nov_7_2014	56.6	52.85	53.53	53.51			53.54(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	7	-10000	-5	42	3.58	42%	-0.14	14.6	0.95%	0	0.7	63	0

11	Nov_6_2014	56.68	52.76	53.5	53.64			53.5(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	-0	69	3.7	42%	-0.16	8.6	0.95%	0	0.8	64	0
12	Nov_5_2014	56.77	52.76	53.46	53.65			53.72(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	4	99	3.13	41%	-0.12	1.7	0.95%	0	1.1	72	0
13	Nov_4_2014	56.84	52.71	53.33	53.55			53.35(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	-4	102	4.57	41%	-0.14	-4	0.96%	0	0.7	65	0
14	Nov_3_2014	56.92	52.69	53.28	53.64			53.44(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	35	-10000	4	126	4.25	41%	-0.12	-11.3	0.96%	0	0.8	60	0
15	Oct_31_2014	56.99	52.72	53.16	53.54			54.17(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	7	128	4.33	39%	-0.12	-18.6	0.96%	0	1.5	66	0

16	Oct_30_2014	57.06	52.68	52.92	53.36			53.57(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	4	117	5.05	38%	-0.14	-33.3	0.97%	0	0.9	63	0
17	Oct_29_2014	57.14	52.69	52.65	53.25			53.22(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	7	95	5.47	38%	-0.14	-41.6	0.97%	0	0.5	54	0
18	Oct_28_2014	57.22	52.75	52.46	53.06			53.79(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	7	55	3.55	39%	-0.14	-48.6	0.96%	0	0.9	46	0
19	Oct_27_2014	57.3	52.8	52.25	52.88			52.96(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	7	30	3.81	36%	-0.16	-53.6	0.94%	0	0.1	48	0
20	Oct_24_2014	57.39	52.9	52.12	52.7			53.24(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	-10000	11	-8	4.17	35%	-0.14	-58.9	0.94%	0	0.2	43	0

21	Oct_23_2014	57.47	53.01	51.95	52.42			53.02(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10000	19	-47	6.96	35%	-0.14	-65.9	0.94%	0	0	45	0
22	Oct_22_2014	57.55	53.13	51.88	51.96			52.31(-1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-10000	9	-103	4.93	33%	-0.16	-73.5	0.92%	0	-0.5	40	0
23	Oct_21_2014	57.64	53.32	51.88	51.74			52.89(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-25	-10000	9	-126	7.38	34%	-0.14	-74.7	0.92%	0	-0.2	39	0
24	Oct_20_2014	57.72	53.49	52.02	51.52			52.06(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-42	-10000	3	-175	5.09	30%	-0.16	-74.6	0.89%	0	-0.8	31	0
25	Oct_17_2014	57.81	53.74	52.22	51.45			51.84(2.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-48	-10000	1	-195	9.3	31%		-71.8	0.89%	0	-0.9	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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