Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 26, 2013

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $52.9100 (-0.49%) ($52.8400 - $53.0600) on Mon. Aug. 26, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $52.9100(-0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(90%)    EWI(85%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(79%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(4%)    TIP(5%)    BNDX(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.8(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.9(0.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.68(0.44%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 0.95% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_26_2013	51.1	52.68	52.9	52.8			52.91(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	2	4	3.09	43%	0.1	50.5	1.02%	0	0.5	58	0
2	Aug_23_2013	51.05	52.62	52.89	52.74			53.17(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	1	-10000	0	3	2.21	43%	0.08	47.5	1.02%	0	1.1	59	0
3	Aug_22_2013	51.01	52.55	52.89	52.73			52.9(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2	-10000	-0	7	3.87	43%	0.06	52.6	1.02%	0	0.7	55	0
4	Aug_21_2013	50.98	52.51	52.88	52.74			52.24(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-10000	-7	12	3.97	40%	0.06	60.4	1.01%	0	-0.5	52	0
5	Aug_20_2013	50.95	52.49	52.91	52.93			52.78(0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-3	33	2.91	42%	0.08	75.7	1%	0	0.5	66	0

6	Aug_19_2013	50.91	52.43	52.87	53.01			52.62(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-10000	-2	48	3.01	42%	0.04	84.1	1%	0	0.3	69	0
7	Aug_16_2013	50.89	52.38	52.86	53.01			53.09(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	0	61	3.4	42%	0.08	88.3	1%	0	1.1	73	0
8	Aug_15_2013	50.85	52.29	52.81	53.01			52.95(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	0	70	3.97	42%	0.08	92.1	1%	0	1	67	0
9	Aug_14_2013	50.81	52.19	52.75	53.05			53.22(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	6	77	3.71	42%	0.08	87.7	1%	0	1.4	67	0
10	Aug_13_2013	50.77	52.07	52.61	52.88			53.15(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	6	70	3.73	42%	0.1	88	1%	0	1.5	70	0

11	Aug_12_2013	50.72	51.94	52.45	52.72			52.82(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	3	58	3.11	42%	0.06	92.3	1%	0	1.2	69	0
12	Aug_9_2013	50.69	51.83	52.33	52.65			53.09(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	4	57	3.51	42%	0.06	95.3	1%	0	1.6	75	0
13	Aug_8_2013	50.66	51.68	52.2	52.54			52.96(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	18	-10000	5	58	4.71	45%	0.06	109.1	1.01%	0	1.7	76	0
14	Aug_7_2013	50.63	51.57	52.1	52.41			52.4(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	19	-10000	5	61	2.83	42%	0.06	108.2	1.01%	0	1	74	0
15	Aug_6_2013	50.6	51.42	52.03	52.29			52.32(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	6	66	2.19	42%	0.04	98.9	1.01%	0	1	78	0

16	Aug_5_2013	50.58	51.27	51.95	52.13			52.48(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	7	67	3.31	42%	0.04	87.9	1.01%	0	1.2	81	0
17	Aug_2_2013	50.56	51.1	51.85	51.96			52.56(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	21	-10000	6	67	3.35	45%	0.04	79.2	1.02%	0	1.3	83	0
18	Aug_1_2013	50.54	50.89	51.71	51.81			52.31(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	18	-10000	2	67	5.41	45%	0.04	79	1.02%	0	1.3	84	0
19	Jul_31_2013	50.52	50.7	51.59	51.75			51.8(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	1	67	6.67	45%	0.04	73.6	1.03%	0	0.9	68	0
20	Jul_30_2013	50.5	50.52	51.48	51.73			51.48(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	-0	80	2.19	45%	0.02	70.9	1.03%	0	0.8	77	0

21	Jul_29_2013	50.49	50.39	51.4	51.74			51.64(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	1	100	3.03	48%	0.02	75.6	1.03%	0	1	82	0
22	Jul_26_2013	50.48	50.22	51.29	51.71			51.82(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	4	117	6.25	48%	0.04	70.7	1.04%	0	1.2	85	0
23	Jul_25_2013	50.46	50.05	51.14	51.59			52.01(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	-10000	7	133	4.7	48%	0.04	66	1.04%	0	1.5	90	0
24	Jul_24_2013	50.44	49.85	51	51.4			51.69(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	44	-10000	8	150	2.64	48%	0.04	53.7	1.04%	0	1.4	90	0
25	Jul_23_2013	50.42	49.65	50.78	51.19			51.56(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	-10000	7	151	2.58	52%		34.4	1.05%	0	1.5	89	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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