Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 20, 2013

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $55.1300 (-0.65%) ($55.1300 - $55.4200) on Fri. Sep. 20, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $55.1300(-0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(90%)    EWI(85%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(79%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(4%)    TIP(5%)    BNDX(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.03(0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.37(1.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.26(3.51%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   16.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 2.55% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2013	51.72	53.26	54.37	55.03			55.13(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	56	-10000	9	196	6.6	56%	0.08	47.1	0.93%	0	1.4	87	0
2	Sep_19_2013	51.68	53.14	54.11	54.79			55.49(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	-10000	13	179	6.18	52%	0.1	44.8	1.02%	0	1.8	82	0
3	Sep_18_2013	51.63	52.96	53.76	54.44			55.76(2.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	50	-10000	13	159	5.75	52%	0.08	37.1	1.05%	0	2.4	82	0
4	Sep_17_2013	51.59	52.8	53.39	54.07			54.39(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	41	-10000	6	147	1.83	48%	0.06	33.2	1.01%	0	1.6	77	0
5	Sep_16_2013	51.56	52.7	53.13	53.91			54.36(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	-10000	11	130	3.32	48%	0.08	30.2	1.01%	0	1.9	59	0

6	Sep_13_2013	51.52	52.63	52.8	53.62			53.96(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	-10000	12	92	9.12	51%	0.08	23.4	1.02%	0	1.6	54	0
7	Sep_12_2013	51.48	52.57	52.56	53.3			53.71(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	12	60	4.97	51%	0.06	13.3	1.02%	0	1.5	55	0
8	Sep_11_2013	51.45	52.53	52.35	52.97			53.95(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	19	-10000	14	35	2.8	49%	0.1	6.6	1.02%	0	2	62	0
9	Sep_10_2013	51.4	52.48	52.12	52.59			53.57(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	10	-10000	13	1	5.1	49%	0.08	-3.2	1.03%	0	1.7	54	0
10	Sep_9_2013	51.36	52.43	52.12	52.24			52.91(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	6	-10000	14	-19	2.97	46%	0.1	-16.9	1.02%	0	0.8	51	0

11	Sep_6_2013	51.31	52.44	52.03	51.86			52.38(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	6	-45	4.04	46%	0.08	-30	1.01%	0	-0.1	43	0
12	Sep_5_2013	51.27	52.46	52.07	51.7			52.04(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	2	-58	2.1	44%	0.08	-32	1.02%	0	-0.7	41	0
13	Sep_4_2013	51.23	52.48	52.09	51.64			52.07(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	-10000	2	-72	2.74	44%	0.04	-31.7	1.03%	0	-0.7	39	0
14	Sep_3_2013	51.21	52.5	52.16	51.58			51.78(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-27	-10000	-8	-85	3.92	46%	0.08	-28.8	1.03%	0	-1.2	37	0
15	Aug_30_2013	51.17	52.54	52.24	51.8			51.04(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-31	-10000	-16	-77	3.24	39%	0.02	-13.6	1.04%	0	-2.6	34	0

16	Aug_29_2013	51.16	52.63	52.45	52.23			51.57(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-20	-10000	-10	-50	3.53	39%	0.02	14.3	1.04%	0	-2.2	35	0
17	Aug_28_2013	51.15	52.67	52.6	52.5			51.72(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-11	-10000	-4	-33	2.56	39%	0.06	34.5	1.04%	0	-2.1	38	0
18	Aug_27_2013	51.12	52.67	52.75	52.6			51.78(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-10	-10000	-7	-20	3.8	39%	0.04	40.7	1.05%	0	-1.9	47	0
19	Aug_26_2013	51.1	52.68	52.9	52.8			52.91(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	2	4	3.09	43%	0.1	50.5	1.02%	0	0.5	58	0
20	Aug_23_2013	51.05	52.62	52.89	52.74			53.17(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	1	-10000	0	3	2.21	43%	0.08	47.5	1.02%	0	1.1	59	0

21	Aug_22_2013	51.01	52.55	52.89	52.73			52.9(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2	-10000	-0	7	3.87	43%	0.06	52.6	1.02%	0	0.7	55	0
22	Aug_21_2013	50.98	52.51	52.88	52.74			52.24(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-10000	-7	12	3.97	40%	0.06	60.4	1.01%	0	-0.5	52	0
23	Aug_20_2013	50.95	52.49	52.91	52.93			52.78(0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-3	33	2.91	42%	0.08	75.7	1%	0	0.5	66	0
24	Aug_19_2013	50.91	52.43	52.87	53.01			52.62(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-10000	-2	48	3.01	42%	0.04	84.1	1%	0	0.3	69	0
25	Aug_16_2013	50.89	52.38	52.86	53.05			53.09(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	0	61	3.4	42%		88.3	1%	0	1.1	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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