Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 14, 2013

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $53.2200 (0.13%) ($53.1600 - $53.3300) on Wed. Aug. 14, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $53.2200(0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(90%)    EWI(85%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(79%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(4%)    TIP(5%)    BNDX(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.05(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.75(0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.19(1.97%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.38% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130914

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_14_2013	50.81	52.19	52.75	53.05			53.22(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	6	77	3.71	42%	0.08	87.7	1%	0	1.4	67	0
2	Aug_13_2013	50.77	52.07	52.61	52.88			53.15(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	6	70	3.73	42%	0.1	88	1%	0	1.5	70	0
3	Aug_12_2013	50.72	51.94	52.45	52.72			52.82(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	3	58	3.11	42%	0.06	92.3	1%	0	1.2	69	0
4	Aug_9_2013	50.69	51.83	52.33	52.65			53.09(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	4	57	3.51	42%	0.06	95.3	1%	0	1.6	75	0
5	Aug_8_2013	50.66	51.68	52.2	52.54			52.96(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	18	-10000	5	58	4.71	45%	0.06	109.1	1.01%	0	1.7	76	0

6	Aug_7_2013	50.63	51.57	52.1	52.41			52.4(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	19	-10000	5	61	2.83	42%	0.06	108.2	1.01%	0	1	74	0
7	Aug_6_2013	50.6	51.42	52.03	52.29			52.32(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	6	66	2.19	42%	0.04	98.9	1.01%	0	1	78	0
8	Aug_5_2013	50.58	51.27	51.95	52.13			52.48(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	7	67	3.31	42%	0.04	87.9	1.01%	0	1.2	81	0
9	Aug_2_2013	50.56	51.1	51.85	51.96			52.56(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	21	-10000	6	67	3.35	45%	0.04	79.2	1.02%	0	1.3	83	0
10	Aug_1_2013	50.54	50.89	51.71	51.81			52.31(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	18	-10000	2	67	5.41	45%	0.04	79	1.02%	0	1.3	84	0

11	Jul_31_2013	50.52	50.7	51.59	51.75			51.8(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	1	67	6.67	45%	0.04	73.6	1.03%	0	0.9	68	0
12	Jul_30_2013	50.5	50.52	51.48	51.73			51.48(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	-0	80	2.19	45%	0.02	70.9	1.03%	0	0.8	77	0
13	Jul_29_2013	50.49	50.39	51.4	51.74			51.64(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	1	100	3.03	48%	0.02	75.6	1.03%	0	1	82	0
14	Jul_26_2013	50.48	50.22	51.29	51.71			51.82(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	4	117	6.25	48%	0.04	70.7	1.04%	0	1.2	85	0
15	Jul_25_2013	50.46	50.05	51.14	51.59			52.01(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	-10000	7	133	4.7	48%	0.04	66	1.04%	0	1.5	90	0

16	Jul_24_2013	50.44	49.85	51	51.4			51.69(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	44	-10000	8	150	2.64	48%	0.04	53.7	1.04%	0	1.4	90	0
17	Jul_23_2013	50.42	49.65	50.78	51.19			51.56(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	-10000	7	151	2.58	52%	0.04	34.4	1.05%	0	1.5	89	0
18	Jul_22_2013	50.4	49.44	50.53	50.99			51.48(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	-10000	7	143	2.38	52%	0.06	13.9	1.07%	0	1.6	78	0
19	Jul_19_2013	50.37	49.3	50.28	50.81			51.23(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	-10000	7	144	1.27	52%	0.04	2.1	1.07%	0	1.6	80	0
20	Jul_18_2013	50.35	49.2	50.01	50.61			51.05(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	3	132	1.25	52%	0.02	-12.5	1.07%	0	1.7	74	0

21	Jul_17_2013	50.34	49.17	49.73	50.54			50.63(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	9	135	1.09	47%	0.04	-14.9	1.07%	0	1.3	74	0
22	Jul_16_2013	50.32	49.22	49.49	50.3			50.58(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	-10000	11	122	0.95	49%	0.06	-15.6	1.13%	0	1.1	76	0
23	Jul_15_2013	50.29	49.26	49.3	49.99			50.55(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	38	-10000	11	118	1.13	46%	0	-20.5	1.15%	0	1	78	0
24	Jul_12_2013	50.29	49.28	49.05	49.67			50.25(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	13	92	1.52	46%	0.04	-28.1	1.18%	0	0.7	57	0
25	Jul_11_2013	50.27	49.33	48.86	49.3			50.71(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	-10000	17	64	2.24	46%		-32.7	1.18%	0	1	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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