Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 20, 2014

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $57.2100 (-0.4%) ($57.0400 - $57.3000) on Wed. Aug. 20, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $57.2100(-0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(91%)    EWG(90%)    EWI(85%)    EWP(85%)    XLB(80%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-35%)    UUP(-26%)    TLT(-23%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $57.26
5 Day Moving Average   $57.17(0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.76(0.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.26(-0.09%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.82% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140920

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_20_2014	59.5	57.26	56.76	57.17			57.21(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10000	6	32	3.82	37%	-0.03	-37.4	0.7%	0	-0	46	0
2	Aug_19_2014	59.52	57.34	56.68	57.05			57.44(0.16%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	7	-10000	11	-4	2.21	37%	-0.03	-40.1	0.7%	0	0.1	37	0
3	Aug_18_2014	59.54	57.41	56.58	56.84			57.35(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	10	-52	6.55	37%	-0.02	-44.2	0.7%	0	-0.1	35	0
4	Aug_15_2014	59.55	57.47	56.55	56.65			56.91(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-10000	6	-93	7.91	34%	-0.02	-49.5	0.69%	0	-0.5	29	0
5	Aug_14_2014	59.56	57.57	56.54	56.53			56.95(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-24	-10000	12	-132	3.51	34%	-0.03	-52.2	0.69%	0	-0.5	28	0

6	Aug_13_2014	59.58	57.65	56.56	56.3			56.61(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-44	-10000	3	-184	3.41	34%	-0.02	-56.6	0.69%	0	-0.9	22	0
7	Aug_12_2014	59.59	57.79	56.73	56.25			56.39(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-52	-10000	-1	-203	3.1	37%	-0.03	-59.3	0.68%	0	-1.2	23	0
8	Aug_11_2014	59.61	57.92	56.95	56.27			56.4(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-59	-10000	-9	-210	7.57	37%	-0.03	-62	0.69%	0	-1.3	25	0
9	Aug_8_2014	59.63	58.06	57.18	56.44			56.29(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-54	-10000	-6	-197	4.66	37%	-0.03	-64.8	0.69%	0	-1.6	29	0
10	Aug_7_2014	59.65	58.19	57.44	56.55			55.79(-1.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-62	-10000	-16	-198	7.59	34%	-0.05	-75	0.68%	0	-2.2	21	0

11	Aug_6_2014	59.68	58.35	57.79	56.87			56.4(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-59	-10000	-22	-169	8.8	36%	-0.05	-85.7	0.67%	0	-2.1	31	0
12	Aug_5_2014	59.71	58.51	58.07	57.29			56.49(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-52	-10000	-22	-141	7.3	36%	-0.03	-88.7	0.67%	0	-2.4	26	0
13	Aug_4_2014	59.73	58.66	58.33	57.72			57.22(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-39	-10000	-17	-105	4.4	38%	-0.02	-86.2	0.66%	0	-1.9	36	0
14	Aug_1_2014	59.74	58.81	58.49	58.04			56.86(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-39	-10000	-22	-90	7.44	38%	-0.02	-82.9	0.65%	0	-2.8	31	0
15	Jul_31_2014	59.75	59.01	58.71	58.46			57.36(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-28	-10000	-20	-51	6.99	40%	-0.03	-62.5	0.65%	0	-2.5	40	0

16	Jul_30_2014	59.77	59.17	58.85	58.85			58.51(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-10000	-6	-17	3.98	45%	-0.02	-45.7	0.6%	0	-1.1	48	0
17	Jul_29_2014	59.78	59.26	58.94	58.96			58.66(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-10000	-4	-7	3.38	45%	-0.02	-35.1	0.61%	0	-0.9	41	0
18	Jul_28_2014	59.79	59.32	58.97	59.03			58.82(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	1	-10000	2	-4	3.63	45%	-0.02	-43.6	0.62%	0	-0.8	45	0
19	Jul_25_2014	59.8	59.38	59	59			58.93(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-1	-22	2.13	45%	-0.03	-56	0.62%	0	-0.7	38	0
20	Jul_24_2014	59.82	59.42	58.99	59.01			59.33(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	-10000	9	-48	2.18	47%	0	-68.8	0.62%	0	-0.1	36	0

21	Jul_23_2014	59.82	59.45	58.93	58.85			59.08(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-27	-10000	-4	-95	2.18	47%	-0.02	-89	0.62%	0	-0.6	37	0
22	Jul_22_2014	59.83	59.49	58.97	58.92			58.99(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-25	-10000	1	-101	2.75	47%	0	-91.9	0.62%	0	-0.8	37	0
23	Jul_21_2014	59.83	59.61	59	58.91			58.68(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10000	-5	-117	5.32	47%	-0.02	-79.5	0.62%	0	-1.2	40	0
24	Jul_18_2014	59.84	59.75	59.14	59.01			58.97(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-25	-10000	2	-105	5.24	47%	-0.02	-66.9	0.62%	0	-0.9	42	0
25	Jul_17_2014	59.85	59.88	59.31	58.97			58.52(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-10000	-3	-99	4.3	44%		-61.3	0.61%	0	-1.5	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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