Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 29, 2013

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $57.3600 (0.39%) ($57.3300 - $57.6300) on Fri. Nov. 29, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $57.3600(0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(90%)    EWI(85%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(79%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(4%)    IGOV(4%)    BNDX(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.03(0.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.82(0.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.58(1.38%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   12.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 0.67% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131229

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_29_2013	54.22	56.58	56.82	57.03			57.36(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	7	59	2.67	73%	0.2	-1.5	0.75%	0	2.1	67	0
2	Nov_27_2013	54.11	56.55	56.73	56.88			57.14(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	9	56	2.16	64%	0.15	-21.7	0.75%	0	1.7	69	0
3	Nov_26_2013	54.03	56.54	56.64	56.69			56.85(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	2	30	1.84	64%	0.15	-35.9	0.8%	0	0.9	50	0
4	Nov_25_2013	53.95	56.56	56.56	56.65			56.84(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	1	25	2.95	64%	0.17	-38.8	0.8%	0	0.7	56	0
5	Nov_22_2013	53.86	56.57	56.51	56.64			56.95(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	-10000	2	20	1.77	67%	0.06	-31.1	0.8%	0	0.9	51	0

6	Nov_21_2013	53.83	56.59	56.43	56.59			56.64(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	2	14	4.18	63%	0.15	-22.5	0.81%	0	0.1	52	0
7	Nov_20_2013	53.75	56.63	56.35	56.55			56.15(-0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-10000	-1	-0	3.51	62%	0.15	-13.6	0.82%	0	-1	44	0
8	Nov_19_2013	53.67	56.67	56.41	56.57			56.67(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	-10000	6	0	3.39	65%	0.15	4.8	0.81%	0	0	44	0
9	Nov_18_2013	53.59	56.67	56.37	56.44			56.79(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	4	-23	2.68	65%	0.17	20.5	0.82%	0	0.2	43	0
10	Nov_15_2013	53.5	56.7	56.36	56.35			56.71(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	5	-34	2.47	65%	0.15	30.1	0.82%	0	0	44	0

11	Nov_14_2013	53.42	56.7	56.32	56.24			56.41(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	-10000	4	-55	3.83	65%	0.17	38.8	0.82%	0	-0.6	38	0
12	Nov_13_2013	53.33	56.69	56.36	56.14			56.26(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	-10000	-4	-75	2.77	65%	0.15	41.4	0.82%	0	-0.8	36	0
13	Nov_12_2013	53.25	56.65	56.43	56.24			56.02(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-2	-69	4.09	65%	0.17	50.8	0.82%	0	-0.9	39	0
14	Nov_11_2013	53.16	56.61	56.56	56.29			56.35(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-10000	-3	-68	3.55	65%	0.15	56.6	0.82%	0	-0.4	39	0
15	Nov_8_2013	53.08	56.56	56.64	56.37			56.18(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	-2	-57	6.08	67%	0.13	60.3	0.82%	0	-0.5	46	0

16	Nov_7_2013	53.01	56.51	56.76	56.42			55.88(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-8	-47	6.62	67%	0.09	59	0.83%	0	-0.7	45	0
17	Nov_6_2013	52.96	56.46	56.93	56.6			56.78(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-10000	-3	-19	3.61	72%	0.08	54.2	0.8%	0	0.3	58	0
18	Nov_5_2013	52.92	56.31	56.96	56.66			56.24(-0.92%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-6	-10000	-9	4	6.48	71%	0.09	46	0.79%	0	-0.1	64	0
19	Nov_4_2013	52.87	56.2	56.96	56.87			56.76(0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-4	52	5	75%	0.09	44.2	0.78%	0	0.4	73	0
20	Nov_1_2013	52.82	56.08	57.08	56.96			56.42(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-10000	-9	78	5.57	75%	0.09	45.6	0.78%	0	0.3	68	0

21	Oct_31_2013	52.77	55.99	57.11	57.17			56.78(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	-10000	-6	118	4.4	75%	0.11	48.3	0.78%	0	0.6	73	0
22	Oct_30_2013	52.71	55.89	57.06	57.17			57.08(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	38	-10000	0	152	7.08	75%	0.11	51.3	0.78%	0	0.9	80	0
23	Oct_29_2013	52.65	55.77	56.9	57.3			57.3(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	44	-10000	-1	179	4.61	75%	0.11	52.8	0.78%	0	1.2	87	0
24	Oct_28_2013	52.59	55.65	56.68	57.31			57.2(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	54	-10000	4	202	5.01	75%	0.1	55.3	0.78%	0	1.2	84	0
25	Oct_25_2013	52.54	55.51	56.48	57.22			57.47(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	59	-10000	8	212	5	75%		54.6	0.78%	0	1.6	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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