Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 5, 2013

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $52.0400 (-0.06%) ($51.8500 - $52.1300) on Thu. Sep. 5, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $52.0400(-0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(90%)    EWI(85%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(79%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(4%)    TIP(5%)    BNDX(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $52.46
5 Day Moving Average   $51.7(0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.07(-0.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.46(-0.8%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.22% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131005

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_5_2013	51.27	52.46	52.07	51.7			52.04(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	2	-58	2.1	44%	0.08	-32	1.02%	0	-0.7	41	0
2	Sep_4_2013	51.23	52.48	52.09	51.64			52.07(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	-10000	2	-72	2.74	44%	0.04	-31.7	1.03%	0	-0.7	39	0
3	Sep_3_2013	51.21	52.5	52.16	51.58			51.78(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-27	-10000	-8	-85	3.92	46%	0.08	-28.8	1.03%	0	-1.2	37	0
4	Aug_30_2013	51.17	52.54	52.24	51.8			51.04(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-31	-10000	-16	-77	3.24	39%	0.02	-13.6	1.04%	0	-2.6	34	0
5	Aug_29_2013	51.16	52.63	52.45	52.23			51.57(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-20	-10000	-10	-50	3.53	39%	0.02	14.3	1.04%	0	-2.2	35	0

6	Aug_28_2013	51.15	52.67	52.6	52.5			51.72(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-11	-10000	-4	-33	2.56	39%	0.06	34.5	1.04%	0	-2.1	38	0
7	Aug_27_2013	51.12	52.67	52.75	52.6			51.78(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-10	-10000	-7	-20	3.8	39%	0.04	40.7	1.05%	0	-1.9	47	0
8	Aug_26_2013	51.1	52.68	52.9	52.8			52.91(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	2	4	3.09	43%	0.1	50.5	1.02%	0	0.5	58	0
9	Aug_23_2013	51.05	52.62	52.89	52.74			53.17(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	1	-10000	0	3	2.21	43%	0.08	47.5	1.02%	0	1.1	59	0
10	Aug_22_2013	51.01	52.55	52.89	52.73			52.9(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2	-10000	-0	7	3.87	43%	0.06	52.6	1.02%	0	0.7	55	0

11	Aug_21_2013	50.98	52.51	52.88	52.74			52.24(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-10000	-7	12	3.97	40%	0.06	60.4	1.01%	0	-0.5	52	0
12	Aug_20_2013	50.95	52.49	52.91	52.93			52.78(0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-3	33	2.91	42%	0.08	75.7	1%	0	0.5	66	0
13	Aug_19_2013	50.91	52.43	52.87	53.01			52.62(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-10000	-2	48	3.01	42%	0.04	84.1	1%	0	0.3	69	0
14	Aug_16_2013	50.89	52.38	52.86	53.01			53.09(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	0	61	3.4	42%	0.08	88.3	1%	0	1.1	73	0
15	Aug_15_2013	50.85	52.29	52.81	53.01			52.95(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	0	70	3.97	42%	0.08	92.1	1%	0	1	67	0

16	Aug_14_2013	50.81	52.19	52.75	53.05			53.22(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	6	77	3.71	42%	0.08	87.7	1%	0	1.4	67	0
17	Aug_13_2013	50.77	52.07	52.61	52.88			53.15(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	6	70	3.73	42%	0.1	88	1%	0	1.5	70	0
18	Aug_12_2013	50.72	51.94	52.45	52.72			52.82(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	3	58	3.11	42%	0.06	92.3	1%	0	1.2	69	0
19	Aug_9_2013	50.69	51.83	52.33	52.65			53.09(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	4	57	3.51	42%	0.06	95.3	1%	0	1.6	75	0
20	Aug_8_2013	50.66	51.68	52.2	52.54			52.96(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	18	-10000	5	58	4.71	45%	0.06	109.1	1.01%	0	1.7	76	0

21	Aug_7_2013	50.63	51.57	52.1	52.41			52.4(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	19	-10000	5	61	2.83	42%	0.06	108.2	1.01%	0	1	74	0
22	Aug_6_2013	50.6	51.42	52.03	52.29			52.32(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	6	66	2.19	42%	0.04	98.9	1.01%	0	1	78	0
23	Aug_5_2013	50.58	51.27	51.95	52.13			52.48(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	7	67	3.31	42%	0.04	87.9	1.01%	0	1.2	81	0
24	Aug_2_2013	50.56	51.1	51.85	51.96			52.56(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	21	-10000	6	67	3.35	45%	0.04	79.2	1.02%	0	1.3	83	0
25	Aug_1_2013	50.54	50.89	51.71	51.81			52.31(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	18	-10000	2	67	5.41	45%		79	1.02%	0	1.3	84	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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